This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze three key MLB players in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Corey Kluber: Pitcher, Indians
Weather permitting, Kluber is in a nice spot today, as the opposing White Sox are implied for a slate-low 3.2 runs (per our Vegas Dashboard) and the Indians have slate-high moneyline odds of -254. Kluber also sports a solid K Prediction of 8.2, which when paired with similar Vegas data historically provides tremendous value on DraftKings (per our Trends tool):
The highest-priced pitcher across both sites, Kluber will get his second start since returning from a back injury that cost him most of May. The former Cy Young winner didn’t waste any time returning to elite form, posting some ridiculous Statcast data, including a batted ball distance of 173 feet, exit velocity of 88 miles per hour, and fly ball rate of 22 percent. Due to a significant chance of rain, it’s possible that Kluber could have a reduced ownership rate, which Pro subscribers can review shortly after lock in our DFS Ownership Dashboard. If the weather in Cleveland doesn’t clear, Kluber should likely be avoided in cash games.
Note: The White Sox-Indians game currently has a 78 percent chance of precipitation. Monitor weather throughout the day on our MLB Lineups page.
Andrew Benintendi: Outfielder, Red Sox
The Red Sox are far from sneaky, as their implied team total of 5.5 runs leads the slate, but they also have the second-highest Team Value Rating on FanDuel:
Benintendi has three home runs over his past four games, and Tigers right-handed pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has the slate’s second-worst marks with a 1.651 WHIP and 2.109 HR/9 over the last year. With a team-leading 99 percent Bargain Rating on FanDuel, Benintendi is surprisingly affordable: His salary has dropped $700 over his past 10 games despite his strong recent batted ball distance of 226 feet, exit velocity of 92 miles per hour, and fly ball rate of 52 percent. Historically, FanDuel batters with comparable lineup spots, implied team totals, and Statcast data have recorded a Plus/Minus of +1.29.
Logan Forsythe: Third Base, Dodgers
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The Dodgers are currently implied to score 5.1 runs against the Reds, who are starting the exploitable Amir Garrett, who has a slate-worst 2.903 HR/9. Forsythe is projected to lead off and will likely be a core player in Dodgers stacks:
Like teammate Bronson Arroyo, Garrett has been crushed recently with a batted ball distance of 248 feet, exit velocity of 96 miles per hour, and fly ball and hard hit rates of 60 and 46 percent. Garrett’s recent 0.685 wOBA allowed is easily the slate’s worst mark, and Forsythe’s Recent Batted Ball Luck of +41 suggests he could be due for positive regression. Why not tonight?
Good luck, and be sure to read today’s MLB Breakdown!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
