This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlation Dashboard is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Tight End
- Derek Carr ($6,000 DK, $7,500 FD)
- Hunter Renfrow ($5,800 DK, $6,400 FD)
- Foster Moreau ($2,700 DK, $5,000 FD)
What better way to start our Week 13 stacks than with a Hunter Renfrow-Foster Moreau double-stack!
This game carries a 49-point over/under with just a one-point spread, translating to a high-scoring close game. Derek Carr projects as one of the better DraftKings Week 13 values. Las Vegas returns home after an impressive win over Dallas on Thanksgiving to face a Washington defense that allows the most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks (4for4). Carr brings a projection/ceiling combination that rivals any other Week 13 DFS quarterback, but at a much better price tag.
In the past two seasons, Carr has averaged 272 passing yards, 1.7 passing touchdowns, 0.7 interceptions, and 20.3 fantasy points per game in Raiders home games. I’m stacking Carr with two low-priced targets that have shown the ability to have high-ceiling DFS performances.
Hunter Renfrow has tallied three WR1 weeks in the past five games, including last week’s overall WR5 performance at Dallas. Renfrow has seen eight or more targets in six of his past eight games, including tying a season-high with nine targets against the Cowboys.
Foster Moreau has only one game this year without Darren Waller on the field, and it was impressive. In Week 7, Moreau produced the overall TE4 stat line with six receptions, 60 receiving yards, and one touchdown. He faces a Washington team that allows the 10th-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
Using this value double-stack allows for fantastic options at the other positions, especially running back. Using the FantasyLabs Optimizer, I produced the following lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings.
This stack allows for the inclusion of those rare high-volume running back such as James Conner, Leonard Fournette, and (without J.D. McKissic) Antonio Gibson.
I am always looking for a cheap double-stack in a high projected game, and Las Vegas provides us the perfect opportunity in Week 13.
Quarterback + Tight End + Opposing Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver
- Matt Ryan ($5,600 DK, $6,800 FD)
- Kyle Pitts ($5,600 DK, $6,200 FD)
- Chris Godwin ($6,600 DK, $7,600 FD)
- Mike Evans ($6,700 DK, $7,400 FD)
Tampa Bay-Atlanta has the highest game total of any Week 13 contest. Quarterback Matt Ryan often gets overlooked because of his lack of mobility and current absence of top wide receiver Calvin Ridley. In their first matchups this season, the Falcons only trailed 28-25 at the start of the fourth quarter in Tampa Bay. Ryan threw for 300 yards with two touchdowns but also three interceptions. However, he is a great value this week as the QB14 in price on DraftKings and the QB15 on FanDuel.
Atlanta is a 10-point home underdog in a high total game, which should get Ryan back to a 300-yard level. At his Week 13 cost, that would be tremendous production especially if connected with tight end Kyle Pitts. Since Week 4, the rookie tight end has seen 49 targets (fourth), 30 receptions (sixth), 472 receiving yards (third), and 53.2 fantasy points (fifth). The only missing stat is touchdowns, where he has produced only one all season. He will have a great chance against a Tampa Bay defense that allows the sixth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to the position and allowed Pitts to tally five receptions and 73 receiving yards in their first meeting with Ridley on the field.
Tampa Bay is always an attractive stack because their wide receiver target share is substantially condensed with the absence of Antonio Brown. Since I pivoted off Tom Brady’s 16.4% ownership projection, I can fit both Chris Godwin and Mike Evans in this double-stack. Both project well on our FantasyLabs FanDuel Model, with Evans carrying a lower ownership projection than wideouts such as Cooper Kupp, Keenan Allen, and Terry McLaurin.
By using Ryan and Pitts, I have plenty of extra savings, even with Godwin and Evans. Here is a lineup I created using our FantasyLabs optimizer on FanDuel, which includes Cooper Kupp and Tee Higgins.
On DraftKings, I created a lineup that also includes the double tight end play with Foster Moreau.
In order to get representation from the most games with the highest point total, you need to find value plays. Ryan and Pitts give enough relief to double-stack two of the NFL’s top wide receivers in one of the most consolidated target shares.
Running Back + Wide Receiver + Wide Receiver
- Sony Michel ($4,300 DK, $5,300 FD)
- Cooper Kupp ($9,000 DK, $9,000 FD)
- Van Jefferson ($5,300 DK, $5,800 FD)
Note: be sure to monitor the status of Darrell Henderson before lock on Sunday.
Los Angeles returns home to stop the bleeding of a three-game losing streak. The Rams offense looked much better last week, posting 28 points behind more than 300 yards passing from QB Matthew Stafford. The Rams lost the turnover battle, leading to a 36-28 loss.
The Jaguars bring a defense that ranks among the league’s worst units. Jacksonville ranks 30th overall, including dead-last in pass defense DVOA (FootballOutsiders).
The Jaguars provide their opponents with a myriad of extra opportunities, ranking second-worst in turnover differential. Jacksonville sits at -13, with 19 total offensive turnovers through 11 games. This should translate to a positive game script for the Rams and a golden opportunity for running back Sony Michel.
Starting running back, Darrell Henderson is listed as questionable with a thigh injury. It seems silly for the Rams to risk a re-injury to Henderson in a game they are currently favored by 13.5 points. If Henderson cannot start, Michel should step into a fantastic workload. Henderson ranks third among all running backs in snap share, at a 75.7% rate. In a league dominated by running back committees, Henderson is one of the few rushers with a dominating touch share.
It is certainly a positive EV-play to have the leading running back on a team that is expected to win by double-digits. I am also going to include the top two wideouts against Jacksonville’s NFL-worst pass defense.
Newly-acquired wideout Odell Beckham is questionable with a hip injury, putting Cooper Kupp and Van Jefferson both in play for big games. Even with Beckham on the field in Week 12, Jefferson (WR13) and Kupp (WR10) found a path to solid DFS production.
I don’t want to include quarterback Matthew Stafford ($7,300 DK, $7,800 FD) due to his high price on both sites, so I’m playing these three players with a different quarterback. I actually have so much savings that I can, in fact, use Tom Brady on DraftKings to still have exposure to Tampa Bay.
I project the Rams to post a big score against Jacksonville, with a possible consolidated target share sans Odell Beckham. Use this stack to combine the prior three targets games and enjoy the high upside spearheaded by Sony Michel.
