This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Arizona Diamondbacks
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. In the 11-game main slate, the top five-man DraftKings stack in the CSURAM88 Player Model belongs to the Diamondbacks, who are currently implied for ‘only’ 5.3 runs (per our Vegas Dashboard):
Although they are playing at Coors Field — the league’s most hitter-friendly park, where batters have historically averaged a +1.24 DraftKings Plus/Minus (per our Trends tool) — the Diamondbacks have only the slate’s seventh-highest implied total. The slate’s most expensive non-pitcher at $5,900, Paul Goldschmidt stand out with his elite recent batted ball distance of 242 feet, exit velocity of 96 miles per hour, and hard hit rate 53 percent. Given that the Diamondbacks are expensive and a number of other teams — including the Rockies — have higher totals, it’s possible that the Diamondbacks could have reduced ownership at Coors. Pro subscribers can review ownership rates after lineup lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
Cleveland Indians
The top four-man non-Coors FanDuel stack in the Bales Model belongs to the Indians, who have a healthy implied run total of 5.4:
The Indians face struggling Orioles righty Kevin Gausman at Progressive Field, where left-handed batters enjoy a Park Factor of 78. Historically, batters with comparable Park Factors and facing pitchers with Statcast data similar to Gausman’s have averaged a +4.16 Plus/Minus with a 47.6 percent Consistency Rating. Lonnie Chisenhall leads the slate with 11 Pro Trends and has crushed lately with distance and hard hit differentials of 26 feet and 15 percentage points. All four batters have exit velocities of 90-plus mph, three have batted ball distances of 239-plus feet, and two have fly ball rates of 55-plus percent. They stack up well against Gausman, who has a 1.555 WHIP and 1.44 HR/9 over the last 12 months.
Minnesota Twins
If you’re looking for a cheap stack that costs less than $4,000 per batter, consider the Twins, who currently have an implied run total of 5.9 and the highest Team Value Rating at 93. They own the top cheap four-man DraftKings stack in the The Sports Geek Model:
Projected to bat third (per our Lineups page), Miguel Sano has smashed lately with a batted ball distance of 242 feet, exit velocity of 94 miles per hour, and fly ball and hard hit rates of 42 and 52 percent. There are currently 10 teams implied for 5.0 or more runs — two of which are the Rockies and Diamondbacks at Coors Field — so the Twins may go overlooked even though they have the slate’s third-highest Weather Rating.
Good luck, and be sure to read today’s MLB Breakdown!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
