Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Mariners (-107) at Rangers (-101) — 8:05 PM EST
Mariners in: Dee Gordon (sore right ankle)
Dee Gordon missed the previous two games due to a sore right ankle, but he’s batting leadoff vs. the Rangers and lefty Martin Perez on Monday. The Mariners currently lead all teams with a 5.9 implied run total, and every hitter in the lineup possesses at least six DraftKings Pro Trends. They have a 99 Team Value Rating on FanDuel, but they’ve also struggled to provide value against lefties this season. Jean Segura has been the most effective, sporting a +1.70 FanDuel Plus/Minus opposite southpaws, and Nelson Cruz and Kyle Seager are the only other Mariners to post a positive Plus/Minus with at least 10 chances this year. The weather will greatly benefit hitters from both sides, and Segura, Cruz, and Seager are the only standouts on the Mariners for a potential stack. Cruz ranks second among all hitters on the slate with a 0.346 ISO over the last 12 months.
Pirates (+125) at Rockies (-135) — 8:40 PM EST
Rockies out: Charlie Blackmon
Rockies in: David Dahl
Charlie Blackmon is resting for the first time since July 1st, and David Dahl will replace Blackmon atop the order and in the outfield vs. the Pirates and righty Joe Musgrove on Monday. The Rockies are one of three teams presently implied to score at least 5.7 runs, but their total has decreased 0.4 runs since the line opened and they are currently dealing with reverse line movement. Nonetheless, Dahl projects as a chalky option as he leads the Rockies with a 0.250 ISO against righties over the past year, and leadoff hitters with a similar DraftKings salary ($3,500) on teams with a high-implied total have historically averaged a FantasyLabs’ +2.25 DraftKings Plus/Minus with a 54.3% Consistency Rating on 11.3% tournament ownership. Dahl is $500 cheaper on FanDuel, where he has the fifth-highest wOBA among outfielders and highest wOBA differential among all hitters.
