This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Cincinnati Reds
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The top five-man DraftKings stack in the Bales Model belongs to the Reds, who, even at Coors Field, are ‘only’ tied for sixth in the main slate with 5.5 implied runs (per our Vegas Dashboard):
Coors Field is the most hitter-friendly park in MLB, as batters have historically averaged a +1.23 DraftKings Plus/Minus (per our Trends tool). With the entire top of the Reds order, this stack may be chalky. Pro subscribers can review ownership rates after lineup lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
His price has elevated $1,100 over the past month, but one player to deliberately pay up for today is Scooter Gennett, who sports a strong recent batted ball distance of 239 feet, an exit velocity of 95 miles per hour, and a hard hit rate of 47 percent. Against Rockies righty Jon Gray, Gennett also has the most favorable power splits among all Reds, leading the stack with his .139 ISO differential.
New York Mets
Excluding Coors Field, the top four-man FanDuel stack in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the Mets, who could be a strong contrarian stack to pair with one of the seven teams implied for at least 5.5 runs:
Although the Mets are not implied to be a top-scoring team on the slate, they have the slate’s third-highest 12-month wOBA and a lot of upside against Nationals righty Tanner Roark.
Curtis Granderson, Lucas Duda, and Jay Bruce have exit velocities of 94 mph or higher over the past 15 days, along with fly ball rates of over 50 percent. Granderson and Duda especially stand out with .374 and .367 wOBAs against right-handed pitching and recent batted ball distances of 263 feet; batters with comparable implied totals and Statcast data have historically provided a +1.88 Plus/Minus and a 44.1 percent Consistency Rating on FanDuel.
Minnesota Twins
We’ve recently added FantasyDraft to our Models, and since they allow us to stack six batters, the Twins look appealing in a game with the slate’s highest Weather Rating outside of Coors Field:
Minnesota has the fourth-highest implied total on the slate with 5.7 runs and are taking on Angels righty Parker Bridwell, who has the slate’s second-worst HR/9 at 2.746. He also has poor recent Statcast data: He’s in the bottom-four in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, fly ball rate, and hard hit rate. One player that could differentiate Twins stacks is Eduardo Escobar, who is projected to bat fifth (per our Lineups page) and has been hitting well lately with a batted ball distance of 230 feet and a fly ball rate of 53 percent.
Good luck, and be sure to read the MLB Breakdown later today!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
