NBA DFS Picks Breakdown on DraftKings (Sunday, November 10)

Sunday features a seven-game main slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.

Let’s dive into some of the top plays on the slate using the FantasyLabs tools and projections.

Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.

You can also use our SimLabs Lineup Generator, a tool that creates the most user-friendly lineup generation process.

Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly. 

Consult the NBA Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.

Stud

It’s a bit strange to see Steph Curry priced down at just $8,300. He continues to be one of the most efficient per-minute scorers in all of fantasy, averaging 1.54 DraftKings points per minute so far this season. That’s tied with LaMelo Ball for the top mark among Sunday’s point guards, edging out superstars like Luka Doncic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

The only reason Curry hasn’t had a better fantasy season is a lack of playing time. He’s averaged just 26.8 minutes through his first six games.

However, Curry did play 34.4 minutes vs. the Celtics on Wednesday, and he’s now nearly a full week removed from the ankle injury that cost him three games earlier this season. It’s possible he could start playing a bit more moving forward, and he’s projected for 32 minutes in our NBA Models.

If Curry is going to play that much, $8,300 is clearly too cheap of a price tag. Curry has had a comparable salary and minute projection in just 46 previous games, and he’s averaged a +2.03 Plus/Minus (per the Trends tool).

The matchup vs. the Thunder isn’t ideal, as they’ve been the best defensive team in basketball by a mile this season, but that could end up working in his favor. Curry’s best game of the season came against the Celtics, so it’s possible that the Warriors lean on him a bit more than usual in a key Western Conference showdown.

---

Value

Austin Reaves has been getting the job done for the Lakers all season. He’s posted a +5.79 average Plus/Minus through his first nine games, and he’s doing a little bit of everything. He’s averaged 17.8 points, 5.1 assists, and 4.9 rebounds per game, and his usage rate is slightly up compared to last season.

The Lakers also recently made the decision to shift D’Angelo Russell to the bench, which should also benefit Reaves. He’s increased his usage rate by +2.78% with Russell off the floor this season, and he’s increased his assist rate by +1.58%. Overall, he’s averaged 1.08 DraftKings points per minute in that split.

Reaves also benefits from an elite matchup Sunday vs. the Raptors. They’ve been a fantasy goldmine this season, ranking eighth in pace and 29th in defensive efficiency. The Lakers are implied for 123.25 points in this matchup, which is the top mark on the slate by a wide margin.

---

Fast Break

Jamal Murray returned to the Nuggets lineup on Thursday and responded with 42 DraftKings points in just under 35 minutes. He posted a season-high 30.5% usage rate in that contest, and he should continue to thrive with Aaron Gordon out of the lineup. He’s seen a team-high +4.26% usage bump with Gordon off the floor, resulting in an average of 1.04 DraftKings points per minute.

Jared McCain is coming off more than 30 minutes in his last outing, and he responded with 25.25 DraftKings points. He’s not projected for quite as much playing time Sunday, but he’s averaged 1.09 DraftKings points per minute for the year. At $4,200, he doesn’t need a ton of minutes to potentially return value.

Don’t forget to check out our NBA SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:

NBA DFS Shooting Guard Picks

Stud

The big injury news on this slate involves the Phoenix Suns. They’re going to be without Kevin Durant for the first time this season, which opens up a ton of opportunities for the rest of the roster. Durant remains one of the game’s most efficient scorers in his 17th professional season, averaging 27.6 points while leading the team with a 27.6% usage rate.

Devin Booker should be asked to take on a larger role in his absence. Booker is an elite scorer in his own right, and he’s averaged 1.29 DraftKings points per minute with Durant off the court this season. He averaged 1.35 DraftKings points per minute in that split last season, and he averaged 48.64 DraftKings points in seven full games without his superstar teammate.

Booker’s 11 Pro Trends are also tied for the most at the SG position on Sunday. He’s a strong pay-up option.

---

Value

Brandon Miller finished third in Rookie of the Year voting last season, but he was a little overshadowed by Victor Wembanyama and Chet Holmgren. That said, he has the potential to be an excellent player. He’s a smooth scorer, and while his choice of GOATs is questionable, his game is very similar to his idol’s.

Miller has been limited to start his sophomore campaign, but he’s been effective when on the floor. He’s averaged 1.16 DraftKings points per minute, and he erupted for 52.5 DraftKings points across 33.4 minutes in his last outing.

Miller is projected for another 33 minutes on Sunday, making him a clear buy-low target. Once he starts playing 30-plus minutes consistently, he’s not going to be priced in this range for much longer.

---

Fast Break

Bradley Beal is another potential option for the Suns. He hasn’t been as effective as Booker this season, but he averaged just over 35 DraftKings points per game without Durant last year. You’ll take that at just $6,000.

Donte DiVincenzo had a slow start to his tenure with the Timberwolves, but he’s rattled off at least 31.75 DraftKings points in three straight games. He hasn’t even shot the ball particularly well, ashe’s just 8-for-25 from the field over his past two outings, so he has the potential for even more fantasy scoring moving forward. He’s a reasonable target at $4,900, given his 79% Bargain Rating.

Be sure to check out all the pick’ems Sleeper has to offer with Sleeper promo code LABS1 for a $100 deposit match.

NBA DFS Small Forward Picks

Stud

Jalen Williams is coming off a dreadful performance in his last game, but his stock is still pointing way up. He served as the Robin to SGA’s Batman last season, but he’s carrying a larger burden in his third professional season. His usage, assist, and rebound rates are all up, resulting in an average of 1.25 DraftKings points per minute.

Despite the poor showing Friday, Williams has still posted a positive Plus/Minus in six of his past eight games. That includes a massive 64 DraftKings points two games ago vs. the Nuggets.

The Thunder are in a great spot to score the ball Sunday vs. the 76ers. Philly is merely 25th in defensive efficiency, and the Thunder have the third-highest implied team total on the slate.

---

Value

Royce O’Neale has been an undervalued source of fantasy value all season. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in all but one game, averaging 0.94 DraftKings points per minute.

Nothing should change for O’Neale on Sunday. If anything, he should provide even more value with Durant out of the picture. He’s increased his production to 1.22 DraftKings points per minute sans Durant this season, and he’s projected for 30 minutes in our NBA Models. Overall, he stands out as one of the strongest values on the slate, ranking second in projected Plus/Minus.

---

Fast Break

Michael Porter Jr. is a streaky shooter, but he’s been hot to start the year. As a result, he’s provided strong fantasy value. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in seven straight games, and he’s scored at least 39.25 DraftKings points in four of his past five games. No one at the position is projected for more than his 36 minutes Sunday.

Aaron Wiggins isn’t routinely playing a ton of minutes, but at just $3,400, he doesn’t really need to. He’s averaged 1.03 DraftKings points per minute for the year, so he’s capable of racking up fantasy points quickly. His 86% Bargain Rating is the top mark at the SF position on Sunday’s slate, so he’s underpriced on DraftKings.

NBA DFS Power Forward Picks

Stud

Jaren Jackson Jr. can be a frustrating fantasy player at times, but he also provides an elite ceiling. He put that on display in his last outing, dropping 53.0 DraftKings points in less than 30 minutes vs. the Wizards. His usage rate eclipsed 46% in that contest, and he finished with 39 points scored.

Jackson should continue to serve as the team’s offensive focal point with Ja Morant out of the lineup. He’s seen a +6.43% usage bump with Morant off the floor this season, resulting in an average of 1.47 DraftKings points per minute.

Jackson is also more than just a scorer. He didn’t pile up the peripherals in his last outing, but he’s capable of contributing rebounds and blocks in bunches. His price tag has come up to $7,900 for Sunday’s matchup vs. the Blazers, but that’s still too cheap with Morant out of the lineup.

---

Value

Peyton Watson has started the past two games for the Nuggets in place of Gordon. He’s racked up at least 32.9 minutes in both outings, and he’s projected for another 31 minutes on Sunday. That makes him underpriced at $4,400. Historically, players with comparable salaries and minute projections have averaged a Plus/Minus of +2.59. Watson has also averaged a respectable 0.81 DraftKings points per minute this season, so he’s a decent per-minute producer as well.

---

Fast Break

Santi Aldama is another potential target for the shorthanded Grizzlies. In addition to Morant, the team is also expected to be without Marcus Smart. Aldama has seen a +2.0% usage bump with both players off the floor this season, resulting in an average of 1.0 DraftKings points per minute. He should see 30-plus minutes in a good matchup vs. the Blazers, making him very reasonable at $6,100.

Naji Marshall could also provide some value on this slate. He’s had at least 29.3 minutes and 23.75 DraftKings points in two of his past three games, and the Mavericks have some playing time available with Dereck Lively, P.J. Washington, and Maxi Kleber all not expected to play. He’s also projected for single-digit ownership, which increases his appeal for tournaments.

NBA DFS Center Picks

Stud

Nikola Jokic appears to be on a mission. The three-time MVP is off to the best start of his career, which should be terrifying for opposing teams. He’s averaged 28.9 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 11.3 assists per game while shooting 55.6% from the field and 52.8% from 3-point range. The man has absolutely broken fantasy basketball.

Jokic has posted a positive Plus/Minus in every game this season, and he’s averaged an absurd 1.84 DraftKings points per minute. He’s also playing more than just about anyone in basketball. His average of 38.1 minutes per game ranks third in the league, and he’s projected for another 37 minutes Sunday.

Jokic’s salary continues to rise, but $11,800 still isn’t high enough. With the way he’s played so far this season, anything less than $13,500 looks like a value at the moment.

---

Value

As hard as it is to pass up on Jokic, Daniel Gafford might be the better pure value. He should see a few additional minutes with Dallas missing half their frontcourt, and he’s averaged 1.18 DraftKings points per minute for the year. He had 33.25 DraftKings points two games ago, and he’s currently projected for 25 minutes vs. the Nuggets. If he gets to that threshold, it’s hard to imagine him busting at just $5,000.

---

Fast Break

Paying up for a center not named Jokic feels foolish at the moment, but what Anthony Davis is doing deserves attention. He’s putting together his best season since arriving in LA, averaging 32.4 points and 11.3 rebounds. He’s averaged 1.57 DraftKings points per minute, which trails only Jokic on Sunday’s slate. He also has the far superior matchup, resulting in an Opponent Plus/Minus of +2.74.

Jusuf Nurkic is another player who should benefit from the absence of Durant. He’s already been very good this season, averaging 1.15 DraftKings points per minute, and he’s scored at least 42.25 DraftKings points in two of his past three outings.