FantasyLabs is a data company. With our Trends tool and Player Models, you can leverage our advanced statistics and premium exclusive metrics to identify players to use in your daily fantasy sports lineups.
Each week, our Data Dive articles use 10 of these metrics to highlight notable players for the week’s PGA DFS slate.
Long-Term Metrics
Sam Snead won the inaugural Wyndham Championship (then called the Greater Greensboro Open) in 1938. Snead then went on to win the tournament a ridiculous seven more times, with his final victory coming in 1965 at the age of 52.
Davis Love III won this event last year at the age of 51, proving that old guys rule. Simply take any golfer over the age of 50 this week and you should be fine.
Adjusted Round Score: 68.7, Hideki Matsuyama
Matsuyama is not over 50, but he’s pretty good. And after appearing to be broken for the better part of two months, I need to ask: Is Hideki back?
Matsuyama ball struck his way to a fourth-place finish at the PGA Championship with four consecutive rounds of 69 or better his last time out.
Even with Matsuyama’s prolonged slump, he still has the best Long-Term Adjusted Round Score (LT Adj Rd Score) in this week’s field at 68.7. He also owns the third-highest Long-Term Adjusted Birdies Per Tournament average (LT Adj Bird Avg) of 15.0.
Hideki is tied for fourth in Recent Driving Accuracy (DA) at 74.1 percent and tied for 14th in LT Greens in Regulation (GIR) at 67.7 percent.
Golfers with comparable LT metrics have previously accumulated a +2.09 Plus/Minus on DraftKings with excellent 56.9 percent Consistency. Keep in mind, however, that Hideki has missed the cut here in his last two attempts.
Greens in Regulation: 68.8%, Bill Haas
Haas does not have the top LT GIR score in the field this week. That title belongs to Rafael Cabrera-Bello, whom I’ve written about approximately 27 times in the past five weeks. Rafa is excellent, but I’ve run out of words for him.
Haas’ 68.8 percent LT GIR is tied for ninth-best in the field. Allow me to give you the many reasons why you should consider him.
His 67.9 Recent Adj Rd Score ranks second in the field, his 69.2 LT Adj Rd Score is tied for fifth, and his 62.0 LT Scrambling (SC) percentage is sixth.
What’s more: Haas’ 69.2 Course Adj Rd Score is second among golfers who have made more than two starts on this track. Haas loves this place and finished sixth last year and second in 2014.
Haas has been sniffing around for a win in two of his last four starts, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him scratch that itch in Greensboro this Sunday.
Driving Accuracy: 71.5%, Jerry Kelly
Kelly is not 50, but he is 49. It’s been scientifically proven that old guys win here. The end.
Kelly ranks second in LT DA behind Thomas Aiken, who often sits atop the LT DA category but misses cuts like it’s his job. Missing cuts is not his job, and it’s not your job when making lineups on DraftKings.
Kelly’s 63.7 LT SC percentage ranks second in the field behind the young Georgia Bulldog, Joey Garber. Speaking of Garber, his 30.9 percent LT Field score is the absolute worst in the field and is the result of him having played the majority of his tournaments on Canada’s MacKenzie Tour.
Kelly finished second two weeks ago at the Travelers Championship but missed the cut last week at the John Deere. He has a long and solid history in Greensboro: His 70.0 Course Adj Rd Score ranks seventh among golfers making more than two starts here.
Kelly is a good mid-priced tournament option this week.
Adjusted Birdies Per Tournament: 16.9, Wesley Bryan
Bryan pops in a lot of metrics this week.
Brace yourself: He leads the field in LT Adj Bird Avg, his 69.6 LT Adj Rd Score is tied for ninth, his 69.9 percent LT GIR and 62.1 LT SC percentages both rank fifth, his 67.7 percent LT DA is 11th, and his LT Adjusted Par 3 and Par 4 marks are both the best in the field.
Like I said, he pops in a lot of metrics. He’s much younger than 50 though, so . . .
Bryan didn’t disappoint with an eighth-place finish last week. Prior to that he was crushing the competition on the Web.com Tour and smashing trick shots on YouTube.
Players with a similar myriad of awesome LT metrics have traditionally produced a +2.64 Plus/Minus on DraftKings with 55.7 percent Consistency.
Course Adjusted Round Score: 68.7, Webb Simpson
Simpson has enjoyed great success at Sedgefield Country Club, home of the Wyndham Championship since 2008.
The 2011 Wyndham champion has four top-10 finishes, along with an 11th- and 22nd-place finish here since 2010 — thus, his amazing 68.7 Course Adj Rd Score.
But it’s not just course history on Simpson’s side this week: His 69.5 LT Adj Rd Score is tied for eighth and both his LT Adj Bird Avg of 13.0 and 61.0 LT SC percentage marks are 16th overall.
Simpson’s 68.2 Recent Adj Rd Score is fourth and his 71.3 percent Recent GIR is 13th. He’s made six of his last seven cuts with a third-, sixth-, and 13th-place finish in that time frame.
Simpson is sure to be highly-owned, but I like him in cash and tournaments; he’s scored more than 90 DraftKings points in three of his last seven starts.
Recent Metrics
Some big names have won the Wyndham recently at Sedgefield, including Sergio Garcia and Patrick Reed. However, Arjun Atwal and Camilo Villegas also won here, proving sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good — or just be old. Old is good.
Adjusted Round Score: 67.3, Tyrrell Hatton
If you’re a degenerate follower of the European Tour, or if you were paying attention at the recent Majors, then Hatton is no stranger to you.
He’s been on quite a run recently, with a second-place finish at the Scottish Open, followed by a fifth at The Open Championship and a 10th at the PGA Championship. Hatton has made 10 of 11 cuts since April with five top-10 finishes.
In addition to leading the field in Recent Adj Rd Score, Hatton’s 72.9 percent Recent GIR is tied for seventh and his 70.1 percent Recent DA is tied for 13th.
His LT Adj Bird Avg of 13.2 ranks 14th overall.
Players in comparable recent form have historically generated a +3.46 Plus/Minus on DraftKings with a very healthy 63.3 percent Consistency.
Greens in Regulation: 73.6%, Henrik Norlander
The aforementioned Wesley Bryan leads the field in Recent GIR this week, but at 73.6 percent in fifth place sits Norlander.
Norlander’s 16.5 Recent Adj Bird Avg ranks fourth and his 73.2 Recent DA percentage is tied for sixth.
The young Swede, who played collegiate golf at Augusta State University in Georgia, hasn’t missed a cut since the Texas Open in April. Since that time he’s made nine straight weekends while averaging 64.43 DraftKings points per contest.
Norlander’s average ownership across all contests last week was 7.69 percent, making him a beautiful piece of a stars-and-scrubs tournament roster.
Scrambling: 75.7%, John Huh
Huh’s 71.1 Recent Adj Rd Score is the 18th-worst score in the field, but hear me out.
His 75.7 percent Recent SC is top of the field and his 71.4 percent Recent DA ranks 11th overall.
What really makes Huh sexy this week is his 69.9 Course Adj Rd Score accumulated in four starts here, the eighth-best score among golfers who have made at least two starts at this course.
Huh has made the cut here four straight years, including a third-place finish in 2013.
At $6,100, Huh makes a great tournament play for those wishing to load up on a few of the higher-priced golfers this week.
Adjusted Birdies Per Tournament: 17, Jon Rahm
Rahm’s great 17.0 Adj Bird Avg is good enough for ‘only’ second this week behind Wesley Bryan, but it’s impressive nonetheless.
The young Spaniard’s 68.8 LT Adj Rd Score is second in the field to only Hideki Matsuyama.
His 68.5 Recent Adj Rd Score and 310.0 Recent Driving Distance (DD) both rank seventh.
Rahm’s game works well with the DraftKings scoring system, as he’s scored more than 100 points in two of his last three starts. His 99.0 points per game this month is the second-best mark in the field.
Rahm will win a tournament sooner rather than later; the only question is if he will be on your roster when he does.
Odds to Win: 5.9%, Patrick Reed
There is no gargantuan favorite this week, with 11 players bunched up at three percent or higher, but only Reed currently has odds greater than five percent to win.
Reed won this tournament in 2013 and his Course Adj Rd Score of 69.6 ranks sixth among golfers with at least two starts at the course.
Reed had a pretty disappointing showing in the Olympics, but had ripped off four-straight top-15 finishes prior to last week. His 69.0 LT Adj Rd Score, fourth overall, proves he is one of the best golfers in the field this week.
Both his LT and Recent Adj Bird Avg marks rank inside the top five, so you can count on him racking them up this week.
Golfers with comparable salaries and odds to win have previously accumulated a +3.21 Plus/Minus on DraftKings with 60.0 percent Consistency.
Bonus
Pro Trends: 8, Patrick Reed
Reed not only has the highest odds to win, he also holds the most Pro Trends.
His “At Least 2% Vegas-Implied Odds of Winning” Pro Trend has historically produced a +3.58 Plus/Minus on DraftKings.
Reed also carries the “Long-Term Birdie Score At Least 65” Pro Trend into action this week, good for a +2.18 Plus/Minus.
Golfers with comparable salaries, odds to win, and number of Pro Trends have previously accounted for a +1.12 Plus/Minus on DraftKings with 55.1 percent Consistency. Reed has a lot going for him this week.
