NFL Week 2 features a Sunday Night Football matchup between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers at 8:20 p.m. ET. This historic rivalry has become a bit lopsided in recent years, and the Packers are currently listed as 10-point home favorites. The total sits at just 41.5 points.
In this article, I’ll be using various FantasyLabs tools and other industry metrics to break down the slate.
Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.
Finally, make sure to check out all the projections available for purchase within the FantasyLabs Models. Subscribers now have the option to purchase Derek Carty’s THE BLITZ from our Marketplace. Projections from One Week Season and Establish the Run are available if you’re a subscriber to those specific sites (our optimizer is a separate add-on feature).
You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:
NFL DFS Stud Picks
The most expensive player in this game on DraftKings is a bit surprising. It is an Aaron who plays for the Packers, but it’s actually running back Aaron Jones.
Jones tallied just 10.6 DraftKings points in Week 1, but his workload was pretty encouraging. He received just five carries, and he figures to serve as the Packers’ No. 2 option in that department all year. However, he made up for it with elite usage as a receiver. He had a 65% route participation in Week 1 and racked up a 15% target market share. He also played on the majority of the two-minute snaps, all of which suggests he’s poised for a career year as a pass-catcher.
That’s not all that surprising with Davante Adams now in Las Vegas. From 2019 through the end of last season, Jones played in seven games without his star teammate. He averaged 6.7 targets in those contests, and he averaged just under five catches and 55 receiving yards per game.
Jones didn’t quite pay off his receiving upside last week – he had just three catches for 27 yards – but he should have better weeks in the future.
Still, it’s hard to get past his price tag at $12,200 on DraftKings. That’s an astronomical number, and Jones owns one of the worst projected Plus/Minus marks in THE BLITZ. He’s also projected to be one of the highest-owned options, making him a strong fade candidate.
Aaron Rodgers is the most expensive option on FanDuel, and that feels appropriate. He struggled mightily last week, finishing with just 195 yards, zero touchdowns, and one turnover, but this guy was the back-to-back league MVP for a reason. Even without Adams, it’s not hard to envision a bounce-back performance in Week 2.
Rodgers will also be back in the friendly confines of Lambeau Field, which is where he has historically played his best football. He’s averaged 23.05 DraftKings points per game at home, good for an average Plus/Minus of +1.65 (per the Trends tool). He’s also saved some of his best work for the Bears, averaging 25.3 DraftKings points in his last eight home games vs. Chicago.
Rodgers will also likely have his new No. 1 receiver back in the lineup this week. Allen Lazard missed last week’s loss vs. the Vikings, but he was able to get in three limited sessions this week. That bodes well for his availability, even though he’s technically listed as questionable.
Overall, everything is set up perfectly for Rodgers to right the ship on Sunday night. He leads all players in median and ceiling projection.
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