We have an excellent 11-game main slate on tap for Week 13 that begins at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday.
This piece will highlight the top NFL DFS players at each position in our FantasyLabs Player Models in terms of their projected ceiling from our award-winning Director of Predictive Analytics, Sean Koerner.
Let’s dive in.
Top Model Quarterback Ceiling Projections
Patrick Mahomes ($7,400 DraftKings; $8,600 FanDuel)
It’s been a while, but Mahomes is back on top of our ceiling projections for his matchup against the Raiders.
It’s an elite spot against a Raiders defense that ranks 30th in pass DVOA (per Football Outsiders) and is allowing a +6.09 average Opponent Plus/Minus to quarterbacks over the past 12 months. The last time Mahomes faced this defense earlier in the year, he hung a 443-4 line on them back in Week 2.
Additionally, the Chiefs’ 30.5 implied team total leads the lead by three points. It’s hard to imagine Mahomes failing in this spot with how good the Chiefs are off bye weeks against one of the worst pass defenses in the league, unless their running backs rack up touchdowns on the ground. But, that doesn’t seem too likely since the Chiefs have one of the higher run/pass splits, passing on 63% of plays, while 72% of their touchdowns have been via the pass.
Also working in Mahomes’ favor, Tyreek Hill (hamstring) is back to practicing in full.
