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Raybon’s Week 11 NFL DFS Breakdown: Lamar Will Keep Smashing

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) dives for extra yards during the first first quarter against the Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium.

This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.

Week 11 shmoney time.

Quarterback (Cash)

  • Lamar Jackson ($7,700 DK, $8,800 FD) vs. HOU

Lamar Jackson has scored fewer than 21 DK points once all season and figures to stay above that mark again against a Texans defense allowing the sixth-most DK points per game to opposing QBs (23.0). Jackson is the only home QB with a Projected Plus/Minus of +3.0 or better in our NFL Player Models. Since the start of last season, QBs at home with a Projected Plus/Minus of +3.0 or greater are averaging 22.2 DK points, a +4.44 Plus/Minus and a 72% Consistency Rating, according to our NFL Trends tool.

Running Back (Cash)

This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.

Week 11 shmoney time.

Quarterback (Cash)

  • Lamar Jackson ($7,700 DK, $8,800 FD) vs. HOU

Lamar Jackson has scored fewer than 21 DK points once all season and figures to stay above that mark again against a Texans defense allowing the sixth-most DK points per game to opposing QBs (23.0). Jackson is the only home QB with a Projected Plus/Minus of +3.0 or better in our NFL Player Models. Since the start of last season, QBs at home with a Projected Plus/Minus of +3.0 or greater are averaging 22.2 DK points, a +4.44 Plus/Minus and a 72% Consistency Rating, according to our NFL Trends tool.

Running Back (Cash)