This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ large suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.
Week 5 shmoney time.
Quarterback
- Deshaun Watson ($6,700 DK, $8,000 FD) vs. ATL
Deshaun Watson‘s Projected Plus/Minus is above +3.0 on DK and above +4.0 on FanDuel. At home, QBs projected for Plus/Minuses above those benchmarks have produced a 72%/75% DK/FD Consistency and +4.4/+4.7 DK/FD Plus/Minus. Dak Prescott also fits the bill, but will be without left tackle Tyron Smith and has a floor projection 3 points lower than Watson’s in our Models. A Falcons defense that is down difference-making safety Keanu Neal (Achilles) and just got lit up by Marcus Mariota last week (227 yards, 3/0 TD/INT) should provide little resistance for Watson. Atlanta is tied for the second-fewest sacks (5) and fourth-fewest passes defensed (9).
For more on QBs, check out Matthew Freedman’s NFL Week 5 Fantasy QB Breakdown.
Running Back
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