In this piece, I highlight wide receivers who stand out in our large suite of analytical fantasy tools, most specifically, our FantasyLabs Player Models. While the models are built for DFS contests, this is an all-purpose fantasy article with actionable information for all formats.
As news breaks throughout the week and we adjust our projections (powered by Sean Koerner), player ratings in our Player Models will change as the projections change. For updates, visit the models directly.
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You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:
Top NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks in the FantasyLabs Models
On DraftKings, there are two wide receivers near the top of the individual Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon, Cash Game, and Tournament Player Models.
- Jayden Reed
- Wan’Dale Robinson
We’ll discuss why these two are popping in our models, as well as take a look at some other wide receivers.
Top Model NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks
Jayden Reed ($4,900 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel): Green Bay Packers (-3.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (42.5 total)
Jayden Reed was fed all the volume he could handle last week against the Giants. He saw 10 targets, catching eight balls for 27 yards. He also took four carries for 38 yards and a touchdown as Green Bay found any way they could to get the ball into his hands.
Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon are both questionable, and Christian Watson is doubtful. Reed will likely continue to be a focal part of the offense through the air and on the ground. Reed has a team-high 27% target rate per route run with Watson on the field, and that climbs to 31% when Jordan Love is under pressure.
Tampa Bay blitzes at the third-highest rate in the league, so I’m expecting a heavy dose of Jayden Reed on Sunday. He’s the top option in our Cash Game and Tournament Model.
Wan’Dale Robinson ($3,700 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel): New York Giants (+5.5) at New Orleans Saints (39 total)
Similar to Reed, Wan’Dale Robinson was utilized both on the ground and through the air by the Giants last week. He saw seven targets, catching six balls for 79 yards, and had two carries for 36 yards. We’ll see if Brian Daboll continues to use Robinson on the ground, but it paid dividends last week.
Robinson has a team-high 20% target share with DeVito under center, but it isn’t the most fruitful passing game. This matchup bodes well for Robinson, as the Saints have allowed more than 50% of receiver receptions to come from the slot.
Pricing came out before Robinson’s Monday Night performance, making him underpriced. He laps the field in Projected Plus/Minus and Points/Salary. He is the top receiver in Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon’s Pro Models.
Don’t forget to check out our SImLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineup using the power of simulation:
Other Notable NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks
Jaylen Waddle ($7,400 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel): Miami Dolphins (-8.5) vs. New York Jets (36.5 total)
All eyes are on the status of Tyreek Hill, as he’s battling an ankle injury and didn’t practice on Friday. If he can go, it’d likely be more so in a decoy role. Jaylen Waddle was mostly quiet with Hill sidelined for most of last week, catching six of eight targets for 79 yards. He had a great game against New York in Week 12, catching eight of eight targets for 114 yards.
This week will give Miami the time to draw up a game plan without Hill, or at least with him limited. New York has been stellar against receivers, but Waddle should see a lot of volume, and this is one of the most potent offenses in the league.
Waddle is an intriguing tournament option.
Demarcus Robinson ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,600 FanDuel): Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) vs. Washington Commanders (50.5 total)
If Tutu Atwell is cleared, then Demarcus Robinson would be off of my radar. He’s now caught a touchdown in back-to-back weeks, with 15.5 and 13.6 DraftKings points. Robinson actually should’ve had a better day, as he saw ten targets last week, only catching three balls for 46 yards.
He ran a route on 98% of the dropbacks last week and will surely see a similar number if Atwell is out again. Washington has allowed the second-most DraftKings points per game to opposing wide receivers, and it won’t take much for Robinson to pay off his price tag.
He’s a strong value option.
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My Favorite NFL DFS Wide Receiver Leverage Pick(s)
CeeDee Lamb ($9,200 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel): Dallas Cowboys (+2) at Buffalo Bills (49.5 total)
CeeDee Lamb has been tearing it up as of late. He’s found the end zone in five straight games, with nine total on the season. Dallas has shifted to a more pass-heavy approach as the years have gone on, and Lamb has been a prime beneficiary.
He wasn’t needed that much last week as Dallas cruised to a win over Philadelphia. He hauled in six of 10 targets for 71 yards. This week’s matchup should be more competitive, as Buffalo is one of the best teams in the league despite their record. Buffalo boasts a tough defense, but Lamb splits his routes between the slot and out wide, so he should move all around and be able to take advantage of matchups.
He’s one of my favorite options, as most people won’t find the money for him.
Cooper Kupp ($7,800 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel): Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) vs. Washington Commanders (50.5 total)
I think Cooper Kupp is a bit underpriced, and he’s expected to be fairly low-owned this week. Kupp caught eight of 10 targets last week for 115 yards and a touchdown. All receivers have trounced the Commanders, and Kupp runs routes in the slot and on the outside. They’ve allowed the sixth-most yards per target to slot receivers on the year.
Most people will opt to play Kyren Williams, and even Puka Nacua is projecting for more ownership than Kupp. Kupp is the alpha here, and I’m fine rostering him and Williams, considering how consolidated this offense is.
I’m very high on him and Lamb this week and will make sure I have one of them in all of my lineups.
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