Sunday features a five-game main slate starting at 6 p.m. ET.
Let’s dive into some of the top plays on the slate using the FantasyLabs Tools and metrics.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.
Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly. Consult the Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
Point Guard
Stud
Luka Doncic ($12,000) has gone for at least 60 DraftKings points in seven of the last 10 games, with five of those over 70. He’s notched four triple-doubles and scored at least 30 points in six of those contests, with two over 40. The Hawks are 28th in defensive efficiency. HalleLuka!
Value
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ($4,700) isn’t starting and only plays around 20 minutes per game, but he garners a high usage rate when on the floor. Over the last two games, his usage rate has been 36.3% and 34.8%, which translated to 25 and 23.25 DraftKings points. The game environment is a juicy one, as the Rockets are first in offensive pace, dead last in defensive efficiency, and boost the FPPM to point guards by a league-leading 23.12%.
Fast Break
Darius Garland ($8,800) has missed the last three games and is questionable for Sunday. If he can go, though, it’s a fantastic spot, as the Pacers boost the FPPM to point guards by 12.7%.
Shooting Guard
Stud
Brandon Ingram ($8,700) has played 33 and 39 minutes since returning from a five-game absence, producing 40.25 and 53 DraftKings points. His usage rate was 28.6% and 30.3%. The matchup against the Rockets is the crème de la crème for fantasy.
Value
Reggie Bullock ($4,800) was averaging 24.4 minutes and 6.5 field-goal attempts on the season. Then Tim Hardaway Jr. went down with an injury. In the five games since, Bullock has averaged 31 minutes and 11.8 field-goal attempts per game, with 9.4 of those from downtown. He’s gone for 24, 31.75, 25.5, 43, and 26.5 DraftKings points. The Hawks are 11th in the NBA for the number of three-point attempts allowed.
Fast Break
Jalen Suggs ($5,900) looks to be getting comfortable with the pro game. Since returning from a 20-game hiatus, he’s gone for over 30 DraftKings points in five of 12 games with a high of 46. Over the last three games, he’s produced 28.25, 30, and 32.5 DraftKings points. His usage rate has been 22.0% in the two most recent games.
Small Forward
Stud
Jayson Tatum ($10,600) has a 32.4% usage rate on the season and averages 20.9 field-goal attempts per game. He also chips in a little something in every category, so volume and opportunity are not his issue; that would be shooting efficiency. He’s shooting 43% from the field this season. In the prior four seasons, he converted 46%, 45%, 45%, and 47%. The last eight games have been a microcosm of his season. When shooting 43% or less, he’s gone for 49.5, 38, 43, and 39.75 DraftKings points. He shot over 60% in three games and put up 79.5, 54.5, and 65.6 DraftKings points.
Value
De’Andre Hunter ($4,700) isn’t in the ideal situation, as the Mavericks are 28th in offensive pace, fifth in defensive efficiency, and negate the FPPM to small forwards by 5.71%. That said, Hunter will likely garner a usage rate in the low-20% range and play close to 35 minutes, and he could score around 30 DraftKings points. Since returning to action 13 games ago, he’s averaged 29.5 minutes and 11.2 field-goal attempts per game. He’s played over 30 minutes in seven of those contests and gone over 30 DraftKings points in six.
Fast Break
Marcus Morris ($6,400) averages 0.91 FP/Min and is coming off a 45.25-DraftKings-point performance. The Clippers and Bucks are 11th and 12th in offensive pace, so it should be an up-and-down affair. With no Kawhi Leonard or Paul George, Morris is one of the main offensive weapons. He’s had a usage rate of 23.0%, 24.0%, and 26.0% over the last three games. The Bucks boost the FPPM to small forwards by 18.15%.
Power Forward
Stud
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($12,200) averages a ridiculous 1.75 FP/Min. Over the last month, it’s been 1.85! He’s a threat to go for 70 DraftKings points on any given night and has one of the highest floor/ceiling combos on the slate. The Clippers boost the FPPM to power forwards by 6.79%.
Value
Jaxson Hayes ($5,000) has become a significant part of the rotation, especially since the Pelicans have gone big at times, utilizing him at power forward alongside Jonas Valanciunas. Hayes has played 31, 26, and 33 minutes over the last three games and gone for 33.75, 19.75, and 42.25 DraftKings points. Houston is first in offensive pace and dead last in defensive efficiency, so this is the ideal environment for Hayes to thrive.
Fast Break
Kevin Love ($7,200) has played 33, 29, and 26 minutes in the last three games and produced 40.25, 45.25, and 40.25 DraftKings points. He’s gone for at least 40 DraftKings points in five of the last six games. Indiana boosts the FPPM to centers by 16.62%.
Center
Stud
Jarrett Allen ($8,400) went for 29 points and 22 rebounds in the last game, good for 60.5 DraftKings points. Do you think he was angry from the All-Star snub? Now he gets to face a Pacers team that is 26th in defensive efficiency and boosts the FPPM to centers by 16.62%.
Value
Onyeka Okongwu ($3,700) doesn’t start and will likely only play 20 minutes. That said, he averages 0.96 FP/Min, so the floor is relatively high for his price tag. There’s some upside if Clint Capela gets injured or gets into foul trouble.
Fast Break
Robert Williams ($7,500) has gone for at least 40 DraftKings points in three of the last six games with a high of 51.75. The usage rate is low, but he grabs a ton of rebounds and contributes heavily in the defensive categories. The most surprising aspect of his game is his passing ability. He’s dished out at least four assists in five of the last 10 games.
