The main slate for Week 6 features 11 games, and in this article, I’ll be using various FantasyLabs tools to find some of the best NFL DFS leverage targets for Week 6.
Specifically, I will be focusing on players’ ownership projections and Leverage Scores within our FantasyLabs Models to identify these contrarian targets. Leverage Scores are a combination of a player’s projected ceiling and ownership. In other words, a high ceiling combined with a low ownership projection means a high leverage score.
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Finally, make sure to check out all the projections available for purchase (Chris Raybon’s come included with a FantasyLabs subscription) within the FantasyLabs Models. Subscribers now have the option to purchase Derek Carty’s THE BLITZ from our Marketplace. Projections from One Week Season and Establish the Run are available if you’re a subscriber to those specific sites (our optimizer is a separate add-on feature).
You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:
NFL DFS High-Leverage Stack
Justin Fields ($7,300) + DJ Moore ($6,500) + Jordan Addison ($5,700)
After a rough start to the season, Fields has been tremendous the last two weeks, generating 33 DraftKings PPG, good enough to rank him second among quarterbacks during this timeframe. Not only has Fields been very efficient as a passer, averaging 9.6 yards per attempt and throwing eight touchdowns to only one interception, the dual-threat quarterback has been active with his legs, handling 7.5 carries per game.
The Bears will be hosting the Vikings, and this contest carries the fifth-highest total on the slate (44 points) via the FantasyLabs Vegas page. Chicago is a three-point underdog in this matchup, and for the last 10 occasions he has competed as an underdog, Field has generated 24 DraftKings, including three outings over 30 DraftKings points.
With Fields improving drastically over the last two weeks, Moore has unsurprisingly benefited, scoring 30.1 DraftKings points against the Broncos and then exploding for 52 DraftKings points against the Commanders. The ex-Panther has undoubtedly been Fields’ primary weapon over the last two weeks, leading the club with a 33.3% target share – including four targets over 20 yards – and the heavy usage should almost certainly continue this Sunday, considering the Bears have won these last two games.
As for a bring-back option for Fields to Moore stacks, Addison is the best choice with Justin Jefferson (hamstring) sidelined. With the wideout only available for 70% of the snaps last week against the Chiefs, Addison stepped up and delivered a career-best 18.4 DraftKings points on a team-high nine targets. The rookie was targeted on 22% of his routes – including an encouraging four red zone targets – while running a route on a season-high 82% of his team’s dropbacks.
Addison figures to be a popular option this week, but both Fields and Moore are slated to come with single-digit ownership on DraftKings according to the BLITZ projections, and combining these three players in the same lineup for a game stack is a contrarian strategy that could really pay off.
NFL DFS Running Back Leverage Pick
Breece Hall ($6,000)
After being limited to start the season, Hall was finally unleashed last Sunday and posted 31.4 DraftKings points in the win over the Broncos. The second-year back saw 22 carries – which set a new season high for Hall by a whopping 10 rushes – while Dalvin Cook was the clear No.2 back for the Jets, rushing only six times.
Furthermore, Hall was the No.1 option in scoring territory for New York, seeing five red zone carries, compared to Cook, who only saw one. Considering the Jets cruised to a comfortable 10-point win with Hall as their featured back and that the former second-round pick came out of the victory without any injuries, they should continue to feed him at home this Sunday against the Eagles.
Philadelphia is a tough matchup – they are giving up the third fewest yards per rush (3.4) – but Hall is far too cheap for a full workload and isn’t getting the attention he deserves, with the BLITZ projections slating him to be only around 10% owned on DraftKings.
Among running backs this season, Hall ranks fourth in DraftKings points per snap (0.52) and 10th in DraftKings points per touch (1.04). Plus, for the four career games the 22-year-old has seen a minimum of 15 touches, Hall has produced 25.25 DraftKings PPG.
NFL DFS Wide Receiver Leverage Pick
Jakobi Meyers ($5,800)
Meyers has seen elite usage with the Raiders this season, obtaining a 26.3% target share while running a route on 90% of his team’s dropbacks. In his first four games with the club, Meyers has garnered seven red zone targets and three targets greater than 20 yards. With this strong role, the wideout is supplying 17.6 DraftKings PPG this season, which is a huge improvement from his first four seasons in the NFL with the Patriots.
Speaking of the Patriots, Meyers will be facing his former team this Sunday, and he should absolutely be motivated to have a big day after New England reportedly chose to sign Juju Smith-Schuster over Meyers this past offseason when the latter was interested in returning to the Patriots. New England is a middle-of-the-pack defense this season – they are the 17th highest-graded unit on PFF – and Bill Belichick is notorious for game planning to take the opponent’s best offensive threat out of the equation, which is without a doubt Davante Adams for the Raiders.
The Patriots’ focus on Adams should naturally funnel more targets to Meyers, and his excellent season with Las Vegas should continue with a strong stat line. Meyers brings outstanding upside for his mid-range price tag and is only expected to be around 5% owned on DraftKings, according to the BLITZ projections.
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NFL DFS Tight End Leverage Pick
Noah Fant ($3,000)
At this low salary, Fant is one of the best gambles at tight end this week. While the veteran has only run a route on 43% of his team’s dropbacks this season, Fant has seen solid usage when on the field, garnering a target on 18% of those routes. The 25-year-old has hauled in 90.1% of his targets and has now recorded at least 8.1 DraftKings in three straight games. Overall, Fant is the fourth highest-graded tight end on PFF this season.
As for his matchup, Fant meets a Bengals’ defense that is the seventh worst-graded unit on PFF. This Cincinnati defense has given up the second most touchdowns to tight ends (4), and this tilt carries the second-highest total on the slate (45 points).
Additionally, the Seahawks are three-point road underdogs, which should translate into a pass-heavy gameplan for their offense. Fant should be able to outperform his soft salary in this compelling setting and is expected to come with essentially no ownership on DraftKings, according to the BLITZ projections.
Note: player and ownership projections may change leading up to lock. Be sure to check out the Player Models for any changes.
