This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Chicago White Sox
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The top five-man DraftKings stack in the CSURAM88 Player Model belongs to the White Sox, who are ‘only’ seventh in the all-day slate with 5.2 implied runs (per our Vegas Dashboard) but still have the day’s second-best Team Value Rating at 81 (per our Lineups page):
Although the White Sox are only 21st this year with a .736 OPS, they’re first on the season against lefties with a .811, and they are facing Twins rookie lefty Nik Turley, who has a day-worst WHIP of 2.561 and a shaky hard hit rate of 41 percent. In Turley’s two starts, he’s allowed 12 earned runs and 17 hits in just 8.2 innings, accruing a 12.46 ERA along the way. The sample is small, but batters facing him have averaged 13.35 points with a +6.29 Plus/Minus, 82.4 percent Consistency Rating, and ownership rate of just 5.6 percent. Pro subscribers can review ownership trends across buy-in levels with our DFS Ownership Dashboard after lineups lock.
Note: The White Sox-Twins game currently has a 50 percent chance of heavy precipitation. Monitor the weather throughout the day. If the game experiences rain delays and Turley is pulled early, that could benefit the Sox, who could get multiple at-bats per hitter against a Twins bullpen that is last in the league with a 5.23 ERA.
Toronto Blue Jays
The top four-man non-Coors FanDuel stack in the Bales Model belongs to the Blue Jays, who are third in the all-day slate with 5.7 implied runs and have the highest Team Value Rating at 91:
Toronto faces Rangers lefty Martin Perez, who has the slate’s fifth-worst WHIP at 1.551 and whose Statcast data is trending in the wrong direction with distance, exit velocity, and hard hit differentials of 11 feet, four miles per hour, and 11 percentage points. In good form right now with a batted ball distance of 242 feet, an exit velocity of 95 miles per hour and a hard hit rate of 48 percent, Kendry Morales offers a good pivot away from No. 4 hitter Justin Smoak, as they both have eligibility at first base. Hitters comparable to Morales in lineup spot and Statcast data have historically averaged a +2.03 Plus/Minus.
Oakland Athletics
If you’re looking for a DraftKings stack that costs less $15,000, consider the Athletics, who are likely to be contrarian with an implied run total of 4.6 but still have one of the top four-man stacks in The Sports Geek Model:
The Athletics face Astros righty David Paulino, who has a 12-month HR/9 of 1.374 and some problematic recent Statcast data with the slate’s second-worst marks in batted ball distance allowed (237 feet) and fly ball rate (57 percent). Hitting in the bottom half of the order, Ryon Healy and Stephen Vogt give this stack a good chance of appearing in unique lineups, and they combine for 17 Pro Trends. Healy in particular has crushed the ball lately with a batted ball distance of 240 feet, fly ball rate of 42 percent, and hard hit rate of 51 percent over the last 15 days.
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
