At FantasyLabs, we believe that we have the best tools and data available for those who play daily fantasy sports. We also realize that these tools and data are only as beneficial as our ability to communicate their functionality and worth.
With this in mind, our Trend of the Day series features articles that each weekday walk subscribers through an important trend, created with our Trends tool. Also, shortly after you create a trend, you will be able to see it under the “My Trends” column in our Player Models.
MLB Trend of the Day: Low Vegas Totals But High Pro Trends
Pro Trends highlight historically good situations that have led to fantasy value. Think of it as a proxy for measuring an overall fantasy situation: The more Pro Trends a player has, the better the situation.
You’ll see high Pro Trends numbers for Coors Field batters with high Isolated Power marks facing a pitcher that gives up a ton of home runs. Those batters check almost all the boxes you’d want. But what about a batter who isn’t in a great Vegas situation but still has a high number of Pro Trends? Is he still valuable?
Let’s find out.
Step 1: Trends > Pro Trends > 8 to 16
We’ll set our range at eight or higher. The overall Plus/Minus for batters at DraftKings with eight or more Pro Trends is +0.77.
Step 2: Vegas Filters > Runs > 2.2 to 3.9
Our range here will be implied totals under 4.0. And here’s our new Plus/Minus:
As usual, Vegas reigns supreme.
Also, remember that not all Pro Trends are created equal. All Pro Trends are valuable, but they aren’t all equally valuable. If you have four batters who all have 10 Pro Trends, they aren’t equally good plays. Some Pro Trends lead to a +3.0 Plus/Minus. Others, less than +1.0.
In general, the Vegas-based Pro Trends are quite important, which makes sense, as being projected to score a lot of runs is important in general. So next time you’re looking at Pro Trends, actually, ya know, click on them and see what you’re working with. And remember to check the Vegas lines.
