Our NFL product at FantasyLabs is powered by our Models, which feature projections from Sean Koerner. He’s been FantasyPros’ most accurate in-season ranker in three of the past four seasons, which makes our Models a must-have for the serious DFS player.
One of the best ways to incorporate his projections is by looking at each player’s Projected Plus/Minus on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Projected Plus/Minus is a proprietary metric that measures projected points vs. expected points. The higher the number, the better that player is expected to perform relative to his price tag.
If you wind up rostering players who finish the week with a good Plus/Minus, there’s a good chance you’re going to find yourself at the top of the leaderboards.
Here are six players who are popping as values in our NFL Models for Week 7.
Quarterback
Matt Ryan ($6,300 on DraftKings) vs. Los Angeles Rams
Ryan continues to be underpriced across the industry given his elite workload. He’s thrown for at least 300 yards in all six games this season, and he leads all QBs with an average of 43.0 attempts per game. That’s a ridiculous number: No QB has averaged that many throws per game since Matthew Stafford in 2012. Atlanta ranks second in the league with a pass ratio of 70.1%, and they also pass at the fifth-highest frequency inside the red zone.
Ryan appears to be in another positive game environment this week vs. the Rams. The total on this game currently sits at 54.5 points, which is the top mark on the slate by a significant margin. Historically, QBs in games with a comparable total have averaged a Plus/Minus of +3.25 when playing at home (per the Trends tool).
