We’re getting a treat on Thursday Night in a year that has seemed to be chock-full of boring primetime games. The San Francisco 49ers sit at 9-4 and travel to Seattle to battle with the 7-6 Seahawks. A win for San Francisco would seal up the division and lock them into a home playoff game. If Seattle gets the win, they’ll be just one game back of the 49ers with three games to go. The 49ers are 3.5-point road favorites, with the total sitting at a modest 43.5. Hopefully, the game lives up to the hype!
You would have cashed the over if you got Nelson Agholor’s prop at 31.5 early Monday. Sadly, the closing line of 36.5 didn’t hit, but Hunter Henry easily exceeded his total to give us a 1-1 night. The props now sit at 30-29 on the year.
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49ers-Seahawks NFL Player Prop Picks
Geno Smith Under 236.5 Passing Yards
The first prop for Thursday Night is fading the Seattle signal-caller. Geno Smith has revitalized his career and has the Seahawks playing for a playoff spot. He’s had quite a few stellar performances, with a couple of stinkers mixed in. One of those down performances was against these same 49ers back in Week 2. Smith completed 80% of his passes for merely 197 yards, no touchdowns, and one interception.
This 49ers’ defense has been stout all year, as they’re allowing just 6.6 yards per pass attempt. They’ve also allowed the third-fewest plays per game, which should limit Smith’s opportunity to get over this number. Kenneth Walker is off the injury report, so Seattle will likely try to keep the ball on the ground and feed their rookie back.
Smith has gone over this number quite a few times this year, but in a difficult matchup, he has a chance to struggle. Our Prop Tool has his number at 231.5, showing some value with the under.
In a regulated betting state? Check out this prop on FanDuel.
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Christian McCaffrey Over 78.5 Rushing Yards
Christian McCaffrey has started to thrive in the 49ers’ offense and has been leaned on extensively with Brock Purdy now in at quarterback. He managed 119 yards on the ground on 14 rush attempts last week, as he wasn’t needed much in the second half of their blowout of Tampa Bay.
McCaffrey has played three games with Eli Mitchell inactive (outside his first game with the 49ers). In those games, he’s carried the ball 18, 17, and 14 times. Each game got out of hand too, so there was potential for an even more significant workload if the contests stayed close. With the 49ers favored by just 3.5 on the road, McCaffrey could be busier than usual.
Seattle has gotten exposed by running backs as of late, allowing 854 yards over their past four games and 223 yards just last week to the Panthers’ running backs. McCaffrey is one of the most talented backs in the league, and he can surely expose this lackluster run defense.
Our Prop Tool has this projected right at the number, but considering his matchup and elite usage, I love McCaffrey to exceed his total.
In a regulated betting state? Check out this prop on FanDuel.
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