OwnersBox is one of the unique DFS sites that still has traditional daily salary cap contests in addition to their Lightning Lineups contests.
In Lightning Lineups, the OwnersBox app will provide three sets of lineups for a given sport and slate, each lineup with three players. From there, users pick which lineup they think will score the most points. If you don’t like the options, you can spin for new lineups.
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Anyway, this article will focus on the more traditional salary cap DFS lineups that we’re all accustomed to. The best part about OwnersBox is their DFS product is a Superflex format with no defense.
I’ll be highlighting my favorite play at each position using our NFL projections inside our NFL Player Models.
Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you who like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.
NFL DFS Quarterback Pick
Matthew Stafford ($6,100) vs. Arizona Cardinals
Contrary to what you might think if you’ve followed my picks across the site this year, I actually have no loyalty to Matthew Stafford. Stafford has been consistently underpriced all year and has been a great value option almost every week, so he’s ended up in many of my picks.
This week, he is barely in the top 10 quarterbacks in terms of salary on OwnersBox, but he has the highest Pts/Sal projection, the third-highest ceiling projection, and the fifth-highest median projection of all 22 quarterbacks on the slate.
Stafford clearly has the trust of coach Sean McVay, who has asked the veteran to attempt an average of more than 40 passes per week. Last week, he got Cooper Kupp back in the mix while continuing to show a good connection with emerging options Puka Nacua and Tutu Atwell. He threw for multiple touchdowns for the first time this season and averaged over 10 yards per completion for the third straight week. On the season, Stafford is averaging over 290 passing yards per game.
The Rams get a good matchup this week in a home divisional game against the Cardinals, who were just blasted by Joe Burrow for 317 yards and three touchdowns last week. The Arizona defense has surrendered 11 quarterback touchdowns this season (eight passing, three rushing) while giving up an average of 274.4 passing yards per contest.
With good pass-catchers and a good matchup, Stafford should be in an excellent spot to bring great value on Sunday’s slate.
NFL DFS Running Back Pick
Alvin Kamara ($6,300) at Houston Texans
The top two running backs on this slate in terms of salary and at the top of most of the projection categories are Raheem Mostert and Christian McCaffrey. I highlighted both in my Top Model Picks article.
If you need a cheaper option, though, Alvin Kamara should be in a good spot to deliver as his Saints march into Houston to face the suddenly resurgent Texans. Kamara has played 69% of the snaps in his two games since returning from suspension and touched the ball (or was at least targeted) on 52% of those plays.
In his return in Week 4, Kamara drew an amazing 14 targets and had 13 catches for just 33 yards. Last week against the Patriots, he only drew three targets and produced 17 receiving yards as the Saints played from ahead. He was more involved on the ground in the 34-0 beatdown, and he ran for his first touchdown of the season while taking 22 carries for 80 yards.
Even though the team is nowhere near the pushover it has been in the past few seasons, the Texans have remained a good matchup for opposing running backs this season. They have allowed an average of 88.2 rushing yards and 39.0 receiving yards to opposing running backs this season while surrendering six running back touchdowns in five games.
Kamara’s heavy involvement in the Saints’ offense and this favorable spot place him in the top six in ceiling, median, and floor projection, even though he only has the ninth-highest salary at the position. He offers the second-highest projected Pts/Sal behind only Joe Mixon.
NFL DFS Wide Receiver Pick
Jonathan Mingo ($3,700) at Miami Dolphins
It’s not a surprise that Tyreek Hill and Ja’Marr Chase sit at the top of the projections and the salary structure. They’re great and have extremely high ceilings. They’re also pricey, though, and if you’re building around superstars like those, you’re going to have to find some value in some of your SuperFlex spots. So rather than highlight one of those studs, let’s take a look in the bargain bin for a player who comes loaded with upside and could vastly outproduce his price point.
The Panthers offense hasn’t been awesome, for sure, but rookie Jonathan Mingo has been one bright spot, especially the last few weeks. The second-round pick from Ole Miss is tied for the most projected Pts/Sal this week, and he comes with a salary that is all the way under $4K.
He has multiple catches in each of his four games this season and has drawn an average of 6.5 targets per contest. He had a season-high five catches for a season-high 48 yards last week against the Lions in his return after missing one game in the NFL Concussion Protocol.
The Panthers are in Miami this week, facing the Dolphins in the matchup with the second-highest over/under of the slate, according to our Vegas dashboard. If the Panthers are playing from behind and airing it out to try and keep up, Mingo could end up with enough targets and chances to make plays to be a great value option. He and fellow rookie Bryce Young have a long way to go, but the Panthers’ plan is clearly for the two to grow together over the coming weeks and seasons.
NFL DFS Tight End Pick
Evan Engram ($4,700) vs. Indianapolis Colts
On Sunday’s slate, Engram is only behind T.J. Hockenson in ceiling, median, and floor projections. Engram is $1,000 cheaper with the fifth-highest salary, while Hockenson is the most expensive player at the position.
Engram has been targeted exactly eight times in each of the last four games for the Jags, averaging 6.0 catches for 52.75 receiving yards per game. He hasn’t scored a touchdown yet this season but did have four scores last season in his first year with the Jaguars
This week, he’ll face the Colts, who have allowed opposing tight ends to average 5.8 catches for 59.0 yards per game so far this season. Engram had seven catches for 46 yards and five catches for 40 yards in their two matchups last season, and he should be lined up for another very solid day of work this week in this divisional showdown as the Jags return to Jacksonville after picking up a pair of wins the last two weeks in London.
