NFL Fantasy Pick'ems for Cowboys-49ers on Sunday Night Football

Make sure you leave enough room after supper, because we are in for a real treat Sunday night. Two of the best the NFL has to offer take to the field as the San Francisco 49ers host the Dallas Cowboys in a monumental Sunday night affair. The Niners are one of two undefeated teams still standing after four weeks. A disappointing loss to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 3 is the only blemish on the Cowboys’ schedule. Whichever team prevails puts themselves in the driver’s seat in the ultra-competitive NFC.

This article will discuss 3-5 of my favorite pick’ems from various DFS sites like Betr, Sleeper Fantasy, PrizePicks, and Underdog Fantasy.

Don’t forget to leverage our simulations tool from our projections team to identify where the biggest edges are — and you can see more projection picks here.

Also, you can claim a $100 deposit match at Betr using Betr Picks promo code LABSMAX, and you can use Sleeper Fantasy promo code LABS1 for another $100 deposit match.

And check out our PrizePicks referral code or Underdog Fantasy promo code for more details.

Cowboys-49ers NFL Fantasy Pick’ems

Tony Pollard Lower 15.5 Rushing Attempts

The Tony Pollard era is off to a promising start in the Lone Star State. The Cowboys running back is well on his way to setting new benchmarks in virtually every offensive category; however, his pace will likely take a hit after Sunday’s tilt against the 49ers.

For starters, San Francisco has one of the most imposing defenses in the league. Opponents are mustering less than 285 yards per game, putting the Niners among the top five total defenses. Zooming the lens even further reveals a rush defense that looks even sharper. The 49ers are allowing a minuscule 66.0 rushing yards per game and 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. Dallas would be wise to game plan for something other than an emphasized rushing attack.

That’s taking for granted that the Cowboys will dictate pace and get to play out their schemes. As we’ve witnessed all year, San Francisco jumps out to leads, forcing opponents to abandon their game plan and throw the ball to catch up.

Pollard’s workload has fluctuated this year. His range for carries is 11 to 25, with his yardage jumping from 47 to 122. Eventually, Pollard’s metrics will settle into more consistent bandwidths, and Sunday’s contest should facilitate that pattern. Factoring in the other variables, and we’re comfortable taking lower than 15.5 rushing attempts from Pollard.

Dak Prescott Lower 12.5 Rushing Yards

Although it’s not a correlated play, there are a lot of parallels between our first two picks. Much like Tony Pollard will face a few obstacles, Dak Prescott has a few barriers to overcome to surpass his rushing yards projection. According to our analysis, it’s unlikely Prescott achieves that modest threshold versus the Niners.

Prescott has been very exclusive when he chooses to take off on the ground. The two-time Pro Bowler has taken off just 11 times this season, staying beneath three rushing attempts in all but one of his outings. As expected, this has negatively impacted his yardage, with Prescott tallying 43 yards, or 3.9 yards per carry.

Many of the same factors outlined above factor into Prescott’s rushing metrics. San Francisco has a fierce rush defense, effectively limiting any ball carriers trying to move the ball downfield against them. However, the Niners have been incredibly stout against quarterbacks. Last week’s contest notwithstanding, the other three QBs have combined for nine rushing yards on three carries.

Prescott’s been content to sit back and put the ball into his playmakers’ hands. The Niners have kept more mobile signal callers than Prescott at bay and should contain the Cowboys’ pivot on Sunday night. Prescott falls below 12.5 rushing yards.

George Kittle Higher 3.5 Receptions

Our last play comes from the other sideline, highlighting George Kittle’s receptions projection as a bettor-friendly play. It was no fault of his own, but the 49ers tight end was limited to just one catch on one target last week. Brock Purdy has prioritized getting the ball to Kittle, and he’s a natural progression candidate under the bright lights.

Kittle is up to 19 targets already this season, with the former All-Pro grabbing 14 of those passes for 148 yards. Further, he’s poised for an increased workload with Deebo Samuel still not right. Samuel is projected to appear again this week despite dealing with a nagging rib injury. As we saw in Week 4, Samuel wasn’t targeted once, likely leaving a handful of targets up for grabs against the Cowboys.

Dallas has also been unable to limit tight ends. Hunter Henry led all New England Patriots’ pass-catchers last week, with Tyler Conklin and Darren Waller also posting above-average performances earlier in the year. Kittle is a level above all those tight ends, shifting the balance even further in his favor.

In 10 career starts with Purdy under center, Kittle is averaging 7.3 targets per game. Following last week’s disappointing effort, Kittle should jump back into normal ranges very quickly. This is our most confident play, taking higher than 3.5 receptions for Kittle.

This article will discuss 3-5 of my favorite pick’ems from various DFS sites like Betr, Sleeper Fantasy, PrizePicks, and Underdog Fantasy.

Don’t forget to leverage our simulations tool from our projections team to identify where the biggest edges are — and you can see more projection picks here.

Also, you can claim a $100 deposit match at Betr using Betr Picks promo code LABSMAX, and you can use Sleeper Fantasy promo code LABS1 for another $100 deposit match.

And check out our PrizePicks referral code or Underdog Fantasy promo code for more details.