NFL DFS is a game of conviction, and below you’ll find a list of flag plants that our panel of DFS analysts are high on for Week 6.
Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.
Let’s get right into it.
Week 6 NFL DFS Flag Plants
Sean Koerner: Director of Predictive Analytics for Action Network
Rhamondre Stevenson ($6,000 DraftKings; $7,500 FanDuel) (Cash/GPP)
Stevenson came up huge for me last week as my flag plant, and I’m going to stick with him again this week, considering I’m currently projecting him as the top running back for Week 6.
Let’s breakdown why Stevenson tops my list for Week 6:
Harris is likely out due to a hamstring injury, so Stevenson will inherit much of the early-down and goal-line work.
- Stevenson will likely maintain his dominance in the passing game. He’s averaging a 60% routes run rate over the past four games.
- Whether it’s Bailey Zappe or Mac Jones under center, the Patriots will likely lean heavily on Stevenson, who has been extremely efficient on the ground this season. He’s averaging 5.5 yards per rush, and according to NextGenStats, he has an expected yards per rush of 4.62, thanks to the scheme/blocking around him. Similar to Nick Chubb, we can bank on him to maintain a high yards per rush thanks to an ideal blend of blocking, scheme, and Stevenson’s efficient running style.
- The Browns currently rank dead last in DVOA against the run, so it should be easy sledding for Stevenson. The Browns also play zone coverage at the 8th highest rate, which should also give Rhamondre a slight boost in the passing game.
If Harris does end up suiting up, it would ding Stevenson’s projection, but not enough to shy away from his current price tag on all DFS sites. It would also lower Stevenson’s rostership%, which would make him a bit more viable in GPPs.
Nick Giffen: Predictive Analyst at Action Network
Tom Brady ($6,300 DraftKings; $7,500 FanDuel) (GPP)
Brady has absolutely been airing it out the last two games. It’s no coincidence that those are the two games he had Mike Evans and Chris Godwin around for a full complement of snaps.
Now Brady gets a banged-up Steelers defense. Moving the ball through the air should come with ease as the Steelers are down four defensive backs, including their top three cornerbacks.
With Evans and Godwin in incredible matchups, plus Cameron Brate possibly returning, look for Brady and company to build a big lead early, much like Buffalo did last week.
Beermakersfan: RotoGrinders Analyst
Kyler Murray ($7,300 DraftKings; $8,300 FanDuel) (GPP)
Josh Allen is obviously the quarterback in the best spot this week at Kansas City, which means he will appear on a ton of rosters this weekend stacked every which way. This is by no means a fade Josh Allen argument, but our goal in GPPs should be finding ways to get different from the crowd, and Kyler Murray gives us the level of ceiling necessary to compete with Allen this week.
While we have yet to see that ceiling output this season, this matchup with a historically bad Seattle Seahawks defense should be the elixir to that problem. Seattle ranks dead last in DVOA defensively and has allowed 27+ points in four straight games, with an even uglier 42 points per game allowed over the last two games.
This game also features a very good Seattle offense on the other side against a bad Cardinals defense with a 50.5 total, so we should see some fireworks from both sides here. The Cards are down both James Conner and Darrel Williams in the running game, so Eno Benjamin will soak up a ton of ownership as well, which helps keep Kyler’sownership number down and may also help his usage as a runner more on Sunday.
The bottom line is he is one of the few quarterbacks that can approach the ceiling on Allen, and the game environment with this awful Seattle defense is exactly what we need to unlock it.
Dan Gaspar: RotoGrinders Analyst
Devin Singletary ($5,900 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel) (GPP)
I never actually enjoy rostering Devin Singletary, but this is pretty clearly a solid tournament spot for him. Singletary’s usage has seemed sporadic this season, but it’s really just as simple as: if the game is competitive, Singletary is going to be a workhorse — if not — Buffalo will mix in opportunities for Cook and Moss.
Week 6’s matchup against the Chiefs figures to be competitive, and Singletary gives you access to the highest-totaled game on the slate at a modest price point while providing leverage off the chalkier running backs priced similarly.
The matchup is a good one, as the Chiefs have allowed the most receptions (49) and yards (350) to running backs this season by a wide margin.
Yes, that means you can use Singletary and Josh Allen in the same lineup.
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