NFL Player Props: Kyler Murray, Mark Ingram Picks for Saints-Cardinals on Thursday Night Football

This Thursday Night matchup is potentially a “loser leaves town” game, as the 2-4 Saints travel to the desert to take on the 2-4 Cardinals. Both teams are coming in off losses, as the Saints dropped a close game against the Bengals, while the Cardinals have lost two straight, including a 19-9 defeat at the hands of Seattle last week.

Both teams are battling a bevy of injuries, but Arizona is getting back receiver DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins has served the final six games of his suspension and will likely be looked at often with Marquise Brown nursing an injury.

The player props went 1-1 on Monday Night after Joshua Kelley was sadly injured on his second snap of the game. The props sit at 18-10 on the year, and hopefully, we can rattle off two wins tonight!

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Saints-Cardinals NFL Player Props

Kyler Murray Under 245.5 Passing Yards

It’s been a bumpy start to the season for Arizona, winning a gritty game on the road against Carolina before dropping back-to-back games against NFC opponents. Murray may not be the source of Arizona’s problems, but he surely hasn’t been playing his best football.

He’s averaging a league-worst 5.8 yards per attempt and hasn’t had a game above 6.5 yards per attempt. He’s also 30th in the league with a 2.4% touchdown rate and has now lost his top weapon to injury. The Brown injury may not prove too costly with Hopkins back in the lineup, but they are coming off a short week. A short week doesn’t give Hopkins too much time to get acclimated, but he is familiar with the system.

Murray has gone under this yardage total in three of six games, coming in close to the number in two other games at 250 and 277 in an overtime game. The Saints have struggled against opposing quarterbacks, giving up 7.4 yards per attempt on the year and ranking dead-last in pressure rate.

Three of six quarterbacks have topped this number against the Saints, but Kirk Cousins and Geno Smith exceeded the total by less than 30 yards. We just saw Murray and this offense fall on its face against the worst defense in the league in Seattle, so an appetizing matchup isn’t too much to be scared of for Murray.

Our Prop Tool has this number at 238.5, showing some value on the Under.

Mark Ingram Over 24.5 Rushing Yards

The last backup running back we took got hurt on his first snap, so hopefully, we’re a little more fortunate tonight. After spending a couple of seasons away from the team, Mark Ingram returned to New Orleans in the middle of last season and has been a valuable piece of the backfield since.

We’re not going to look at Weeks 2 and 4 while viewing Ingram’s season since Alvin Kamara didn’t suit up for those contests. In the four games Ingram has played with Kamara, he’s carried the ball four, five, nine, and nine times, with each nine-carry game coming in the past two weeks.

With all of New Orleans’ injuries, such as Michael Thomas, Jarvis Landry, and Andrus Peat, it’s clear that they want to lean on the run. Ingram has only eclipsed 24.5 yards in one of four games with Kamara in the lineup, rushing for 22, 18, 16, and 46 yards. With all of the receivers out, the Saints are leaning on Kamara more as a receiver, which is opening up more rush opportunities for Ingram, as seen by his 18 carries over the past two games.

This matchup is nothing to be afraid of, as Arizona has been mediocre against the run, giving up 4.4 yards per carry.

Our Prop Tool has this number at 27.5, with Sean Koerner’s Model having him up to 29. There’s some solid value on this over.