The Week 15 NFL Dashboard
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Jaguars at Texans
The Texans will host the Jaguars as six-point favorites this Sunday afternoon. The Jaguars are currently implied to score just 16.75 points – the third-lowest mark of Week 15. The Texans are currently implied to score 22.75 points. Let’s take a look at who will be taking the field.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Writer: Ian Hartitz
QB – Blake Bortles
Bortles’ 40.1 pass attempts per game are the second-most among all quarterbacks this season, per playerprofiler.com. This helps explain how someone with awful efficiency statistics can be a top-12 QB in DraftKings points per game through 14 weeks:
It’s hard to make an argument that Bortles is a good quarterback, but the man puts up fantasy numbers. This week, he has a tough matchup against a Texans defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to QBs this season. Still, the defense hasn’t been as dominant lately, as they’ve allowed 230-plus passing yards in five of their last six games. Bortles is minimum-priced on DK and has thrown for multiple touchdowns in five out of his last seven games. The only two games he didn’t were against the Vikings and Broncos. Bortles is way too risky for cash games, but he’s a contrarian GPP option with only zero to one percent FantasyLabs projected ownership.
RB – T.J. Yeldon
Yeldon put together one of his better performances of the season during the Jaguars’ Week 14 loss to the Vikings, as he converted his 24 touches into 90 total yards. He’s routinely been fed the ball this season when Chris Ivory has missed time: Yeldon has averaged 20.25 touches during his four games with Ivory sidelined. Still, Yeldon hasn’t done much with his opportunities all season, as his averages of 4.3 yards per touch and 0.7 fantasy points per opportunity each rank outside of the top-50 among all running backs. Overall, he’s posted a +1.78 Plus/Minus through 14 weeks. This week, Yeldon is priced at $5,400 on FanDuel with an 86 percent Bargain Rating for his matchup against a Texans defense that has allowed 1.5 points above salary-based expectations to running backs over the past 12 months.
RB – Chris Ivory
Ivory didn’t play last week but is expected to play on Sunday after practicing fully on Friday. He’s not expected to return to a featured role, which has been an issue for him in the past:
Per the RotoViz Game Splits App, Ivory has averaged just 7.9 PPR points during his 25 games with fewer than 15 carries over the past three seasons. He’s priced at $3,700 on DK and is not a recommended fantasy option this week due to his decent-sized chance at having a limited role in the offense.
RB – Denard Robinson
D-Rob (ankle) has been ruled out for Week 15. The world yawns.
WR – Allen Robinson
Robinson’s rough start to the season has managed to get even more rough in recent weeks. He’s averaged a brutal 2.25-22.5-0.25 line during his last four games. While the No. 1 receiver on the league’s fourth-most pass-happy offense would seemingly be guaranteed eight-plus targets per game, Robinson has been targeted fewer than eight times in three of his last four games. Things won’t be any easier this week when he takes on a Texans secondary that is highlighted by A.J. Bouye, PFF’s third-highest graded cornerback this season. Robinson is fairly priced at $4,400 on DK with an 87 percent Bargain Rating, although he still has a low 3.7-point projected floor.
WR – Allen Hurns
Hurns (hamstring) is out for Week 15.
WR – Marqise Lee
Lee has quietly had a great last four weeks of football, as he’s scored a touchdown or surpassed 100 receiving yards in three of his last four games. He’s received six-plus targets in six straight games, although his efficiency hasn’t been great: Overall, Lee’s averages of 1.64 fantasy points and 8.5 yards per target each rank outside of the top-50 among all WRs this season. He’s priced at $4,000 on DK and has 13-16 percent FantasyLabs projected ownership – tied for the third-highest mark among all WRs.
TE – Ben Koyack
“Kayaking Koyack” has gained 46 total yards during his past three games on seven total targets. He shouldn’t be considered a fantasy option this week against a Texans defense that has allowed the fifth-fewest average fantasy points per game to tight ends this season.
Houston Texans
Writer: Ian Hartitz
QB – Brock Osweiler
Osweiler hasn’t thrown for over 250 yards since Week 6. He hasn’t thrown three touchdowns in a game in nearly a year. Osweiler is among the lowest-projected QBs this week and isn’t a recommended fantasy option against a Jaguars defense that has allowed the eighth-fewest average fantasy points to QBs this season.
RB – Lamar Miller
Miller racked up 22 touches last week and scored his fifth touchdown of the season. He’ll look to keep balling out this week in a matchup that he has historically thrived in:
Per our Trends tool, Miller has posted a +8.03 Plus/Minus with 85.7 percent Consistency and has averaged 19.83 DK points as a home favorite over the past three seasons. This obviously includes games from his time in Miami, but his performance this season as a home favorite has been just as good:
Miller’s Plus/Minus has been down, but he’s actually averaged more DK points per game this season as a home favorite. He’s priced at $5,400 on DK with five Pro Trends and faces a Jaguars defense that has allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this season – the sixth-most in the league.
RB – Alfred Blue
The Texans’ strategy during a do-or-die game against the Colts last week was simple: Keep the ball out of Osweiler’s hands. Because of this strategy, Blue had a season-high 16 carries. This is unlikely to happen again and Blue is now projected as one of the most overpriced RBs on the slate this week. Overall, his -4.85 Projected Plus/Minus on DK is the fourth-worst mark among all RBs. He’s not a recommended fantasy option this week.
WR – DeAndre Hopkins
Hopkins’ nightmare season has only gotten worse as the season has progressed, and he’s now gained fewer than 75 receiving yards in 11 consecutive games. His chemistry with Osweiler has been non-existent, as Hopkins’ averages of 5.9 yards and 1.31 fantasy points per target each rank outside of the top-90 among all wide receivers. He could have a hard time getting back on track this week against a Jaguars secondary that is highlighted by Jalen Ramsey, who held Hopkins to a 5-48-0 line on 13 targets during the Texans’ Week 10 win over the Jaguars. Hopkins is priced at $5,000 on DK with five Pro Trends and has a 5.3-point projected floor.
WR – Will Fuller
Fuller hasn’t scored a touchdown or gained more than 60 receiving yards in a game since Week 4. His breakaway speed hasn’t gone anywhere, but he’s stuck in an offense in which his QB ranks 33rd in deep-ball completion percentage through 14 weeks. Fuller is priced at $4,100 on DK and faces a Jaguars defense that has allowed 2.4 points below salary-based expectations to WRs over the past 12 months. He’s expected to see a lot of Prince Amukamara, PFF’s 34th-highest graded cornerback this season.
WR – Keith Mumphery
Braxton Miller (shoulder) and Jaelen Strong (ankle) have both been placed on the injured reserve list and will miss the remainder of the season. Mumphery will serve as the offense’s No. 3 receiver. He hasn’t scored a touchdown in his career and isn’t a recommended fantasy option this week.
TE – Ryan Griffin
C.J. Fiedorowicz (concussion) is out for Week 15. In his place, Griffin will attempt to make Osweiler look like a QB who can complete short passes.
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
