Monkey Knife Fight takes a new spin on daily fantasy, combining player props and parlays. With exciting contest structures, put your football knowledge to the test and pit player performances against one another.
Check out a few picks to consider in this exciting format for Week 3 with the help of our NFL Player Props tool.
More or Less 2/3
Kyler Murray Passing Yards (295.5) vs. Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards (248.5) vs. Laviska Shenault Receptions (4.5)
Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has proven he is one of the top quarterbacks in the league. After two weeks, Murray is second in passing touchdowns, behind only Tom Brady, throwing for 344.5 passing yards per game. In a Week 2 34-33 win over the Minnesota Vikings, Murray threw for 400 yards and three touchdowns, with an 80.6% completion rate. Dating back to last season, Murray has reached the 296 passing yard mark four times, primarily because of his rushing ability, which plays into the Cardinals’ offensive play calling.
The Cardinals are a 7.5-point favorite on the road against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranks 24th in DVOA. If Arizona can pull away going into the fourth quarter, look for a run-heavy game script and additional workload of Chase Edmonds and James Conner, trending Murray’s toward the under.
Conversely, the Jacksonville Jaguars should be playing from behind and implement a more pass-heavy scheme.
Jacksonville has called the third-most passing plays per game to start the season, averaging 39 passing plays per game (per the RotoViz NFL Pace Tool). Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has thrown the ball 84 times this season, part of an up-tempo Jaguars offense that is second in pace, calling a play every 25 seconds. Only throwing for 118 passing yards against a tough Denver Broncos defense, Lawrence should have a similar matchup against an eighth-ranked pass DVOA Cardinals defense. However, with both teams ranking in the top five in pace, expect tons of movement through the air, which trends Lawrence toward the over in a catch-up game. Chris Raybon projects Lawrence to throw for 251.5 yards, giving a slight lean to the over.
With Lawrence likely adopting the pass-heavy play-calling scheme, Laviska Shenault and the Jaguars receiving corps should benefit from the extra looks. Shenault is second in the Jaguars’ target share, seeing 19% of passes from Lawrence. A full-participant in practice this week after leaving the Week 2 23-12 loss to the Denver Broncos with a shoulder injury, Shenault should see a full allotment of looks. He was targeted seven times for two receptions in the loss. Sean Koerner projects 4.8 receptions for Shenault, trending him toward the over.
The Pick: Kyler Murray Less 295.5 passing yards, Trevor Lawrence More 248.5 passing yards, Laviska Shenault More 4.5 Receptions
More Or Less 2/2
Russell Wilson Passing Yards (295.5) vs. Kirk Cousins Passing Yards (280.5)
With a game total at 55-points, one of the highest on the slate, the matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and Minnesota Vikings looks to be a shootout. Quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Kirk Cousins rank among the top in the league in passing yards, throwing for 298.5 and 297 yards, respectively.
Wilson is coming off a 343-yard performance in a 33-30 overtime loss to the Tennessee Titans, throwing two touchdowns. Dating back to last season, Wilson has reached the 296 passing yards mark six times. Per the Trends tool, Wilson has yet to reach the 296 passing yard mark in games with a total above 50-points.
The Seahawks face a Vikings defense that ranks 22nd in pass DVOA and, as a two-point favorite, should follow a more pass-heavy game script. Wilson will look to his condensed receiving corps of Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf to help him move the ball down the field. The wide receivers combine to see 61% of the Seahawks’ targets, both seeing 22 targets in Week 2. Our consensus projections between Koerner and Raybon project Wilson to throw for 285.5 yards, trending him toward the under.
On the opposite side, Kirk Cousins faces a Seattle Seahawks defense that ranks 20th in pass DVOA, giving up 532 yards to the Tennessee Titans in Week 2.
In a 34-33 loss to the Minnesota Vikings, Cousins threw for 224 yards and three touchdowns, and dating back to last season, has reached the 281-yard mark eight times. With Cousins leading a Vikings offense that calls a play every 23.9 seconds on average, using a 63%/37% pass-to-run split, expect an up-tempo pass-heavy script with Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson to see most of the passing volume. The duo saw a combined 17 targets in Week 2, catching 12 passes for 104. The status of lead running back Dalvin Cook is questionable to play in Week 2 with an ankle injury, signaling the Vikings may have to rely more on the receiving corps to keep the game close. Raybon is currently projecting Cousins to throw for 287.5 passing yards.
The Pick: Russell Wilson Less 295.5 passing yards, Kirk Cousins More 280.5 passing yards
