The PGA TOUR has the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am up next. Matt Vincenzi already did the heavy lifting on what metrics he thinks matters most, so we can dive right in.
There are many variables when it comes to DFS, so I tend to take a minimalistic approach to how I approach this game, no matter what sport I am playing. I recently made the jump as a cash game grinder for the last six years to strictly playing GPP only.
Similar to my approach for NFL DFS — I stick to small-field single-entry tournaments — I make one team every week that I enter into every tournament. (I’ll still throw my lineup into some large-field tournaments because I have FOMO.)
There are a lot more losing weeks when you play with just one lineup and are a GPP only player, but the spike weeks make it worth it. Honestly, I enjoy the max variance.
Anyway, this article will focus on the three golfers I plan to build my lineup around for the upcoming week.
Don’t forget about the other tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, like our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.
This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation.
Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models.
Seamus Power ($9,400 DraftKings)
Power has been playing incredible golf over the last year, with just three missed cuts dating back to February 2021 (22 events).
Additionally, over his last 50 rounds, he ranks third in Data Golf’s True Total Strokes Gained, trailing only Patrick Cantlay and Daniel Berger. And per our PGA Models, Power ranks inside the top nine in birdies per tournament and average adjusted strokes on par 4s (-3.3) and par 5s (-5.9) over the last 75 weeks.
With roster construction this week, it’s easy to fit in Power with Cantlay or target a few other golfers in the mid-8K range or above. Power currently has a Buzz Score of 6.2 from Fanshare, so I’d expect him to have moderate ownership this week.
That said, Jason Day, Justin Rose, and Maverick McNealy will likely come in higher rostered than Power, which could push his ownership projection down if you assume most DFS players start their lineup with Cantlay + one of those guys in the mid-9K range rather than two golfers in the upper $9,000 range.
