Wide receivers are the backbone of your NFL DFS lineups. It’s a spot where you’ll need massive production if you’re going to take down a GPP, but it’s also a spot where you can save money on occasion. Some of the best values in a given week are likely to be found at the receiver position.
In this piece, I highlight wide receivers who stand out in our large suite of analytical fantasy tools, most specifically, our FantasyLabs Player Models. While the models are built for DFS contests, this is an all-purpose fantasy article with actionable information for all formats.
As news breaks throughout the week and we adjust our projections (powered by Sean Koerner), player ratings in our Player Models will change as the projections change. For updates, visit the models directly.
And don’t forget about the tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, like our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.
Finally, make sure to check out all the projections available for purchase (Chris Raybon’s come included with a FantasyLabs subscription) within the FantasyLabs Models. Subscribers now have the option to purchase Derek Carty’s THE BLITZ from our Marketplace. Projections from One Week Season and Establish the Run are available if you’re a subscriber to those specific sites (our optimizer is a separate add-on feature).
You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:
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Diontae Johnson ($6,100 DraftKings, $6,900 FanDuel)
Johnson is officially questionable for Sunday’s matchup vs. the Falcons, but he should be able to suit up. He was able to get in three limited practices this week, which puts him on track to start barring a pre-game injury.
As long as he’s active, Johnson stands out as one of the strongest per-dollar options at the position. He’s coming off a subpar showing last vs. the Bears, but they have an elite pass defense. More important, Johnson has handled an alpha workload ever since Andy Dalton took over at quarterback. With Dalton under center, Johnson has racked up 30% of the team’s targets and 49% of the team’s air yards. Those are elite figures.
This week’s matchup vs. the Falcons is significantly friendlier. The Falcons are merely 22nd in pass defense EPA, and they’ve allowed the 10th-most PPR points per game to opposing receivers.
If Johnson is a surprise inactive, guys like Xavier Legette and Jonathan Mingo become very appealing alternatives.
Drake London ($6,700 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel)
On the other side of that matchup, London was expected to join the WR1 ranks for fantasy purposes this season. It took him a couple of weeks to settle in, but he’s ultimately rewarded those who took a shot on him. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus on DraftKings in three of his past four games, including a season-high 36.4 DraftKings points last week vs. the Buccaneers.
Under the hood, there’s a lot to like about London’s profile. He’s posted a 27% target share for the year, which is tied for the 13th-best mark in football. He’s also handled 34% of the Falcons’ air yards and 43% of their end zone targets.
That workload gives him one of the safest outlooks at the position. He has the third-highest median projection at the position on DraftKings despite checking in with just the 10th-most-expensive salary.
The matchup vs. the Panthers is also ideal. They’re 30th in pass defense EPA, and they’ve allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to receivers. The Falcons are implied for 26.5 points, which is tied for the third-highest mark on the slate.
CeeDee Lamb ($8,600 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel)
There are a bunch of strong value options to consider this week at running back and quarterback, so paying up for a stud receiver is certainly viable. Lamb stands out as the best of the high-priced options in Week 6.
Lamb has struggled from a consistency standpoint so far this season. He was visibly frustrated on the sidelines in the team’s Week 3 loss to the Ravens, and the team made a conscientious effort to get him the ball in Week 4. He had season highs in target share (31%) and air yards share (40%), and he responded with 23.6 DraftKings points.
Unfortunately, that role did not stick in Week 5. He saw just 18% of the team’s targets, and he posted a negative Plus/Minus for the fourth time in five weeks.
So, which version of Lamb will we see in Week 6? There’s no way to know for sure, but we have a long track record of Lamb being a stud fantasy receiver. He was among the league leaders in targets last season, and he responded with a league-best 135 catches. It’s in the Cowboys’ best interests to get him the ball.
If Lamb is more involved, he could have a field day in his environment. This game has the highest total of the week at 52.5 points, while the Lions are just three-point favorites. That suggests a high-scoring game with contributions on both sides. Despite the slow start to the year, Lamb still owns the highest median and ceiling projections at the position on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Jakobi Meyers ($5,400 DraftKings, $5,700 FanDuel)
If you’re looking for a cheaper option, Meyers is someone that I would consider in cash games. You can definitely use him in tournaments, too—he’s projected for just single-digit ownership—but I think his floor is safe enough for all formats. Just make sure that he’s in the lineup before lock; he’s officially questionable but was able to get in a limited practice on Friday.
Davante Adams will not be in the lineup for the Raiders, and Meyers has been the team’s clear top receiver with him sidelined. He posted a 42% target share in his first game without Adams this season, and he followed that up with a respectable 26% mark in Week 5. Overall, Meyers has now seen at least nine targets in each of his past three games, and he’s posted a positive Plus/Minus on FanDuel in four of five outings.
Meyers draws a tough matchup this week vs. the Steelers, but Pittsburgh has come back to the pack defensively over the past two weeks. Regardless, the potential volume makes Meyers very appealing at a sub-$6k price tag. He’s particularly useful on FanDuel, where his $5,700 salary comes with a 96% Bargain Rating.
Try out our NFL DFS SimLabs Lineup Generator that creates advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
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Jayden Reed ($7,000 DraftKings, $7,700 FanDuel)
Outside of a 53-yard reception, it was a pretty quiet showing for Jayden Reed in Week 5. He finished with just six targets—one behind Dontayvion Wicks for the team lead—and he corralled four passes for 78 scoreless yards. His 13.7 DraftKings points weren’t a killer, but he still failed to pay off his salary.
That makes Reed an interesting bounce-back target this week vs. the Cardinals. It’s a solid matchup—the Cardinals are 27th in pass defense EPA—and Reed has displayed one of the top ceilings at the position so far this season. He’s already cracked 30 DraftKings points twice with Jordan Love in the lineup, and the Packers are implied for 26.5 points in this matchup.
Romeo Doubs will return this week, giving Reed a bit more competition for targets, but that hasn’t really been an issue so far this season. Regardless of who has been active, Reed has established himself as the team’s top receiver.
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,100 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)
St. Brown is an interesting pivot from Lamb this week. Lamb is grading out as the superior option in our projections, but ARSB has the edge from a matchup standpoint.
For starters, the Lions’ implied team total of 27.75 points is the second-highest on the main slate. The Cowboys’ defense is also in shambles at the moment. Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence will miss their second straight games, while linebacker Eric Kendricks has also been ruled out. The team has also listed two cornerbacks as questionable, including top corner DaRon Bland.
With their defense so banged up, the Lions might choose to go with a run-heavy approach. That’s something we’ve seen with them of late: they have a dropback over expectation of -13% or lower in back-to-back games.
However, if they do have to throw the ball, ARSB is still the guy most likely to catch it. He had 18 targets in Week 2, and he’s caught a touchdown in each of his past two outings. He has a wide range of outcomes, but his ceiling remains one of the highest at the position.
Chris Godwin ($6,900 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)
Godwin started the year with some huge fantasy performances. He was a top-eight PPR receiver in each of the first two weeks, and he followed that up with a WR19 performance in Week 3. It appeared as though there could be a changing of the guard in Tampa Bay, with Godwin overtaking Mike Evans for the top receiver spot.
Evans has bounced back with two huge outings in the past two weeks, while Godwin’s production has returned to normal. That’s due primarily due to touchdowns: Evans has three scores over the past two weeks compared to zero for Godwin.
That makes Godwin an interesting buy-low target vs. the Saints. He remains the team’s leader in target share, and he’s seen at least the same number of targets as Evans in all but one week. With some better luck from a scoring perspective, he could post another big number vs. New Orleans.
Using Sim Labs, Godwin has the sixth-highest optimal rate among DraftKings receivers, and he moves up to No. 5 on FanDuel.
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Ladd McConkey ($4,900 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)
Sim Labs really likes McConkey this week vs. the Broncos. Denver has had an elite defense to start the year, ranking in the top three in both points and yards per game allowed. That’s keeping McConkey’s projected ownership minimal despite the fact that he’s way underpriced across the industry.
The Chargers are coming off a bye in Week 5, but don’t forget what McConkey did during the first four weeks. The rookie has been the clear alpha in the team’s passing attack, racking up a 27% target share. The Chargers haven’t thrown the ball all that often, but McConkey has led the team in targets in three of four games.
Terry McLaurin ($6,400 DraftKings, $6,800 FanDuel)
The game between the Commanders and Ravens could feature some offensive fireworks. The total sits at 52.0, putting it just slightly behind Lions-Cowboys for the top mark on the slate. However, the Commanders are 6.5-point underdogs in that matchup, so most of the attention should land on the Ravens.
The Commanders have had the No. 1 offense in football per EPA this season, so it’s possible that they can overcome the tough matchup. McLaurin has had at least 100 yards or a touchdown in three consecutive games, and he just narrowly missed pulling off both last week vs. the Browns.
Stefon Diggs ($7,400 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel) & Tank Dell ($6,200 DraftKings, $6,700 FanDuel)
The Texans are going to be without Nico Collins for the next few weeks, but Diggs and Dell aren’t getting the attention you might typically expect to see in that scenario. Diggs is projected for less than 10% ownership across the industry, while Dell is projected for roughly 4% on DraftKings and 10% on FanDuel.
Collins was the team’s clear top receiver through the first four weeks. He had a 29% target share, 45% air yards share, and 78% of the end zone targets. His absence is going to create some additional opportunities for everyone else in the offense.
The biggest downside with these two this week is the matchup. The Patriots are handing the ball to Drake Maye for the first time, and the total in this game sits at just 37.5 points. Still, it only takes one or two big plays for one of these guys to make an impact.
Wan’Dale Robinson ($6,300 FanDuel)
Robinson isn’t really a contrarian option on this slate. He’s expected to be one of the most popular receivers on FanDuel, which is the only site that includes the Sunday Night Football matchup between the Giants and Bengals on the main slate. Still, Robinson is showing up with a higher optimal lineup rate than his projected ownership in Sim Labs.
Robinson has been highly involved in the Giants’ passing attack all season, posting a 28% target share. If not for the fact that Malik Nabers has a 39% target share in his four games, more people would be talking about Robinson’s production.
Robinson didn’t see a huge spike in opportunities last week with Nabers sidelined, but he maintained a healthy 29% target share in that outing. He should once again be the focal point of the Giants’ passing attack in a juicy matchup vs. the Bengals. They’ve been shredded defensively all season, ranking 29th in pass defense EPA.