Later today, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will play Super Bowl 57 in Glendale, Arizona. If looking for a few Super Bow longshots to make the game even more exciting to follow, we have three prop recommendations listed below that are worth considering as you lock in your final wagers for the big game!
Longshot Bets & Predictions for Super Bowl 57
- Noah Gray to Score a Touchdown (+900)
- A.J. Brown 125+ Receiving Yards (+640)
- Kenneth Gainwell to score 2+ touchdowns (+4000)
All Super Bowl odds referenced herein are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Noah Gray to Score a Touchdown (+900)
Noah Gray has only two touchdowns during his first two seasons in the NFL, but he could be worth a small wager to find the end zone against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. Per Warren Sharp, Patrick Mahomes targets wide receivers at a league-low rate, 44.2%, when facing quarters coverage this season – a notable fact against a Philadelphia defense that plays quarters at a high rate. Against quarters, Mahomes is targeting tight ends at a league-high rate of 38.5%. Gray is unlikely to be a frequent target of Mahomes in the Super Bowl, but there is a good chance he secures at least one catch, something he has done in 13 of 19 games played this year, including both games against the Broncos, both games against the Chargers, and his one game against the Bills – some of the tougher defenses that the Chiefs have faced. At such long odds, it’s hard to pass up this prop on FanDuel.
A.J. Brown 125+ Receiving Yards (+630)
Though this is not a likely outcome, it is certainly a possible outcome that A.J. Brown explodes for 125 or more receiving yards in the Super Bowl. During the regular season, Brown had three separate games with over 150 receiving yards, proving that he is capable of delivering a spectacular performance if given enough targets. According to Warren Sharp, Kansas City ranks 31st in defensive EPA and 31st in success rate this season against 11 personnel wide receiver pass attempts, which Philadelphia deploys at the third-highest rate of any team in the NFL. Brown could be in for a big day, making his alternate lines worth a sprinkle.
Kenneth Gainwell to Score 2+ Touchdowns (+4000)
Since entering the NFL, Kenneth Gainwell has never accomplished this feat. However, bettors could do worse on their longshot props than taking Gainwell to find the end zone twice in this spot. We never wish injuries on players, but Gainwell is a Miles Sanders injury away from seeing a large volume of carries in the Philadelphia backfield in the Super Bowl. Gainwell could also see his stock rise exponentially if Sanders fumbles the ball or proves ineffective in the early portion of the contest. Do not bet the house here, but Gainwell has proven that he has a nose for the end zone – he just needs a little bit of luck to find himself in an expanded role, in which this prop becomes live.