This past weekend was a good one for the TASER metric (I’m linking the introduction post, as I’ve had several Twitter questions about not understanding it), as several of the guys at the top of the list saw regression back to the mean. Of note, both of the Lions wide receivers – Golden Tate and Calvin Johnson – had high TASERs and saw big games in Week 6 against the Bears. Tate was our first player last week to have a double digit TASER and he finished with 6-40-1 although that probably even understates it, as he should’ve had a second TD were it not for a bogus offensive pass interference call on Megatron.
Speaking of Megatron, he finished with a line of 6-166-1 and looked very much like himself again. I think the TASER metric is showing it can be useful – it’s definitely not some crazy complicated statistic by any means and I don’t ever want to come across as braggy or anything, but I really do think it helps visualize players who have been “lucky” or not and whether that will change. Sometimes it doesn’t, but it is far more often that it does.
I updated the metric through Week 6 and we have a new #1 this week after Tate’s regression, although it’s a guy we’re familiar with on this list: Demaryius Thomas. And he’s super interesting this year, so I want to take a moment to talk about him.
There is no shortage of targets being sent his way. And it’s a debate in the fantasy community right now whether his fantasy production struggles have been because of Peyton Manning and his arm issues or whether Thomas should bear some of the blame. After watching the Broncos this past week, I think it’s a good mix of both, and I leaned heavily on blaming Peyton before that. Thomas has looked shaky and dropped several balls – sure, they aren’t Aaron Rodgers throws at this point, but Thomas is an elite talent and a ball hitting him in the hands should be caught, regardless of its wobbly-ness.
I’ll quickly touch on some other guys at the top of this list before the table. Amari Cooper didn’t change because of his bye week. Charles Clay is a surprising visitor – he’s way ahead of the other tight ends – but has been a target monster in the Bills offense and should see some regression, especially if Tyrod Taylor is able to return this week. Lastly, regression is going to come hard for Antonio Brown and it’s going to come soon, whether it’s from the hands of Landry Jones or Ben Roethlisberger. Get on board.
Here’s the data. Enjoy and good luck in Week 7.
| Name | Team | Position | TASER |
| Thomas, Demaryius | DEN | WR | 9.222 |
| Cooper, Amari | OAK | WR | 9.000 |
| Clay, Charles | BUF | TE | 7.857 |
| Benjamin, Travis | CLE | WR | 7.000 |
| Tate, Golden | DET | WR | 7.000 |
| Allen, Keenan | SD | WR | 6.750 |
| Brown, Antonio | PIT | WR | 6.182 |
| Britt, Kenny | STL | WR | 6.000 |
| Cooper, Riley | PHI | WR | 6.000 |
| Matthews, Rishard | MIA | WR | 6.000 |
| Sanders, Emmanuel | DEN | WR | 5.769 |
| Crabtree, Michael | OAK | WR | 5.700 |
| Colston, Marques | NO | WR | 5.667 |
| Lewis, Dion | NE | RB | 5.625 |
| Dorsett, Phillip | IND | WR | 5.600 |
| Baldwin, Doug | SEA | WR | 5.571 |
| Jones, Julio | ATL | WR | 5.563 |
| Cooks, Brandin | NO | WR | 5.556 |
| Wilson, Marquess | CHI | WR | 5.429 |
| Gabriel, Taylor | CLE | WR | 5.167 |
| Woodhead, Danny | SD | RB | 5.125 |
| Bennett, Martellus | CHI | TE | 5.083 |
| Floyd, Malcom | SD | WR | 5.000 |
| Harvin, Percy | BUF | WR | 5.000 |
| Lockett, Tyler | SEA | WR | 5.000 |
| Tamme, Jacob | ATL | TE | 5.000 |
| Williams, Maxx | BAL | TE | 5.000 |
| Randle, Rueben | NYG | WR | 4.875 |
| Maclin, Jeremy | KC | WR | 4.846 |
| Murray, Latavius | OAK | RB | 4.800 |
| Spiller, C.J. | NO | RB | 4.800 |
| Watkins, Sammy | BUF | WR | 4.800 |
| Forsett, Justin | BAL | RB | 4.750 |
| Vereen, Shane | NYG | RB | 4.750 |
| Bernard, Giovani | CIN | RB | 4.667 |
| Brown, Marlon | BAL | WR | 4.667 |
| Matthews, Jordan | PHI | WR | 4.643 |
| Woods, Robert | BUF | WR | 4.571 |
| Robinson, Allen | JAC | WR | 4.563 |
| Johnson, Calvin | DET | WR | 4.500 |
| Moncrief, Donte | IND | WR | 4.462 |
| Ertz, Zach | PHI | TE | 4.444 |
| Beckham, Odell | NYG | WR | 4.412 |
| Jennings, Rashad | NYG | RB | 4.400 |
| Hurns, Allen | JAC | WR | 4.385 |
| Cook, Jared | STL | TE | 4.375 |
| Johnson, Duke | CLE | RB | 4.375 |
| Riddick, Theo | DET | RB | 4.364 |
| Evans, Mike | TB | WR | 4.333 |
| Johnson, David | ARI | RB | 4.333 |
| Edelman, Julian | NE | WR | 4.313 |
| Brown, John | ARI | WR | 4.308 |
| Kelce, Travis | KC | TE | 4.250 |
| Ingram, Mark | NO | RB | 4.222 |
| Crowder, Jamison | WAS | WR | 4.200 |
| Gordon, Melvin | SD | RB | 4.200 |
| Miller, Lamar | MIA | RB | 4.200 |
| Hilton, T.Y. | IND | WR | 4.188 |
| Smith, Steve | BAL | WR | 4.188 |
| Cunningham, Benny | STL | RB | 4.167 |
| Wheaton, Markus | PIT | WR | 4.167 |
| Dunbar, Lance | DAL | RB | 4.143 |
| Sproles, Darren | PHI | RB | 4.125 |
| Washington, Nate | HOU | WR | 4.125 |
| Freeman, Devonta | ATL | RB | 4.083 |
| Shorts, Cecil | HOU | WR | 4.077 |
| Garcon, Pierre | WAS | WR | 4.067 |
| Amendola, Danny | NE | WR | 4.000 |
| Conley, Chris | KC | WR | 4.000 |
| Douglas, Harry | TEN | WR | 4.000 |
| Fells, Darren | ARI | TE | 4.000 |
| Heyward-Bey, Darrius | PIT | WR | 4.000 |
| Snead, Willie | NO | WR | 4.000 |
| Thomas, Julius | JAC | TE | 4.000 |
| Fitzgerald, Larry | ARI | WR | 3.941 |
| Green, A.J. | CIN | WR | 3.938 |
| Aiken, Kamar | BAL | WR | 3.909 |
| Watson, Benjamin | NO | TE | 3.909 |
| Wallace, Mike | MIN | WR | 3.900 |
| Fleener, Coby | IND | TE | 3.889 |
| Mumphery, Keith | HOU | WR | 3.875 |
| Hopkins, DeAndre | HOU | WR | 3.852 |
| Agholor, Nelson | PHI | WR | 3.833 |
| Polk, Chris | HOU | RB | 3.833 |
| Marshall, Brandon | NYJ | WR | 3.813 |
| Ginn, Ted | CAR | WR | 3.800 |
| Beasley, Cole | DAL | WR | 3.778 |
| Reed, Jordan | WAS | TE | 3.727 |
| Anderson, C.J. | DEN | RB | 3.667 |
| Enunwa, Quincy | NYJ | WR | 3.667 |
| Patton, Quinton | SF | WR | 3.667 |
| Walker, Delanie | TEN | TE | 3.667 |
| Jones, Marvin | CIN | WR | 3.643 |
| Wright, Kendall | TEN | WR | 3.636 |
| Graham, Jimmy | SEA | TE | 3.615 |
| Kendricks, Lance | STL | TE | 3.600 |
| Wilson, Albert | KC | WR | 3.600 |
| Diggs, Stefon | MIN | WR | 3.571 |
| Funchess, Devin | CAR | WR | 3.571 |
| Hartline, Brian | CLE | WR | 3.571 |
| Kearse, Jermaine | SEA | WR | 3.556 |
| Hawkins, Andrew | CLE | WR | 3.545 |
| Gore, Frank | IND | RB | 3.500 |
| Huff, Josh | PHI | WR | 3.500 |
| Sims, Charles | TB | RB | 3.500 |
| Smith, Torrey | SF | WR | 3.500 |
| Charles, Jamaal | KC | RB | 3.455 |
| Murray, DeMarco | PHI | RB | 3.444 |
| Powell, Bilal | NYJ | RB | 3.429 |
| Avant, Jason | KC | WR | 3.400 |
| Randle, Joseph | DAL | RB | 3.400 |
| Thielen, Adam | MIN | WR | 3.400 |
| Foster, Arian | HOU | RB | 3.375 |
| Rodgers, Richard | GB | TE | 3.364 |
| Austin, Miles | PHI | WR | 3.333 |
| Hyde, Carlos | SF | RB | 3.333 |
| Witten, Jason | DAL | TE | 3.308 |
| Bailey, Stedman | STL | WR | 3.286 |
| Hunter, Justin | TEN | WR | 3.286 |
| Murphy, Louis | TB | WR | 3.286 |
| Abdullah, Ameer | DET | RB | 3.250 |
| Johnson, Andre | IND | WR | 3.250 |
| Thompson, Chris | WAS | RB | 3.231 |
| Ebron, Eric | DET | TE | 3.222 |
| Grant, Ryan | WAS | WR | 3.200 |
| Hankerson, Leonard | ATL | WR | 3.200 |
| Johnson, Steve | SD | WR | 3.200 |
| Meredith, Cameron | CHI | WR | 3.200 |
| Brown, Corey | CAR | WR | 3.167 |
| Mathews, Ryan | PHI | RB | 3.167 |
| McFadden, Darren | DAL | RB | 3.167 |
| Wright, Jarius | MIN | WR | 3.167 |
| McCoy, LeSean | BUF | RB | 3.143 |
| Coleman, Brandon | NO | WR | 3.125 |
| Jennings, Greg | MIA | WR | 3.125 |
| Yeldon, T.J. | JAC | RB | 3.125 |
| Gillmore, Crockett | BAL | TE | 3.111 |
| White, Roddy | ATL | WR | 3.111 |
| Montgomery, Ty | GB | WR | 3.100 |
| Daniels, Owen | DEN | TE | 3.091 |
| Gronkowski, Rob | NE | TE | 3.063 |
| Bell, LeVeon | PIT | RB | 3.000 |
| Bellamy, Josh | CHI | WR | 3.000 |
| Celek, Garrett | SF | TE | 3.000 |
| Cobb, Randall | GB | WR | 3.000 |
| Crowell, Isaiah | CLE | RB | 3.000 |
| Harris, Dwayne | NYG | WR | 3.000 |
| Landry, Jarvis | MIA | WR | 3.000 |
| Lewis, Marcedes | JAC | TE | 3.000 |
| Owusu, Chris | NYJ | WR | 3.000 |
| Stills, Kenny | MIA | WR | 3.000 |
| Walters, Bryan | JAC | WR | 3.000 |
| Olsen, Greg | CAR | TE | 2.950 |
| Barnidge, Gary | CLE | TE | 2.941 |
| Sanu, Mohamed | CIN | WR | 2.909 |
| Donnell, Larry | NYG | TE | 2.857 |
| Jackson, Fred | SEA | RB | 2.857 |
| Peterson, Adrian | MIN | RB | 2.833 |
| Fowler, Bennie | DEN | WR | 2.800 |
| Ross, Rashad | WAS | WR | 2.800 |
| Royal, Eddie | CHI | WR | 2.786 |
| Moore, Lance | DET | WR | 2.769 |
| Robinson, Khiry | NO | RB | 2.750 |
| Starks, James | GB | RB | 2.750 |
| Williams, Terrance | DAL | WR | 2.750 |
| Cameron, Jordan | MIA | TE | 2.733 |
| Jackson, Vincent | TB | WR | 2.722 |
| Adams, Davante | GB | WR | 2.714 |
| Davis, Vernon | SF | TE | 2.714 |
| Floyd, Michael | ARI | WR | 2.714 |
| Forte, Matt | CHI | RB | 2.714 |
| McCluster, Dexter | TEN | RB | 2.714 |
| Rivera, Mychal | OAK | TE | 2.714 |
| Smith, Devin | NYJ | WR | 2.714 |
| Dickson, Ed | CAR | TE | 2.667 |
| Greene, Rashad | JAC | WR | 2.667 |
| Hogan, Chris | BUF | WR | 2.667 |
| Inman, Dontrelle | SD | WR | 2.625 |
| Eifert, Tyler | CIN | TE | 2.600 |
| Tye, Will | NYG | TE | 2.600 |
| Jones, James | GB | WR | 2.579 |
| Boldin, Anquan | SF | WR | 2.571 |
| Green, Ladarius | SD | TE | 2.571 |
| Grimes, Jonathan | HOU | RB | 2.571 |
| Roberts, Andre | WAS | WR | 2.571 |
| Rudolph, Kyle | MIN | TE | 2.538 |
| Boyle, Nick | BAL | TE | 2.500 |
| Graham, Garrett | HOU | TE | 2.500 |
| Austin, Tavon | STL | WR | 2.462 |
| Reece, Marcel | OAK | FB | 2.455 |
| Kerley, Jeremy | NYJ | WR | 2.429 |
| Lacy, Eddie | GB | RB | 2.429 |
| Willson, Luke | SEA | TE | 2.429 |
| Andrews, Antonio | TEN | RB | 2.400 |
| Decker, Eric | NYJ | WR | 2.400 |
| Lee, Marqise | JAC | WR | 2.400 |
| Oliver, Branden | SD | RB | 2.400 |
| OShaughnessy, James | KC | TE | 2.400 |
| Stewart, Jonathan | CAR | RB | 2.400 |
| Whittaker, Fozzy | CAR | RB | 2.400 |
| Lynch, Marshawn | SEA | RB | 2.375 |
| Gates, Antonio | SD | TE | 2.333 |
| Hill, Josh | NO | TE | 2.333 |
| Myers, Brandon | TB | TE | 2.333 |
| Williams, Nick | ATL | WR | 2.333 |
| Jeffery, Alshon | CHI | WR | 2.308 |
| Dobson, Aaron | NE | WR | 2.250 |
| Wright, Timothy | DET | TE | 2.250 |
| Bell, Joique | DET | RB | 2.200 |
| Bersin, Brenton | CAR | WR | 2.200 |
| DiMarco, Patrick | ATL | FB | 2.200 |
| Fuller, Corey | DET | WR | 2.200 |
| Gragg, Chris | BUF | TE | 2.200 |
| Mason, Tre | STL | RB | 2.200 |
| Pettigrew, Brandon | DET | TE | 2.200 |
| Robinson, Josh | IND | RB | 2.200 |
| Street, Devin | DAL | WR | 2.200 |
| White, James | NE | RB | 2.200 |
| Williams, DeAngelo | PIT | RB | 2.200 |
| Norwood, Jordan | DEN | WR | 2.182 |
| Johnson, Chris | ARI | RB | 2.167 |
| McDonald, Vance | SF | TE | 2.167 |
| Williams, Karlos | BUF | RB | 2.167 |
| Hillman, Ronnie | DEN | RB | 2.143 |
| Johnson, Charles | MIN | WR | 2.143 |
| Martin, Doug | TB | RB | 2.125 |
| Parker, Preston | NYG | WR | 2.125 |
| Seferian-Jenkins, Austin | TB | TE | 2.111 |
| Thomas, DeAnthony | KC | WR | 2.111 |
| Juszczyk, Kyle | BAL | FB | 2.091 |
| Cotchery, Jerricho | CAR | WR | 2.000 |
| Fiedorowicz, C.J. | HOU | TE | 2.000 |
| Gresham, Jermaine | ARI | TE | 2.000 |
| Ivory, Chris | NYJ | RB | 2.000 |
| Janis, Jeff | GB | WR | 2.000 |
| Jones, Matt | WAS | RB | 2.000 |
| Martin, Keshawn | NE | WR | 2.000 |
| Pierce, Bernard | JAC | RB | 2.000 |
| Robinson, Denard | JAC | RB | 2.000 |
| Sankey, Bishop | TEN | RB | 2.000 |
| Stevens, Craig | TEN | TE | 2.000 |
| Toilolo, Levine | ATL | TE | 2.000 |
| Ward, Terron | ATL | RB | 2.000 |
| Brown, Jaron | ARI | WR | 1.889 |
| Miller, Heath | PIT | TE | 1.882 |
| Bryant, Martavis | PIT | WR | 1.875 |
| Helu, Roy | OAK | RB | 1.875 |
| Holmes, Andre | OAK | WR | 1.857 |
| Miller, Zach | CHI | TE | 1.857 |
| Caldwell, Andre | DEN | WR | 1.833 |
| Coffman, Chase | TEN | TE | 1.833 |
| Dixon, Anthony | BUF | RB | 1.833 |
| Matthews, Chris | SEA | WR | 1.833 |
| Roberts, Seth | OAK | WR | 1.833 |
| Walford, Clive | OAK | TE | 1.833 |
| Waller, Darren | BAL | WR | 1.833 |
| Allen, Dwayne | IND | TE | 1.800 |
| Asiata, Matt | MIN | RB | 1.800 |
| Blue, Alfred | HOU | RB | 1.800 |
| Burkhead, Rex | CIN | RB | 1.800 |
| Carrier, Derek | WAS | TE | 1.800 |
| Cumberland, Jeff | NYJ | TE | 1.800 |
| Dray, Jim | CLE | TE | 1.800 |
| Ellington, Bruce | SF | WR | 1.800 |
| Givens, Chris | BAL | WR | 1.800 |
| Griffin, Ryan | HOU | TE | 1.800 |
| Harbor, Clay | JAC | TE | 1.800 |
| Mariani, Marc | CHI | WR | 1.800 |
| Nelson, J.J. | ARI | WR | 1.800 |
| Smith, Lee | OAK | TE | 1.800 |
| Doyle, Jack | IND | TE | 1.750 |
| Fasano, Anthony | TEN | TE | 1.727 |
| Miller, Bruce | SF | FB | 1.714 |
| Phillips, John | SD | TE | 1.714 |
| Taliaferro, Lorenzo | BAL | RB | 1.714 |
| Bell, Blake | SF | TE | 1.667 |
| Ellington, Andre | ARI | RB | 1.667 |
| Ellison, Rhett | MIN | TE | 1.667 |
| Green-Beckham, Dorial | TEN | WR | 1.667 |
| Lockette, Ricardo | SEA | WR | 1.667 |
| Williams, Damien | MIA | RB | 1.667 |
| Tolbert, Mike | CAR | FB | 1.625 |
| Bolden, Brandon | NE | RB | 1.600 |
| Cunningham, Jerome | NYG | TE | 1.600 |
| Davis, Geremy | NYG | WR | 1.600 |
| Davis, Knile | KC | RB | 1.600 |
| Harris, Demetrius | KC | TE | 1.600 |
| Jones, T.J. | DET | WR | 1.600 |
| McKinnon, Jerick | MIN | RB | 1.600 |
| Olawale, Jamize | OAK | RB | 1.600 |
| Quick, Brian | STL | WR | 1.600 |
| Rodgers, Jacquizz | CHI | RB | 1.600 |
| Sherman, Anthony | KC | FB | 1.600 |
| Zenner, Zach | DET | FB | 1.600 |
| Campanaro, Michael | BAL | WR | 1.571 |
| Morris, Alfred | WAS | RB | 1.571 |
| West, Charcandrick | KC | RB | 1.556 |
| Bryant, Dez | DAL | WR | 1.500 |
| Davis, Mike | SF | RB | 1.500 |
| Green, Virgil | DEN | TE | 1.500 |
| Housler, Rob | CLE | TE | 1.500 |
| Johnson, Malcolm | CLE | FB | 1.500 |
| Kuhn, John | GB | FB | 1.500 |
| White, Myles | NYG | WR | 1.500 |
| Chandler, Scott | NE | TE | 1.462 |
| Celek, Brent | PHI | TE | 1.444 |
| Parker, DeVante | MIA | WR | 1.444 |
| Allen, Javorius | BAL | RB | 1.429 |
| Gerhart, Toby | JAC | RB | 1.429 |
| Hill, Jeremy | CIN | RB | 1.429 |
| Strong, Jaelen | HOU | WR | 1.429 |
| Whalen, Griff | IND | WR | 1.429 |
| Bowe, Dwayne | CLE | WR | 1.400 |
| Bradshaw, Ahmad | IND | RB | 1.400 |
| Burton, Michael | DET | FB | 1.400 |
| Coates, Sammie | PIT | WR | 1.400 |
| Davis, Kellen | NYJ | TE | 1.400 |
| Dye, Donteea | TB | WR | 1.400 |
| Fisher, Jake | CIN | OT | 1.400 |
| Goodwin, Marquise | BUF | WR | 1.400 |
| Harkey, Cory | STL | TE | 1.400 |
| Herron, Dan | BUF | RB | 1.400 |
| Jackson, DeSean | WAS | WR | 1.400 |
| Jones, Taiwan | OAK | RB | 1.400 |
| Line, Zach | MIN | FB | 1.400 |
| Patterson, Cordarrelle | MIN | WR | 1.400 |
| Quarless, Andrew | GB | TE | 1.400 |
| Rawls, Thomas | SEA | RB | 1.400 |
| Shepard, Russell | TB | WR | 1.400 |
| Tate, Brandon | CIN | WR | 1.400 |
| Varga, Tyler | IND | FB | 1.400 |
| White, DeAndrew | SF | WR | 1.400 |
| Whitehead, Lucky | DAL | WR | 1.400 |
| Young, Darrel | WAS | FB | 1.400 |
| Sims, Dion | MIA | TE | 1.375 |
| Coleman, Tevin | ATL | RB | 1.333 |
| Fells, Daniel | NYG | TE | 1.333 |
| Grant, Corey | JAC | RB | 1.333 |
| Gurley, Todd | STL | RB | 1.333 |
| Pruitt, MyCole | MIN | TE | 1.333 |
| Ross, Jeremy | BAL | WR | 1.333 |
| Stoneburner, Jake | MIA | TE | 1.333 |
| Bush, Reggie | SF | RB | 1.286 |
| Hewitt, Ryan | CIN | TE | 1.286 |
| Johnson, Austin | NO | FB | 1.286 |
| Escobar, Gavin | DAL | TE | 1.250 |
| Alualu, Tyson | JAC | DT | 1.200 |
| Cadet, Travaris | NE | RB | 1.200 |
| Clutts, Tyler | DAL | FB | 1.200 |
| Coleman, Derrick | SEA | FB | 1.200 |
| Daniels, B.J. | SEA | WR | 1.200 |
| Davis, Cody | STL | DB | 1.200 |
| Felton, Jerome | BUF | FB | 1.200 |
| Flowers, Ereck | NYG | OT | 1.200 |
| Fowler, Jalston | TEN | FB | 1.200 |
| Gray, MarQueis | BUF | TE | 1.200 |
| Hanna, James | DAL | TE | 1.200 |
| Hayne, Jarryd | SF | RB | 1.200 |
| Helfet, Cooper | SEA | TE | 1.200 |
| Jacobs, Nic | JAC | TE | 1.200 |
| Johnson, David | SD | TE | 1.200 |
| Latimer, Cody | DEN | WR | 1.200 |
| Lee, Khari | CHI | TE | 1.200 |
| Moore, Marlon | CLE | WR | 1.200 |
| Mulligan, Matthew | BUF | TE | 1.200 |
| Niklas, Troy | ARI | TE | 1.200 |
| Nix, Roosevelt | PIT | RB | 1.200 |
| Penn, Donald | OAK | T | 1.200 |
| Slater, Matthew | NE | WR | 1.200 |
| Spaeth, Matt | PIT | TE | 1.200 |
| Stafford, Matthew | DET | QB | 1.200 |
| Swaim, Geoff | DAL | TE | 1.200 |
| Taylor, Stepfan | ARI | RB | 1.200 |
| Thompson, Juwan | DEN | RB | 1.200 |
| Tipton, Zurlon | IND | RB | 1.200 |
| Tukuafu, Will | SEA | FB | 1.200 |
| Williams, Andre | NYG | RB | 1.200 |
| Williams, Michael | NE | TE | 1.200 |
| Wood, Cierre | BUF | RB | 1.200 |
| Perillo, Justin | GB | TE | 1.167 |
| Rainey, Bobby | TB | RB | 1.167 |
| Blount, LeGarrette | NE | RB | 1.143 |
| Butler, Brice | DAL | WR | 1.143 |
| Draughn, Shaun | CLE | RB | 1.143 |
| Hoomanawanui, Michael | NO | TE | 1.143 |
| Easley, Marcus | BUF | WR | 1.000 |
| Reitz, Joe | IND | OT | 1.000 |
| Streater, Rod | OAK | WR | 1.000 |
| Taylor, Tyrod | BUF | QB | 1.000 |
