MLB Trend of the Day: AL Teams With High Vegas Totals at Coors Field

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With this in mind, our Trend of the Day series features articles that each weekday walk subscribers through an important trend, created with our Trends tool. Also, shortly after you create a trend, you will be able to see it under the “My Trends” column in our Player Models.

MLB Trend of the Day: AL Teams With High Vegas Totals at Coors Field

The Yankees are headed to Denver for some interleague action today, and I figure that it’s worth taking a closer look to see how AL teams do in the Mile High City. Matthew Freedman has already done a lot of research on the DFS impact of the designated hitter and how the DFS sites factor the DH into pricing.

This FanDuel trend has a couple of intriguing nuances — you’ll see what I mean — but even with these it certainly is actionable.

For an unparalleled DFS edge, try our free Trends tool, where you can access our massive database of advanced data and leverage our premium exclusive metrics, such as Bargain Rating, Upside, Consistency, and Plus/Minus.

Step 1: > Team Filters > Stadium > Coors Field

This is our baseline. If eventually we find that a Coors Field trend shows a Plus/Minus of +1.90, for instance, then we would know that it’s worse than just a normal Coors Field game without other factors accounted for.

Plus/Minus and other premium exclusive metrics are accessible via our free Ratings tool.

Step 2: > Team Filters > Division > American League Central, American League East, American League West

Notice that the AL East performs the worst among any division in baseball when playing at Coors Field. This piqued my interest, so I detoured from my trend for a second and broke it down by team.

The Yankees are dragging down the mean. Of course, it’s important to note the small sample size. The count of 24 amounts to just eight hitters multiplied by three games, so A) don’t worry about the Yankees’ negative Plus/Minus and B) let’s keep going with all the American League teams selected.

Step 3: > Vegas Filters > Runs > 5.5 to 6.5

The Yankees currently have an implied Vegas total of six runs, so they fit right in the middle of the trend. In fact, this trend might even be a little conservative, as the Yankees’ six-run mark is higher than any other implied run total for an AL team in the sample. And even if this weren’t a conservative trend, the +4.92 Plus/Minus would still be pretty strong.

The Takeaway

AL Teams do well in Coors Field — no shocker — even without the designated hitter. And, yes, we did see that the Yankees are the only AL team to have a negative Plus/Minus at Coors, but that’s based on one series in 2013. That’s just noise.