Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Twins (+134) at Red Sox (-145) — 1:05 PM EST
Red Sox in: Blake Swihart, Brock Holt
Red Sox out: Rafael Devers (strained left hamstring), Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers has been placed on the 10-day disabled list due to a strained left hamstring. Elsewhere, Xander Bogaerts will receive a routine day off. J.D. Martinez and Steve Pearce will bat No. 3 and No. 4 in the order, respectively, for a lineup presently implied to score an impressive five runs. Exposure to the Red Sox should be focused on DraftKings, where they boast the main slate’s third-highest Team Value Rating. Overall, Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi, Jackie Bradley Jr., and Blake Swihart form the main slate’s fourth-highest rated four-man stack on DraftKings in the Bales Model. They’ll face off against Jose Berrios, who has posted a +5.3 Plus/Minus with a 70 percent Consistency Rating on DraftKings during his past 10 starts. Still, Berrios will have his hands full with a Red Sox lineup that has combined to post an impressive .333 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Both offenses could benefit from estimated wind gusts of five miles per hour blowing out to right center field.
Indians (-222) at Tigers (+203) — 1:10 PM EST
Tigers in: Victor Reyes, John Hicks
Tigers out: JaCoby Jones (tight lower back), Victor Martinez
JaCoby Jones continues to deal with a tight lower back and won’t suit up Sunday against the Indians. Victor Martinez will receive a routine day off. The Tigers will roll with Leonys Martin, Niko Goodrum, and Nick Castellanos at the top of the order for a lineup presently implied to score just 3.2 runs. Overall, they’ve combined to post a mediocre .281 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months – the third-lowest mark in Sunday’s main slate. This is all great news for Corey Kluber, who carries a slate-high 7.7 K Prediction. Still, Kluber hasn’t been his usual dominant self recently, allowing at least three runs in four of his last five starts while ranking among the main slate’s bottom-five pitchers in average batted ball distance and fly-ball rate allowed over the past 15 days. Kluber has historically pitched well in Detroit, averaging 33.7 FanDuel points per game with a +0.5 Plus/Minus and a 55.6 percent Consistency Rating in nine starts at Comerica Park since 2012. Any exposure to the Indians’ ace should be focused on FanDuel, where his $10,600 price tag comes with a 91 percent Bargain Rating and a +11.1 Projected Plus/Minus.
Nationals (-137) at Marlins (+126) — 1:10 PM EST
Nationals in: Mark Reynolds
Nationals out: Anthony Rendon (paternity)
Anthony Rendon is expected to return from the paternity list by Tuesday. In his absence, the Nationals will roll with Adam Eaton, Trea Turner, and Bryce Harper at the top of the order for their matchup against the Marlins. They offer upside throughout the lineup, as each of Eaton, Harper, Matt Adams, and Spencer Kieboom have posted positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Eaton in particular is set up well against righty Jose Urena, as he’s posted .207 and .130 wOBA and ISO differentials vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Exposure to Eaton should be focused on FanDuel, where his $3,200 price tag is complemented by a 99 percent Bargain Rating and a low 2-4 percent projected ownership rate. Urena will look to do a better job limiting big hits, as he ranks among the main slate’s bottom-five pitchers in average batted ball distance and exit velocity allowed over the past 15 days. The Nationals-Marlins’ matchup presently has the third-most hitter-friendly Weather Rating in Sunday’s main slate, but be sure to monitor the weather, as current forecasts call for an estimated 42 percent chance of precipitation.
