Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Marlins (+177) at Braves (-193) — 7:10 PM EST
Braves out: Ozzie Albies
Braves in: Charlie Culberson
Ozzie Albies will rest for the second time in as many Tuesdays, and his spot in the order and at second base will be obtained by Charlie Culberson. The Braves are one of only four teams presently implied to score at least 5.0 runs, and Culberson is the highest-rated hitter in the Bales Model on DraftKings while Ronald Acuna is the highest-rated hitter in the same model on FanDuel. A two-man stack of the top two hitters in the lineup is one way to increase upside and remain frugal. Acuna has averaged a 247-foot recent batted ball distance and 52% recent hard hit rate. Culberson has recorded similar numbers but costs a fraction of the price compared to Acuna, who has homered in four straight games. Marlins righty Trevor Richards has allowed slate-highs of a 264-foot recent batted ball distance and a 60% recent fly ball rate — two attributes poised to benefit the Braves hitters.
Diamondbacks (-170) at Rangers (+156) — 8:10 PM EST
Rangers out: Adrian Beltre (hamstring)
Rangers in: Ronald Guzman
Adrian Beltre suffered a hamstring injury on Monday and will sit out of Tuesday’s game against the Diamondbacks and left-handed pitcher Patrick Corbin. Jurickson Profar will play third base and replace Beltre in the cleanup spot while Ronald Guzman enters the lineup at first base. The Rangers are still projected to score a healthy 4.4 runs but could see lowered ownership in tournaments as 13 teams have a higher implied total. Corbin currently ranks tied for fifth among Tuesday’s starting pitchers with a 7.1 projected strikeout total, and he’s punched out at least eight batters in each of his last four starts with a FantasyLabs’ +7.25 Plus/Minus on FanDuel. However, Corbin suffers from reverse splits this season and the Rangers make for an intriguing stack option with five left-handed hitters, all of whom benefit from a more favorable Park Factor rating than right-handed hitters.
Diamondbacks out: AJ Pollock
Diamondbacks in: Jon Jay
Despite gaining a designated hitter on Tuesday, the Diamondbacks have opted to rest AJ Pollock. Jon Jay will enter the lineup in center field and David Peralta will slide to the three-hole, while Paul Goldschmidt takes a turn at DH with Daniel Descalso at first base. Even with Pollock’s absence, the Diamondbacks carry the highest implied run total (5.8) by over half a run in Tuesday’s 14-game main slate. Steven Souza could see decreased ownership in stacks hitting fifth in the lineup, and he has posted exceptional batted-ball statistics over the last 15 days. He also opens up significant value on FanDuel, where he costs just $3,000 and has a Bargain Rating of 97%. Peralta leads all outfielders with a 65% hard-hit percentage in the previous 15 days, and opposing pitcher Yovani Gallardo has allowed hitters to record a 1.822 HR/9 rate over the last year.
Rockies (+188) at Astros (-205) — 8:10 PM EST 
Rockies in: Nolan Arenado (sore right shoulder)
Nolan Arenado missed the previous two games after suffering a sore right shoulder, but he’s back in the lineup vs. the Astros and righty Justin Verlander on Tuesday. Alas, Arenado’s presence in the lineup may not matter as the Rockies are presently implied to score 2.9 runs — the lowest mark on the slate. Rockies hitters may possess solid Statcast data following a seven-game homestand, but they’ve averaged the eight-lowest FantasyLabs’ FanDuel Plus/Minus against righties on the road this season. Conversely, Verlander has limited hitters to a 0.280 wOBA while posting a 12.35 SO/9 rate — second-highest among all starters in baseball — at home. Verlander is the most-expensive pitching option on the slate, and despite offering the second-highest K Prediction (8.2) on the slate, he’s averaged a +9.64 FanDuel Plus/Minus combined with an 87.1% Consistency Rating when projected for a K Prediction of at least 7.4. His recent start was a disaster, which could help depreciate his overall ownership.
