The Week 5 NFL Dashboard
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Jets at Steelers
The Steelers will host the Jets as heavy 7.5-point favorites this Sunday. The Jets implied total of just 20.25 points is tied for sixth-lowest in Week 5. The Steelers are implied to score 27.75 points.
New York Jets
Writer: Joe Holka
QB – Ryan Fitzpatrick
The Steelers have allowed the third-most passing yards per game (427.67) to quarterbacks through four games. Per our Trends Tool, that means the Steelers pass defense is #NotThatGood:
Fitzpatrick is the top-rated DK quarterback in the Adam Levitan Model. Even though he’s been rough three out of four weeks this year, he still represents a lot of value.
RB – Matt Forte
Limited in practice Wednesday with knee and rib injuries, Forte returned to practice on Thursday and is expected to play this week. Forte has been fed the ball this season, as his 23 touches per game rank third among all running backs. However, he’s also averaged just 37.5 snaps per game over the past two weeks after averaging 57.5 during the first two weeks of the season. He could very well see fewer touches in Week 5 than most people would expect.
If you’re looking to play him, you might want to consider doing so on FanDuel, where his $7,100 price tag comes with a 96 percent Bargain Rating and seven Pro Trends.
RB – Bilal Powell
Powell has already seen an uptick in snaps and targets in the past two games. With Forte banged up, Powell could see more work, as he has reemerged as a passing-game threat while outproducing his Forte on far fewer touches for the second straight game. Powell could have sneaky upside and is our sixth-highest rated FD RB in our Tournament Model with a 92 percent Bargain Rating.
WR – Brandon Marshall
Marshall leads the team with 25.83 percent of targets (16th in the NFL) and 39.41 percent of air yards (10th in the NFL), but he just scored his first touchdown of the season in Week 4 against the Seahawks. The Steelers have yet to allow a top-20 scorer at the position on the season but have allowed the second-most receptions overall, and over the last 16 games they’ve allowed a slate-high +3.7 DK Opponent Plus/Minus to WRs.
As the No.2 FD WR in the Bales Model, Marshall has a 92 percent Bargain Rating and looks over his early-season knee injury. He will be a target monster every week Decker is sidelined and is a solid play in both cash games and guaranteed prize pools despite a less than optimal matchup against the Steelers highest-PFF graded cornerback, William Gay.
WR – Quincy Enunwa
Eric Decker has been ruled out for Week 5, so Enunwa finds himself in the No. 2 WR role once again. Enunwa himself is officially questionable with a knee issue but is expected to play. If he’s unable, rookie Robby Anderson would be elevated to the No. 2 role. Last week, Enunwa logged 94 percent of the snaps and posted a 6-60-0 stat line on seven targets as the No. 2 WR.
WR – Robby Anderson
Last week, Anderson was targeted six times as the No. 3 WR. That’s not bad for a guy who’s dirt cheap and has the 11th-highest Projected Plus/Minus at FD. Anderson hasn’t done much with his opportunities to date, but the Jets throw at a top-10 rate and will likely need to throw a lot in this game. It also helps that he’s tall (6’3″) and fast (4.36-second 40-yard dash).
TE – Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Seferian-Jenkins did not play in Week 4 after only getting in two practices after being claimed on waivers. If he plays this week, we’d probably expect him to do more than Kellen Davis . . . which doesn’t say much.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Writer: John Proctor
QB – Ben Roethlisberger
Roethlisberger was lights out last week, throwing for 300 yards and five touchdowns before pumping the brakes in the fourth quarter. He has now thrown for three or more touchdowns in three of his four outings this season. He has also shown to be much better at home than on the road over the last few seasons.
This week Big Ben gets to face off against a Jets defense that ranks 31st against the pass according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA (Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average). The Jets also rank third against the run and have funneled opponents into the pass: 88 percent of the skill position fantasy points against them have come through the air. The Jets have allowed the sixth-most passing yards on the season.
Unfortunately, due to his Week 4 performance, Roethlisberger is now priced within the top-five quarterbacks on both sites. He has zero FD and only five DK Pro Trends. That being said, he has shown over the last few years that he has as high of a ceiling as anyone. Ben is a great pivot off of Tom Brady this week.
RB – Le’Veon Bell
Bell’s return was everything that we had all been waiting for. He rushed for 144 yards, caught five passes, and even spent time lined up as a WR. He walked right back into his lead role, playing 52 of 59 snaps.
Bell draws a tough matchup this week against the Jets rushing defense, but his receiving work gives him a solid floor. Last week the Jets allowed Christine Michael to catch five of six targets for 32 yards and a touchdown.
The matchup gives Bell a very low floor of 12.9 DK points, but with his receiving prowess he also has the position’s fourth-highest ceiling. His FantasyLabs ownership projection is 21-25 percent, making him someone at least to consider fading in GPPs.
RB – DeAngelo Williams
DeAngelo managed to see 17 snaps in Week 4 but was generally only on the field when Bell was lined up at wide receiver. Williams only saw eight touches, even in a game that was quickly out of hand. DeAngelo probably won’t be relevant again without a Le’Veon injury.
WR – Antonio Brown
Brown is the highest-priced wide receiver on both DK and FD and for very good reason. There is a chance that Brown will be shadowed by Revis, but the former top cornerback is now a shell of himself. He grades out as PFF’s No. 101 cornerback out of 114 qualifiers. Brown is second in the NFL in targets and third in receptions. He is also tied for first with four touchdowns on the season. He has a 31 percent market share of the targets, with no other receiver above 15 percent.
Brown is now $9,800 on DK but is still the fourth-highest rated receiver in the Levitan Model and is going against a defense that has allowed a +2.2 DK Opponent Plus/Minus to WRs.
WR – Sammie Coates
Coates now has five receptions over 40 yards on the season, with at least one in every game. Unfortunately, none of them has resulted in a touchdown.
This week he faces a Jets defense that this season has allowed 14 receptions over 20 yards, ninth in the NFL. They also rank second in Sharp Football Stats’ explosive passes allowed against.
Coates has a 73 percent DK Bargain Rating and makes for a very interesting tournament play at a near-minimum salary on both DK and FD.
WR – Markus Wheaton
In his second week back, Wheaton was only targeted two times. However, one of those targets resulted in a two-point conversion and the second in a touchdown. While that resulted in 12 DraftKings points, Wheaton is going to be a very inconsistent option if his target volume doesn’t drastically increase.
WR – Darrius Heyward-Bey
DHB caught a touchdown in Week 4, but it was only his fourth target on the season. There’s really not much else to say.
TE – Jesse James
James saw his target totals decrease for the third straight week, only seeing two on Sunday night. Luckily for James, one of those two targets came in the red zone and resulted in a touchdown. The Outlaw is likely to be heavily reliant on touchdowns for his fantasy value.
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
