NFL DFS is a game of conviction, and below you’ll find a list of flag plants that our panel of DFS analysts are high on for Week 7.
Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.
Let’s get right into it.
Week 7 NFL DFS Flag Plants
Sean Koerner: Director of Predictive Analytics for Action Network
Noah Brown ($4,400 DraftKings; $5,400 FanDuel) (GPP)
The Cowboys offense will get a huge boost with Dak Prescott back under center and faces a Lions defense that currently ranks dead last in DVOA. CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup are too cheap and will be highly rostered this week (as they should).
However, I think the market will likely underestimate the chances Brown could end up being the top scoring pass catcher for Dallas this week. Using him in GPPs is a nice leverage play against Lamb/Gallup, who will likely be highly rostered.
Nick Giffen: Predictive Analyst at Action Network
Joe Burrow ($6,900 DraftKings; $8,300 FanDuel) (Cash/GPP)
Burrow has a fully healthy receiving corps to throw to this week. Tee Higgins comes into the game against Atlanta without any injury designation and should be heavily involved alongside teammates Ja’Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd. Burrow comes in with a top-three ceiling projection and is only priced as the fourth-highest QB on the slate on DraftKings and third on FanDuel.
With multiple QB options this weekend, Burrow shouldn’t be too highly rostered. He’s projected outside the top four most-played QBs on all sites by the default FantasyLabs projections. Atlanta doesn’t pose a particularly scary threat, ranking 23rd in defensive pass DVOA and allowing just shy of 300 yards per game.
There’s a great chance Burrow is able to crack the 300-yard mark and pass for multiple touchdowns while not costing you top dollar.
Notorious: RotoGrinders Analyst
Josh Jacobs ($6,500 DraftKings; $8,600 FanDuel) (Cash/GPP)
I decided to lock in my favorite quarterback last week (Josh Allen), and it worked well, so I may end up doing the same with my favorite running back this week (Jacobs).
After the Raiders decided not to give him an extension and after they drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, it was looking dicey for Jacobs to start the season. However, he’s had his best usage so far in his career. He’s played on 72% of the snaps, he has averaged 22 opportunities per game, and he has averaged 125 yards from scrimmage per game.
Even better, he has recorded five receptions in each of his last three games. A matchup against the Texans can’t get much better, as Houston is ranked in the bottom 10 in rush defense DVOA, defensive adjusted line yards, and fantasy points allowed to running backs.
The game script also sets up well as a touchdown favorite at home.
Dan Gaspar: RotoGrinders Analyst
Davante Adams ($8,700 DraftKings; $8,600 FanDuel) (GPP)
It’s possible Adams will end up closer to the 15% range on DraftKings (currently 9.27% pOWN), but I still absolutely love him this week. He provides leverage off Josh Jacobs, who should be one of the highest-owned RBs on DraftKings.
Amazingly there’s still more room for Adams’ target share to grow with Darren Waller looking unlikely to play this week and Hunter Renfrow not yet practicing.
We currently have Adams projected for a massive 30.3% target share, and I wouldn’t be shocked if his actual target share ends up being closer to the 40-50% range on Sunday, which just sounds ridiculous to say.
YOU MAY ALSO LIKE
Understanding Ceiling Projections for NFL DFS Tournaments
NFL DFS Showdown: Lineup Optimizer Rules and My Favorite Angle in Chargers vs. Chiefs
Steelers-Browns Same Game Parlay: NFL Player Prop Picks, Over/Under, More, Using Parlay IQ for Thursday Night Football
Week 4 NFL DFS Top Model Picks and Value Plays on DraftKings and FanDuel
