Using our Stacking tool found within our revamped Models 3.0, this piece will identify some of the top stacks of the weekend. Check out our new Correlations page as well to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver
- Dak Prescott ($6,700 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)
- Dez Bryant ($6,400 DraftKings, $7,700 FanDuel)
This Cowboys duo is the No. 1 rated stack for DraftKings in the Bales, CSURAM88, and Adam Levitan Models. Since the Ezekiel Elliott news broke, the Cowboys have jumped to 2.5-point favorites and the total has climbed to a slate-high 54 points. Prior to last week’s game, in which Prescott attempted just 22 passes and threw for 143 yards and no touchdowns, the Cowboys QB had thrown three touchdowns in three straight games and accumulated 16 total touchdowns in his last five games. Dak has been excellent as a home favorite: In 11 games, he has averaged 23.49 DraftKings points with a +6.04 Plus/Minus and 81.8 percent Consistency. In five such games with the Cowboys implied to score at least 27 points (they are currently implied for 29.3), Dak has increased those averages to 25.32 points per game (PPG) with a +7.15 Plus/Minus; he has exceeded his salary-based expectations in all five games.
Bryant has nearly double the target market share (30.83 percent) of any of his Cowboys teammates and has led the team in air yards three of the last four weeks. Bryant leads the NFL with 14 red zone targets and gets a Chiefs team that has allowed the second-most DraftKings PPG to wide receivers (41.2) this season.
Running Back + D/ST
- Leonard Fournette ($8,400 DraftKings, $8,600 FanDuel)
- Jacksonville ($3,800 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)
In case you haven’t heard, stacking a defense and running back recently won a FantasyLabs subscriber a million bucks. It wasn’t the stack Hump pointed out in last week’s Stacking Guide, but that’s an insignificant detail.
This Jaguars combination is the No. 1 rated stack for FanDuel in our Tournament Model. Fournette is back and reportedly fully healthy to take on a Cincinnati Bengals team as a healthy six-point home favorite. Before missing Week 7 with an ankle injury, Fournette had averaged 24.3 carries and 132.3 yards per game in a three-game span. Fournette has a top-five ceiling projection for both DraftKings and FanDuel this week and gets a Bengals defense that was just gashed for 82 yards and 5.1 yards per carry by the 487-year-old Frank Gore last week and 134 yards by Le’Veon Bell the week before that.
Hump wrote extensively about the Jaguars’ defense in this week’s Defense Breakdown, so I will keep it short here: They are an elite defensive unit and lead all teams with a 9.91 percent sack rate.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Tight End + Opposing Tight End
- Russell Wilson ($7,300 DraftKings)
- Doug Baldwin ($6,900 DraftKings)
- Jimmy Graham ($5,000 DraftKings)
- Vernon Davis ($4,100 DraftKings)
This unique game stack will work only on DraftKings because you can’t run out two tight ends on FanDuel. With a nonexistent running game, Wilson has thrown a lot lately: He has averaged 38.5 attempts in his last six games and has thrown the ball less than 37 times in just one of those games. During those six games, Wilson has accumulated 16 total touchdowns and hit the DraftKings’ 300-yard bonus three times.
Baldwin was comparatively quiet last week (compared to Paul Richardson, at least), but he has amassed 22 targets in the past two weeks and leads Seattle with a 24.09 percent target market share. In 28 games at home since 2014, Baldwin has averaged 15.75 DraftKings PPG with a +4.57 Plus/Minus.
Graham has been targeted more times inside the 10-yard line (nine) than any player in the NFL this season. Jimmy has had double-digit DraftKings points in his last five games, during which time he has averaged 14.8 PPG. The Redskins defense has allowed the fourth-most DraftKings PPG to tight ends (16.7) this season.
On the other side, this is setting up as a perfect storm for Davis. Jordan Reed is confirmed out, Jamison Crowder hasn’t practiced all week and is likely out, and Pro Football Focus’ No. 5 cover safety, Seattle’s Earl Thomas, is confirmed out. All of this means that Vernon will likely see a significant share of targets against a significantly weakened Seattle pass defense.
