Monkey Knife Fight takes a new spin on daily fantasy, combining player props and parlays. With exciting contest structures, put your football knowledge to the test and pit player performances against one another.
Check out a few picks to consider in this exciting format for Week 10 with the help of our NFL Player Props Tool.
More or Less 2/2
Matt Ryan Passing Yards (275.5) vs. Dak Prescott Passing Yards (295.5)
Opening at 54.5-points, the Week 10 matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Dallas Cowboys looks to be a high-scoring affair. Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan has proven he can still move the offense through the air. This season, the Falcons have relied on the arm of Ryan, calling an extremely pass-first approach, using a 63%/37% pass-to-run play-calling scheme (per RotoViz). However, Ryan faces a Dallas Cowboys defense ranked seventh in DVOA (per Football Outsiders) and looks to have an even more difficult time without his primary weapon Calvin Ridley, who stepped away from the team for personal reasons.
Dating back to last season, Ryan has reached the 276-passing yard threshold 13 times. However, our models project Ryan to throw for 268.5 passing yards, trending him toward the under.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott remains one of the more dynamic playmakers in the league. After a Week 9 upset against the Denver Broncos, the Week 10 matchup against the Falcons, who rank 31st in defensive DVOA, looks to be an ideal matchup for a bounce back. Using a slightly skewed 58%/42% pass-to-run ratio, the Cowboys are one of the more up-tempo offenses in the league, averaging a play every 25 seconds, benefitting from a condensed receiving corps of Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, and could potentially see the return of Michael Gallup.
Dating back to last season, which was shortened by injury, Prescott reached the 296-passing yard mark six times. We’re projecting Prescott to throw for 298.5 yards this week in what looks to be a great matchup.
The Pick: Matt Ryan Less 275.5 passing yards, Dak Prescott More 295.5 passing yards
More or Less 2/2
Josh Allen Passing Yards (280.5) vs. Michael White Passing Yards (240.5)
After a Week 9, 9-6 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have another prime matchup, facing a New York Jets team that ranks last in defensive DVOA. Allen leads a Buffalo Bills offense as a dual-threat option, calling a 61%/39% pass-to-run ratio. With Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley, Allen averages seven yards per reception. As 12.5-point favorites against the Jets, a downside to the ideal matchup looks to be the blowout potential, limiting Allen’s ability to air the ball down the field and opting for a more run-heavy scheme featuring Zack Moss (concussion, questionable) and Devin Singletary, in addition to Allen’s rushing ability.
Dating back to last season, Allen has reached the 281 passing yard mark 13 times. For the Week 10 matchup, we’re projecting Allen to pass for 279.5 yards, slightly trending him toward the under.
After two games, quarterback Michael White has supercharged the Jets offense, completing 78% of his passes for a combined 500 yards and four touchdowns. The Week 10 matchup against the Bills looks tough, facing a defense ranked first in defensive DVOA. Per PFF, the Jets offense ranks 27th, using an extremely pass-heavy 67%33% pass-to-run play calling ratio. With Corey Davis doubtful for the Week 10 matchup, look for Jameson Crowder to see an uptick in production in the receiving corps, currently second with a 17% target share. At 12.5-point underdogs, look for White to increase the passing cadence in hopes the game stays competitive.
Our models project White to throw for 241.5 passing yards this week, which should safely land him toward the over.
The Pick: Josh Allen Less 280.5 passing yards, Michael White More 240.5 passing yards
