In this piece, I highlight wide receivers who stand out in our large suite of analytical fantasy tools, most specifically, our FantasyLabs Player Models. While the models are built for DFS contests, this is an all-purpose fantasy article with actionable information for all formats.
As news breaks throughout the week and we adjust our projections (powered by Sean Koerner), player ratings in our Player Models will change. For updates, visit the models directly.
And don’t forget about the tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, like our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.
Top NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks in the FantasyLabs Models
On DraftKings, there are two wide receivers near the top of the Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon, Cash Game, and Tournament Player Models.
- Stefon Diggs
- CeeDee Lamb
We’ll discuss why these are popping in our models, as well as take a look at some other wide receivers.
Top Model NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks
Stefon Diggs ($8,300 DraftKings, $9,400 FanDuel): Buffalo Bills (-7.5) vs. Cleveland Browns (49.5 total)
Stefon Diggs was a workhorse for the Bills last week, catching 12 of 16 targets for 128 yards. His 16 targets got him a 39% market share on the week, marking his fifth straight game above 30%. The chemistry between Diggs and Allen is amazing, as Allen has no issue just honing in on his top option. Diggs has 100+ receiving yards in four of his last five games, while he reached 93 in the one game under that total.
The Browns play a style of defense that should suit Diggs well. The Browns run a lot of zone and Cover-3, while Diggs averaged 3.06 yards per route run against zone coverage, which is second in the league. Against Cover-3, Diggs is averaging 3.3 yards per route run, which is fourth in the league.
The Browns have actually done alright against opposing WR1s, giving up the third least fantasy points per game to them. They have allowed the eight most yards per target and yards per catch to opposing receivers, so we’re not too worried.
When volume meets an exploitable matchup, that’s means for excitement. The move to the dome will also massively help Diggs, as I don’t know how he would’ve fared in a few feet of snow.
Diggs is the top receiver in our Cash Game Model, as well as Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon’s Pro Model.
CeeDee Lamb ($7,500 DraftKings, $8,100 FanDuel): Dallas Cowboys (-1.5) at Minnesota Vikings (48.5 total)
CeeDee Lamb has been seeing insane usage all year but hasn’t been able to cash in any truly great fantasy performances. Lamb has seen 33% of team targets on the year, so his 38% market share last week was nothing unordinary. What was different was Lamb’s efficiency and touchdown production.
Lamb racked up 150 yards through the air, which was his first time eclipsing 100 yards on the season. He also found the end zone twice after only having three touchdowns over the course of Dallas’ first eight games. Lamb now leads all receivers in team target share at 32.1% while ranking fourth in share of air yards at 41.3% and third in target rate per route run at 30.1%.
When these teams met last year, Lamb caught six of eight targets for 112 yards with Cooper Rush under center. The Vikings play a ton of zone coverage, which fares well for Lamb. He has a 31.2% target share against zone, which is third in the league.
Minnesota has been ravaged by opposing receivers, giving up 9.2 yards per target, and the seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing WR1s.
Lamb is the top receiver in our Tournament Model this week.
Other Notable NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,200 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel): Detroit Lions (+3) at New York Giants (43 total)
Amon-Ra St. Brown continues to just rack up targets when he’s on the field. He caught 10 of 11 targets last week for 119 yards against Detroit. He also may have reaggravated his ankle injury late in the last week’s game. However, he stayed in the game and doesn’t have an injury designation this week. St. Brown’s target numbers increase when the opposing defense blitzes, and that’s exactly what the Giants like to do.
St. Brown is second among all receivers in target rate per route run against the blitz at 40.3%. The Giants have given up big games to opposing slot receivers, with CeeDee Lamb, Randall Cobb, and Christian Kirk all putting up 87 or more yards, with Lamb finding the end zone.
Courtland Sutton ($6,000 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel): Denver Broncos (-2.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (41.5 total)
Courtland Sutton has proved to be Russell Wilson’s favorite target, and he fit the bill last week. The Broncos offense flopped as a whole, but Sutton still saw 11 targets, catching six balls for 66 yards. Sutton had a good day against the Raiders’ the last time these teams matched up, catching five of seven targets for 52 yards and a touchdown. Jerry Jeudy’s injury certainly helped Sutton’s target numbers, and with Jeudy sidelined this week as well, we can expect another double-digit target game from Sutton.
The Raiders have fared well against boundary receivers, giving up merely 7.9 yards per target and a mere 1.1% touchdown rate. Sutton’s volume can hopefully be enough to overcome the matchup.
Parris Campbell ($4,300 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel): Indianapolis Colts (+7) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (45.5 total)
Parris Campbell’s rapport with Matt Ryan is almost like prime Julio Jones. Not really, but Campbell’s performance with Ryan has been stellar. In his last three games with Ryan under center, Campbell has put up 7-57-1, 10-70-1, and 7-76-1. He’s seen 32 targets in the three games, with at least nine in each. Campbell operates fairly close to the line of scrimmage, averaging just 9.6 yards per catch and 6.9 yards per target.
Campbell will need to rely on a lot of reception volume to reach value, which he should see. He is priced very cheaply, so it won’t take too much for him to pay off his price tag.
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