This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Oakland Athletics
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. One of the top five-man DraftKings stacks in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the Athletics, who are implied for 5.3 runs (per our Vegas Dashboard.) The A’s have a Team Value Rating of 89, which is second on the main slate:
The A’s square off against non-threatening Giants right-hander Matt Cain, who is struggling with a 1.653 WHIP and 6.26 SO/9. Yonder Alonso and Khris Davis could give Cain some trouble as they each sport a wOBA above .364 with an ISO of at least .237 against righties. Davis has a strong splits-adjusted ISO of .293.
Per our Lineups Page, Jed Lowrie is projected to bat fifth. He is averaging a -1.93 Plus/Minus over his last 10 games, but he also has some great Statcast data with a recent batted ball distance of 240 feet and exit velocity of 93 miles per hour, and his massive Recent Batted Ball Luck of +82 suggests he’s due for positive regression. Historically, hitters with similar Statcast and Vegas data have averaged a +1.63 Plus/Minus with a 45.8 percent Consistency Rating (per our Trends tool).
Washington Nationals
If you create a stack on FanDuel utilizing our Pro Trends, the Nationals 1-3-5-6 hitters come out on top:
While half of the teams on this slate are implied for at least 5.0 runs, the Nationals are implied for 4.8, which may diminish their ownership, which Pro subscribers can review after lineups lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
Every stacked batter boasts an ISO of at least .225, and Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy own massive wOBAs of .420 and .400 against righties. Harper, Anthony Rendon, and Brian Goodwin all have recent batted ball distances of at least 240 feet with exit velocities of 91 mph, and they each have fly ball rates above 49 percent. Marlins righty Jose Urena and his 4.2 K Prediction may be in for a tough outing against this Nationals stack.
Seattle Mariners
FantasyDraft data and tools are now available in our Models. One of the top-rated five-man stacks in the Bales Model belongs to the Mariners, who are implied for 5.2 runs:
Rangers lefty Cole Hamels has allowed 15 hits, four home runs, and 11 earned runs over his last two starts, in which he has sported a recent batted ball distance of 214 feet, exit velocity of 92 mph (worst in the slate), and a hard hit rate of 38 percent. Lefties Kyle Seager and Robinson Cano get a boost with a 54 Park Factor. Seager, Cano, Nelson Cruz, and Danny Valencia have all been unlucky as of late, as they all sport positive RBBLs. That luck may change against Hamels in Arlington tonight.
Good luck, and be sure to read today’s MLB Breakdown!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
