The Week 14 NFL Dashboard
For the rest of our positional breakdowns and team previews, visit our NFL dashboard.
Jets at 49ers
This game currently has just a 44-point implied Vegas total. The 49ers are three-point home favorites implied to score 23.5 points. The Jets are implied to score 20.5 points as road underdogs.
New York Jets
Writer: Joe Holka
QB – Bryce Petty
Petty has underwhelmed during his limited action this season, as he’s completed fewer than 55 percent of his passes and has averaged just 5.4 yards per attempt. Petty does have a good matchup this week against a 49ers’ defense that has allowed a +3.9 DraftKings Opponent Plus/Minus to quarterbacks over the past 12 months — the third-highest mark on the slate. Even at the stone minimum on DK, Petty has too low of a floor to use in cash games, and he doesn’t have the ceiling to roster in guaranteed prize pools.
RB – Matt Forte
Forte’s struggled to produce after the team’s Week 11 bye, as he’s averaged fewer than 2.8 yards per carry in consecutive weeks. Overall, Forte’s average of 3.7 yards per carry this season is his lowest since 2009. He’s priced at $7700 on FanDuel with a 96 percent Bargain Rating for his matchup against a 49ers’ defense that has allowed 4.9 points above salary-based expectations to running backs over the past 16 games. He’s projected at zero to one percent FD ownership.
RB – Bilal Powell
Powell’s been efficient when involved, but he touched the ball once in Week 13.
WR – Brandon Marshall
Per RotoViz, the switch at quarterback is bad news for Brandon Marshall:
Even before the change, Marshall’s production this year has not matched his target share and red-zone involvement — tenth and second in the NFL, respectively. He’s projected for two to four percent ownership in GPPs.
WR – Quincy Enunwa
Enunwa’s salary is still very reasonable on both DK and FD, and he should see a few extra snaps because of the pace at which the 49ers play. Per the Matchups tool, Enunwa is likely to run most of his routes in the slot against cornerback Jimmie Ward, who has a below-average Pro Football Focus coverage grade of 66.4. Enunwa has a top-15 FD rating in our Tournament Model.
WR – Robby Anderson
Anderson saw 12 targets in Week 13 and quietly has averaged 6.4 over the past five games. Anderson is actually the No. 11 DK WR in our Cash Model at a stone minimum price of $3,000. He’s far from safe, but he’s a potential punt play for people looking to save salary.
TE – Austin Seferian-Jenkins
He saw a season-high five targets last week, before which he’d been targeted by a Jets QB only five times all year. He’s the fourth-worst DK ET in the Tournament Model.
San Francisco 49ers
Writer: Bryan Mears
QB – Colin Kaepernick
Kaepernick was benched last week against the Bears, and, per our NFL News feed, had difficulty gripping the football in the snow. After putting up 34.1 FD points the week prior against the Dolphins, he managed only 2.2 points on five pass attempts in Week 13. That said, he’s expected to start in Week 14, and he’s in a better situation playing at home against a Jets defense that ranks 26th in DVOA and dead last versus the pass. Per the Market Share Report, Kaep owns a whopping 26.3 percent of his team’s rushes over the past four games, which is the biggest reason why he boasts the second-highest FD floor projection (12.2 points) among all QBs. He’s currently the No. 4 QB in the Bales Model for FD, where he comes with a +3.04 Projected Plus/Minus and five to eight percent ownership. He makes for an excellent play in cash games.
RB – Carlos Hyde
Almost all starting RBs in this slate having higher Bargain Ratings on FD than DK, but Hyde is the rare exception: He’s only $4,900 on DK, where he comes with a +4.63 Projected Plus/Minus, six Pro Trends, and 82 percent Bargain Rating. He’s the No. 1 RB in the DK Bales Model, and that’s despite having a difficult matchup against a Jets defense that is second in rush DVOA. Because of the matchup, Hyde is only in play in GPPs, but the low salary is very appealing as is his projected five to eight percent ownership. He received 20 carries in Week 13 and leads his team with 57.02 percent of the rushes and four touches inside the 10-yard line over the past four games.
RB – Shaun Draughn and DuJuan Harris
Because of Kaep’s rushing ability, these guys are even less involved than normal change-of-pace backs: They own 4.4 and 11.4 percent of the team’s carries over the past month, respectively.
WR – Torrey Smith
This is a really nice matchup for 49ers WRs, but unfortunately none get the volume to be anything more than fringe GPP plays. Tight end Vance McDonald has led the team in target share over the past two weeks and owns a team-high 20 percent of the targets over the past month. Smith was supposed to be the WR1 on this team, but he saw just two targets last week — he caught neither of them — and he hasn’t accumulated more than 26 yards in seven weeks. He has a miserable 1.5-point projected DK floor. At the same time, if there’s anything that could give him some value, it’s a matchup against Darrelle Revis, PFF’s No. 85 CB with a poor 61.5 coverage grade.
WR – Quinton Patton
Patton has seen decreased snaps over the last two weeks, getting 26 and 39 offensive snaps and only two targets during that time frame. He’s been one of the lowest-usage WRs in the league in terms of targets per snap. He had a nice game against the Saints a month or so ago — he finished with a 6-106-0 line — but he hasn’t been above 60 yards in any other game this season.
WR – Jeremy Kerley
Kerley is second on the team with 15.8 percent of the targets during the past four games, but that number is a far cry from the 30-plus percent he had during the first several games of the year. He has caught three balls over his past two games and is a fringe GPP play at best, even in a very plus matchup against slot CB Buster Skrine, PFF’s 99th-ranked CB with an awful 49.9 coverage grade.
TE – Vance McDonald
McDonald has been the team’s leading receiver over the past month, which says more about the team than McDonald. Outside of last week’s weather-dominated game, McDonald had been serviceable as a punt DFS option. He’s still cheap at $4,700 FD, but note that the Jets have been solid against TEs, ranking 11th in pass DVOA versus the position.
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
