As we transition our sights this week from the small field gpp plays out to the biggest tournaments available on DraftKings for the Sanderson Farms Championship, we will focus on the latest ownership from FantasyLabs. There is a lot of condensed ownership projected for the $10 PGA TOUR Resurgence GPP. DraftKings has this $400,000 prize pool offering $100,000 to first place with just over 47,000 entries.
The picks below are specifically targeted for that tournament, but we also want to look at all of our tools and articles here to formulate our best lineup. I always start the week with Matt Vincenzi’s course form and stat breakdown, as well as his GPP highlights. Landon Silinsky does a great job highlighting the cash game plays, and this can give us a good feel for where the popular plays may come from, but it can also provide a starting point for our GPP lineups while we look for ways to get different to complete that build.
You can also dive directly into our Player Models as well as our Trends tool and Lineup Builder to create everything you need this week.
Let’s get right into the picks and see if we can build a six-figure winner in Mississippi this week.
Top Tier
Corey Conners ($10,100)
Like my small-field builds, I will start here at the bottom of the top price range with Corey Conners. I will keep an eye on projected ownership as we get closer to lock, but right now, he is projected in a reasonable mid-teen ownership range.
Conners leads the field in Long-Term Adjusted Round Score (LT Adj Rd Score). LT Adj Rd Score has one of the highest correlations to fantasy points, per our PGA Correlation Dashboard.
The big bonus with Conners is that he is cheap, and when on his game, he’s arguably the best player in this field. As I mentioned, my favorite part of the Canadian is his price, as he is at a level that allows me to buy at least two more players above the mid-price point. If Conners remains below 20% rostership as things get closer to lock, he will be a comfortable core play for me in all of my builds, regardless of field size.
Keegan Bradley ($9,700)
I am stoked to see that many are overlooking Keegan this week in DFS, and it’s mainly because Mito Pereira will be the highest-rostered golfer on the slate. Everyone, including me, is in love with what Mito brings to the table, but in DFS, you have to be able to look past that and understand he’s a young TOUR player now being priced in a slot where he likely HAS to top 5 to pay it off.
I will happily take the ball-striking stability of Bradley this week at nearly half the projected ownership in large-field GPPs with the hopes he can outplay the young Chilean.
Bradley is a great fit for this course with his long and accurate play off the tee, and his elite approach play. We just need enough of a putter to put him in the mix. He’s not good on the greens, but we know that going in, and we at least have some positive vibes to look back on as he gained three shots putting at this event last year when he finished fourth.
Mid Tier
Patton Kizzire ($8,200)
Here I am once again, trying to get Patton Kizzire right. If you follow me on Twitter, you know he has been on and off of my personal blacklist, as he seems to play well when I’m off and fail when I’m on him.
Please take that into consideration this week as I am on his birdie-making ability and love of bermuda this week at the Country Club of Jackson. He certainly has the talent and upside to win a tournament like this, but he just hasn’t put four rounds together to make it happen recently.
Thankfully, we don’t need a win this week, we just need four rounds, and if he does that, I have the confidence that he will put together enough scoring to outpace his finishing position.
Keith Mitchell ($7,800)
I’ll go to another Georgia Bulldog in this range as Keith Mitchell is a strong fit for this week’s course at the Sanderson Farms. I was pretty shocked to see him projected in low single-digits for projected ownership as he has true winning upside.
Still, it appears the DFS Community is gravitating towards the shiny new toy in Taylor Pendrith. It’s always exciting to play the new guy making the step up in competition, but is he really three times more likely to outscore Mitchell? I’d say definitely not, which makes Keith a strong large-field GPP play for leverage at the same price as Pendrith.
Value Plays
Aaron Rai ($7,300)
There are often times where players from the European Tour come over and are mispriced because we simply haven’t seen them tee it up enough in the states. That appears to be the case this week for Aaron Rai, who has two career wins in Europe and finished inside the top 20 at The Open over the summer.
He is known for being a solid wedge player, which will play well this week at the Country Club of Jackson. Once again, I’ll take his experience over some of the young guys that are set to carry higher ownership.
Matt Wallace ($7,100)
On sheer talent alone, Matt Wallace has to be a consideration this week. I am admittedly a Wallace truther, but even so, there is no way he should be priced in this range in this field. He has multiple wins on the European Tour, has competed in top-level fields and majors, but is somehow positioned just above the minimum price point this week in Mississippi.
FantasyLabs has Wallace projected for 5-8% ownership, which is another great benefit here. He really just needs to make the cut to be a solid play, but his ceiling is truly a win. He has more win equity than anyone you will find around him, and that could still be the case if you added $1,000 to his price. I’m in on Wallace as a strong GPP play with upside to win you a large field contest.
Sleepers
Nick Hardy ($6,900)
Back to the well with Hardy again, who I wrote up in the small-field write-up and will again here as he is projected for just 2-4% ownership on the week. He’s been as consistent as they come but has shown steady top-10 upside on the Korn Ferry, alongside a top 15 at the Sony Open last January. He’s a great buy here in the lowest price range, and our model rating agrees in a big way.
Peter Malnati ($6,500)
It is not a prerequisite to be a great putter at this event, but many of them have shown up in the top 15 over the last three years. Malnati was one in 2020 when he posted a final-round 63 to finish one shot short of champion Sergio Garcia.
He beat the entire field at this event back in 2015, when he gained 11 strokes on the greens, which was two better than the nine he gained last year. In 2019 he gained 4.8 strokes on the putting surfaces at the Country Club of Jackson, so you could say he’s pretty comfortable here, and at just $500 above the minimum price, he’s a great GPP buy with extreme upside this week.
