The Week 13 NFL Dashboard
For the rest of our positional breakdowns and team previews, visit our NFL dashboard.
Bills at Raiders
The Raiders will host the Bills as 3.5-point favorites. The Bills are currently implied to score 22.5 points, while the Raiders are currently implied to score 25.5 points. Let’s take a look at who will be taking the field.
Buffalo Bills
Writer: Joe Holka
QB – Tyrod Taylor
Supported by his strong rushing production, Taylor has averaged 40.87 yards and 0.5 TDs on the ground in his last eight games. Sammy Watkins is now back, which only raises Tyrod’s ceiling. In a week where value is hard to come by, TyGod has the third-highest projected floor at the position and costs just $5,700 on DK, where he has the second-highest Projected Plus/Minus in Week 13. He’s cash-viable and a GPP consideration at zero to one percent projected ownership. TyGod is the fifth-highest rated QB in the Adam Levitan Model on DK.
RB – LeSean McCoy
Per playerprofiler.com, McCoy is first in the NFL in runs of 15 or more yards this season with 1.4 per game. Per our Trends tool, road underdog RBs comparable in salary and projected point total typically perform above salary-based expectations on FanDuel (per our Plus/Minus metric):
The massive volume and Buffalo’s continued commitment to the running game makes McCoy playable in all formats yet again, especially against a Raiders team ranked 27th in rush Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA), per Football Outsiders. Some users were scared off of him last week with the thumb injury, but don’t expect that to continue in Week 13, as he projects for chalky 17-20 percent ownership on both sites.
RB – Mike Gillislee and Reggie Bush
When McCoy is healthy, Gillislee and Bush hardly ever see the field. They’re not even contrarian tournament flyers.
Gillislee (hamstring) is questionable but expected to play after practicing some this week.
WR – Sammy Watkins
Watkins was supposed to practice on a limited basis Wednesday. Instead, he told trainers his foot was sore and they pulled him out. Of course, this is the same foot that has given him problems for nearly a year. Whereas Watkins was previously expected to get a boost in snaps this week, we now have to question exactly what his role will be. He played on 25 of 55 snaps last week, catching all three of his targets. He definitely carries risk, but depending how the week goes, Watkins could be worth it in tournaments at just $5,500 on DK facing a team 22nd against WR1s according to DVOA.
Watkins (foot) is officially questionable but expected to play.
WR – Robert Woods
Speaking of banged-up members of this passing game, Woods (knee) hasn’t practiced since going down early in the Week 11 game against the Bengals. Woods has officially been declared out.
WR – Marquise Goodwin, Justin Hunter, and Brandon Tate
On an offense that moves the ball primarily on the ground, these guys are basically just fighting for scraps. No one has a significant enough role to invest in at the moment, even as a GPP flyer. For example, Hunter is the lowest-rated WR on FanDuel this week in our Tournament Model.
Goodwin (wrist) is officially questionable but expected to play.
TE – Charles Clay
He’s a punt play that hasn’t cracked 29 yards in the last five weeks. Look elsewhere at TE.
Oakland Raiders
Writer: Joe Holka
QB – Derek Carr
Carr (finger) is expected to suit up for the Raiders’ Week 13 matchup against the Bills, who are the fourth-most favorable QB matchup on the slate according to Opponent Plus/Minus. His pinky injury isn’t expected to hinder his ability to throw the ball, which is good news for the Raiders, as he’s been one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this season. Carr ranks among the top-10 quarterbacks in completion percentage, deep-ball completion percentage, and completion percentage when pressured through 12 weeks. He’s priced at $6,500 on DraftKings with a 76 percent Bargain Rating and has two to four percent FantasyLabs projected ownership.
RB – Latavius Murray
The volume has not been anywhere near where it was last year, but Murray has still seen an average of 18.75 touches per game over his last four and dominates the red zone:
Per Bryan Mears’ Market Share Report, those 13 opportunities inside the 10-yard line are the most in the league over the past four games. That’s enough upside to draw tournament interest, especially at just two to four projected ownership.
Murray (ankle) is officially questionable but fully expected to play.
RB – DeAndre Washington, Jalen Richard, and Jamize Olawale
Too talented to ignore, too limited to roster, too productive to allow Latavius a real chance to be a workhorse, this trio of terror is the DFS WOAT.
WR – Amari Cooper
Cooper is significantly more expensive than Crabtree on both sites despite owning a lower market share of targets in the past month. That said, everyone will be off him after last week’s dud, and, per our Matchups tool, he gets another favorable matchup this week against Stephon Gilmore. Cooper is still a better play on FD and is the 10th-highest rated WR in our Tournament Model, boasting a 92 percent Bargain Rating and top-10 ceiling. At just five to eight percent projected ownership in the Sunday Million, it is probably a good spot to dust yourself off and jump back on the horse.
WR – Michael Crabtree
Crabtree has the 12th-highest target share in the league over his past four games and is the fourth-highest rated WR in our FD Tournament Model. With a 96 percent Bargain Rating and projected ownership of five to eight percent, Crabtree is a viable play in all formats at $6,400. Home favored WRs at comparable salaries and projected points typically perform above salary-based expectations:
Crabtree (ankle) is officially questionable but expected to play after practicing (albeit limitedly) all week.
WR – Seth Roberts
It’s the same old story with Roberts: Carr looks to him in the red zone, but he is not a focal point in the Raiders’ offense, even in good situations. He has a scary floor of 0.8 points on FD and a ceiling of just 12.6 points in Week 13.
TE – Clive Walford
Walford has had a limited impact this season and has more than three catches in a game just once all year.
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
