This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.
Week 11 shmoney time!
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Quarterback (Cash)
- Joe Burrow, Bengals ($5,500 DK, $7,700 FD) at WAS
- Deshaun Watson, Patriots ($6,500 DK, $7,700 FD) vs. NE
Joe Burrow is 0.02 points behind top-ranked Deshaun Watson in Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings in our NFL Player Models, and Watson is .01 points behind the top-ranked Lamar Jackson on FanDuel.
On DraftKings, Burrow projects for the fourth-highest floor among QBs at the 14th-highest price. The likely runner-up for Offensive Rookie of the Year is a higher-floor option than Taysom Hill, who costs $700 less but is no lock to play all of the Saints’ quarterback snaps and comes with a floor projection 14% Burrow.
Watson is the sixth-highest priced QB on FanDuel but comes with the highest projected floor of any passer in our models. The Patriots defense has slipped to 30th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA.