Using our Stacking tool found within our revamped Models 3.0, this piece will identify some of the top stacks of the weekend. Likewise, check out our new Correlations page to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver
- Jameis Winston ($5,700 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
- Mike Evans ($6,400 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)
Winston has attempted at least 32 passes and thrown for at least two touchdowns in all three games he’s played since returning from a shoulder injury that kept him sidelined for three games. In their past four games, the Panthers defense has allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 22.66 points per game (PPG) with a +4.93 Plus/Minus on DraftKings and 21.41 PPG with a +3.52 Plus/Minus on FanDuel. The Buccaneers are currently big 11-point road underdogs against the Panthers, and potential game-script could have them chucking the ball all over the yard against an extremely leaky pass defense.
Evans — a top-5 rated DraftKings and FanDuel wide receiver in two of the Three Donkeys Models — has seen 19 targets in three games since Winston returned. Winston has openly talked about getting the ball to Evans more. With DeSean Jackson out this week, what better time than the present to start feeding big Mike? The Panthers have surrendered 97 catches, 1,146 receiving yards, and nine touchdowns in their past four games. They allowed two Jets receivers — Robby Anderson and Jermaine Kearse — to combine for 13 catches, 251 yards, and three touchdowns in Week 12. If you’re not using our Lineup Builder to create 150 lineups with Jameis and Evans, you should just quit.
Running Back + D/ST
- Kareem Hunt ($8,400 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel)
- Kansas City Chiefs ($3,300 DraftKings, $4,500 FanDuel)
Since Andy Reid stepped aside and allowed Matt Nagy to take over play-calling duties, Hunt has racked up 53 carries, 17 targets, and 407 total yards in three games. Hunt has handled 85.19 percent of the Chiefs rushing attempts the last four games and has been fed eight opportunities inside the 10-yard line during that time. As detailed by Ian Hartitz this week, It’s Hunt(ing) season again:
Hunt’s salary has skyrocketed up to pre-Nagy levels, but his newfound workload is combined with a solid matchup against the Dolphins’ 24th-ranked defense in DVOA that has allowed an additional 1.5 yards per carry and 7.7 PPG on the road this season.
Hump wrote about the Chiefs D/ST in this week’s Defense Breakdown, where I noted that the Chiefs have been very good at Arrowhead this season. As huge 10.5 favorites in a relatively low total (43.5) game, the Chiefs should have ample opportunity to force Dolphins QB Jay Cutler into some very Cutler like decisions. Smokin’ Jay has thrown five interceptions and been sacked seven times in his last three games. The Chiefs are the No. 1 rated defense in CSURAM88’s FanDuel Model this week.
Quarterback + Running Back + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver
- Drew Brees ($6,500 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel)
- Mark Ingram ($8,100 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel)
- Michael Thomas ($7,600 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)
- Mohamed Sanu ($5,700 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel)
If you’re going to game stack anywhere, it may as well be at the Coors Field of Fantasy Football, right? I know Brees is not putting up the monster stat lines we’d grown accustomed to in years past with the emergence of the two-headed beast at running back in New Orleans, but only three teams have allowed more DraftKings points per game (PPG) to quarterbacks (21.4) than the Atlanta Falcons in the last five weeks. Further, the Falcons defense has been roasted on the road by opposing signal carriers: The seven QBs that have faced the Falcons outside of Atlanta have averaged 20.64 PPG. This game owns the highest total on the slate (52.5) and the Saints are implied to score more points (29.0) than any team not named the Patriots. Brees’ salary on DraftKings is as low as it has been all season and yet he still has our second-highest ceiling projection on the main slate.
Ingram leads the Saints with a delicious eight opportunities inside the 10-yard line the past four games and even though he shares carries with Alvin Kamara (who you could also play in this spot), Ingram has accumulated 25 targets in his last five games to help supplement his time-share status. Ingram has feasted at home this season, averaging 22.60 PPG with a +5.91 Plus/Minus on DraftKings and 19.17 PPG with a +6.60 Plus/Minus on FanDuel.
If you’re stacking Brees, you need to do it with market share monster Thomas, who has swallowed up 31.11 percent of the Saints’ team targets the past four weeks. Thomas is also targeted all over the field: He has led the team in Josh Hermsmeyer’s Air Yards metric in three of the the last four games and has been targeted a team-high six times inside the 10-yard line. Thomas has been targeted 25 times, made 19 receptions for 210 yards, and scored two touchdowns in the past two weeks.
Sanu trails only Julio Jones in the Falcons’ recent target pecking order, but even playing second fiddle he has accounted for an impressive 22.69 percent of Matt Ryan‘s targets in the past four games. Sanu has been targeted at least five times in four straight games and he caught six balls for 83 yards and a touchdown against the Saints defense two weeks ago.
