Our NFL product at FantasyLabs is powered by our Models, which feature projections from Sean Koerner. He’s been FantasyPros’ most accurate in-season ranker in three of the past four seasons, which makes our Models a must-have for the serious DFS player.
One of the best ways to incorporate his projections is by looking at each player’s Projected Plus/Minus on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Projected Plus/Minus is a proprietary metric that measures projected points vs. expected points. The higher the number, the better that player is expected to perform relative to his price tag.
If you wind up rostering players who finish the week with a good Plus/Minus, there’s a good chance you’re going to find yourself at the top of the leaderboards.
Here are six players who are popping in our NFL Models for Week 5.
Quarterback
Deshaun Watson ($6,700 on DraftKings) vs. Atlanta Falcons
My colleague Matthew Freedman broke down Watson at length in his excellent QB breakdown, so I’ll keep this pretty brief. Basically, Watson is one of the best QBs in the league taking on one of the worst defenses.
The Texans’ implied team total of 27.0 points ranks third on the main slate, which is the highest implied team total of Watson’s NFL career. He’s historically averaged a Plus/Minus of +6.70 when priced above $6,000 on DraftKings (per our Trends tool), so it’s exciting to see what he can do in this kind of situation.