This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver
- Josh Allen ($7600 DraftKings, $8600 FanDuel)
- Stefon Diggs ($7600 DraftKings, $7900 FanDuel)
- Keenan Allen ($8000 DraftKings, $8200 FanDuel)
We’re going back to a quarterback + wide receiver stack that was very successful for us in Week 9.
Buffalo comes off its bye week refreshed and replenished against a Chargers team that has struggled over the past month. Los Angeles lost three games in a row before almost blowing an 18-point lead at home to the winless Jets.
Allen presents a matchup up problem for any defense, but will be especially problematic for the Chargers, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing signal-callers. Los Angeles does not generate turnovers, having allowed quarterbacks 20 passing touchdowns with five interceptions.
The Chargers’ defense ranks 23rd in adjusted sack rate, which should give Allen plenty of time to pick apart their defense. Allen has greatly improved on his inaccuracy, posting a 75.2% true completion percentage per PlayerProfiler. With Buffalo wideout John Brown now ruled out, Diggs should command an even larger target share than normal.
By stacking with Stefon Diggs and Keenan Allen, we are getting two elite and consistent fantasy wide receivers.
This game features the third-highest over/under on the Sunday slate, and any game that features the Chargers tends to become a shootout. Here are the scores from their games since Week 4:
- at Tampa Bay 38-31 (L)
- at New Orleans 30-27 (L)
- Jacksonville 39-29 (W)
- at Denver 31-30 (L)
- Las Vegas 31-26 (L)
- at Miami 29-21 (L)
- Jets 34-28 (W)
The only downside to this stack is the cost, but using the FantasyLabs optimizer, we were still able to generate a very strong DraftKings lineup, that included top tight tend Travis Kelce, and two workhorse running backs.
The Allen-Diggs connection, Buffalo off a bye, no John Brown, and Keenan Allen’s incredible efficiency and volume make this stack well-worth the price cost.
Quarterback + Tight End + Opposing Wide Receiver
- Derek Carr ($5700 DraftKings, $7100 FanDuel)
- Darren Waller ($6000 DraftKings, $7100 FanDuel)
- Calvin Ridley ($7100 DraftKings, $8100 FanDuel)
There is something that always brings pause when including Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr in a DFS stack.
Regardless, we are rolling with him.
Carr faces an Atlanta defense that allowed the overall QB4 performance to Denver’s Drew Lock and and overall QB7 line to first time starter Taysom Hill. While Carr won’t approach the rushing upside of Hill, he has a strong chance for a multi-touchdown game.
The normally conservative Carr has enjoyed his best season as a professional. He has thrown 19 touchdowns with just three interceptions and ranks fourth with 8.2 adjusted air yards per attempt (PlayerProfiler). Carr has also been surprisingly active in the red zone, ranking seventh with 54 pass attempts.
I am pairing Carr with tight end Darren Waller, whose incredible season if being overshadowed by Travis Kelce’s positional dominance.
Waller has finished as a top-five tight end on five separate occasions and ranks first at the position with a 28.1% target share. His 60 receptions are second among tight ends and he has five or more receptions in five of the past six Raiders games. He should feast on an Atlanta defense that allows 19.3 schedule-adjusted fantasy points to the position, a full 22% more than the next most generous team (Buffalo).
Not surprisingly, Waller is popping in the FantasyLabs Bales’ Model as the tight end with the second highest projection (12.1) and ceiling (16.1).
With All-Pro Falcons wideout Julio Jones still questionable (hamstring). we turn to his teammate Calvin Ridley who looked completely recovered from a foot injury suffered in Week 8. Last week against New Orleans, Ridley totaled five receptions and 90 receiving yards including 161 air yards. He draws CB Trayvon Mullen, who ranks just 69th in PFF cornerbacks grades. Ridley’s first overall rank at the position in air yards (1137) and deep targets (22) make him a potential week winner at home against the Raiders secondary.
Using the FantasyLabs Optimizer, I prioritized this four-player stack and generated the following FanDuel lineup:
This also gave me exposure to Diggs, and the big-play upside of Tyreek Hill.
Atlanta’s pass defense has been DFS friendly all season, and the price savings on Carr makes this stack even more tempting.
Running Back + Defense/Special Teams
- Nick Chubb ($7,100 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel)
- Browns D/ST ($3,100 DraftKings, $4,900 FanDuel)
The Nick Chubb explosion game is coming, and it might very well be in Week 12.
Jacksonville has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs,
Since returning from his MCL tear, Chubb has logged consecutive games with over 100 total yards in terrible weather conditions. Despite splitting time with fellow running back Kareem Hunt, Chubb has seen at least 10 carries in both games, which is plenty of volume to reach the coveted 3X value.
Chubb should see plenty of positive game scripts with his Cleveland defense facing journeyman Mike Glennon. The Browns have 27 sacks on the season and faces a Jacksonville offensive line that has allowed an 8.1% sack rate (29th in the league).
The presence of Hunt will suppress ownership, which we only project at 9-12% ownership. According to the Bales Model, Chubb also carries the seventh-highest floor among all running backs. Chubb is exactly what we want at a DFS running back: a high-floor with multi-touchdown upside.
I was able to use the optimizer positional rules and player correlations to generate a DraftKings lineup that gives me exposure to Josh Allen, Keenan Allen, and top tight end Travis Kelce.
Chubb’s injuries, recent lack of high-end production, and Hunt’s presence have cooled DFS players to his massive upside. Take advantage with one of the NFL’s best pure rushers that has inevitable multi-touchdown performance pending.
Pictured above: Stefon Diggs #14 and Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills
Photo credit: Frederick Breedon/Getty Images
