NFL DFS is a game of conviction, and below you’ll find a list of flag plants that our panel of DFS analysts are high on for Week 10.
Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.
Let’s get right into it.
Week 10 NFL DFS Flag Plants
Sean Koerner: Director of Predictive Analytics for Action Network
Donovan Peoples-Jones ($4,300 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel) (Cash/GPP)
Peoples-Jones has 4+ receptions in five straight games, and this clash against Miami sets up nicely for him.
David Njoku has been ruled out again this week, meaning the Browns’ passing attack will once again be heavily concentrated between their top two wideouts (Amari Cooper and Peoples-Jones). It’s also a pass-funnel matchup, as the Dolphins rank 31st against the pass in DVOA and seventh against the run.
The Browns will likely have to pass a bit more in order to keep up with the Dolphins. DPJ is super cheap and has a high floor, so I like him in all formats.
Nick Giffen: Predictive Analytics for Action Network
Evan Engram ($3,300 DraftKings; $4,900 FanDuel) (GPP)
Engram is at his second-lowest price point of the year on DraftKings and tied for his lowest salary at FanDuel of the year. That’s likely because he played a season-low 55% of snaps against the Raiders. Engram’s limited snap count in Week 9 was because of a back injury, but he carries no injury designation into this weekend’s game against Kansas City.
This bounce-back spot sets up nicely for Engram, who has run a route on 82.2% of Trevor Lawrence’s dropbacks despite missing that chunk of snaps last week. Prior to last week, Engram averaged 7.3 targets per game over his previous four games.
As a large underdog, Jacksonville is likely to play from behind, meaning increased pass attempts. However, per the Action Network’s Luck Rankings, there’s a good chance they cover the spread. Action Network’s luck rankings show Jacksonville has played like a .500 team despite its 3-6 record thanks to a 1-6 record in one-possession games.
In this likely scenario of playing from behind but covering the spread, there’s a solid chance Jacksonville has to pass quite a bit against a Kansas City defense that allows the eighth most yards and third most targets per game to the TE position.
Should Jacksonville cover, it means they probably will score a few extra points than their implied total. If you’ve been following along, implied team total is always a big factor in my TE analysis. Covering that is even better.
Engram is the top TE in the Koerner model. So while there may be a bit of risk in cash games due to his back issues, his upside is certainly high enough at his cost.
Dan Gaspar: RotoGrinders Analyst
Adam Thielen ($5,400 DraftKings; $5,900 FanDuel) (GPP)
Thielen hasn’t had a ceiling game yet this season, but he’s been Mr. Reliable with 7+ targets in seven straight games. That kind of opportunity is extremely solid for a player priced at just $5,900 on FanDuel and $5,400 on DraftKings.
Buffalo’s defense has been solid against opposing passing attacks this year, but this looks like a spot where Cousins will still have to be relied upon to throw the ball with the Vikings listed as road dogs, even if it’s Case Keenum under center.
Thielen could work his way into optimal lineups with a modest performance, but he also has upside with solid touchdown equity and a two-touchdown performance well within his range of outcomes.
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