This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver
- Jacoby Brissett ($5600 DraftKings, $7300 FanDuel)
- T.Y. Hilton ($5900 DraftKings, $7600 FanDuel)
Coming off their bye week, Indianapolis hosts a Houston team in a battle for AFC South supremacy. Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton should be completely recovered from a quadriceps injury that slowed him the past two games, and he has a strong historical correlation of success with quarterback Jacoby Brissett.
Brissett has been consistently solid this season, with the QB6 and QB11 performance in the Colts’ two home games. Using the FantasyLabs Trends tool, there have been eight games where Hilton played when the Colts were a home favorite with a 40 point or higher total. In those games, Hilton has exceeded his expected points total 63% of the time and by an average of 31%. Per Establish The Run, Brissett is 24-of-29 (83%) for 232 yards (8.0 YPA) and four touchdowns when targeting Hilton this year.
Hilton projects at a modest 9-12% ownership on both sites, while Brissett’s minuscule ownership (2-4% DK, 0-1% FD) provides the perfect upside opportunity.
The top three DFS quarterbacks are all on the road, making this QB + WR stack a nice affordable upside play.
Running Back + DEF/Special Teams
- Derrick Henry ($5800 DraftKings, $6500 FanDuel)
- Titans D/ST ($3200 DraftKings, $4200 FanDuel)
The Tennessee DEF/ST has been one of the most consistent DFS groups this season. They have totaled three or more sacks in four of their first six games. The Titans are also averaging one interception per game while allowing the fifth-lowest points per game (15.3).
The Titans are an all-around solid defensive team, ranking top 12 in DVOA for both the run and pass. Tennessee became the first team to hold Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan without a touchdown pass at home since Minnesota in December 2017.
Derrick Henry is in a smash spot against a Chargers defense that has allowed a robust 4.6 yards per carry to opposing running backs in 2019. Per PlayerProfiler, Henry ranks fourth in Breakaway Runs and sixth in Evaded Tackles among all running backs. The Chargers have struggled defensively all season, currently sitting 27th overall as per Football Outsiders.
When Henry’s cost has been below $6,000 on DraftKings in similar situations, he has usually performed well, particularly when the Titans are home favorites, beating his expected value by an average of 53%.
Pictured: Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Pass-Catcher
- Matt Ryan ($6300 DraftKings, $7900 FanDuel)
- Calvin Ridley ($5300 DraftKings, $5500 FanDuel)
- Brandin Cooks ($5400 DraftKings, $6700 FanDuel)
Hard to pass up a stacking opportunity in the game with the highest over/under of the weekend.
Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan has passed for 300-plus yards in seven consecutive games dating back to last year. He currently ranks first among all quarterbacks in completed air yards and passing touchdowns.
We will value price point over consistency and stack Ryan with Falcons wideout Calvin Ridley. Despite his mercurial season, Ridley still has averaged six targets, 0.7 touchdowns, and 14.8 fantasy points in the 10 home games of his NFL career. Ridley’s price and ownership projection are both significantly lower than teammate Julio Jones.
On the Rams side, we will include wideout Brandin Cooks whose price ($5,400 DK, $6,700 FD) is cheaper than fellow wideouts Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. Similar to Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans a few weeks ago, Cooks is long overdue for positive yardage and touchdown regression. He has one game with 75-plus receiving yards and three games with below 40.
The Falcons’ porous secondary and lack of pressure on the quarterback (last in Sack Rate) will give Rams quarterback Jared Goff time to connect with Cooks on deep routes.
In his career, when Cooks’ has had a salary below $6,000 on DraftKings and the game total was over 50 points, he has exceeded his expected points in 75% of the games. When his price drops, Cooks’ high weekly ceiling makes him a huge value.
This game features two pass defenses ranked in the bottom third of the NFL, against offenses with a bevy of playmakers. With both teams ranking in the top 10 in pace, we certainly want a piece of this potential shootout in all DFS formats.
