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MLB Lineup Analysis 7/22: Adam Jones Receives Day Off

Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.

Orioles (+186) at Blue Jays (-203) — 1:07 PM EST

Orioles out: Adam Jones

Orioles in: Joey Rickard

Adam Jones will receive a day off on Sunday in favor of Joey Rickard, who will man center field and hit second. Chris Davis will also rest after starting the previous three games against a left-handed pitcher. The Orioles are currently projected to score just 3.7 runs against lefty J.A. Happ as they hold the worst record in the entire league. Happ costs just $8,000 on FanDuel and benefits from the second-best moneyline percentage (-201) behind Chris Sale. Without Jones in the lineup, the Orioles have five hitters who have suffered from poor average batted-ball distance differentials over the last 15 days. Happ has failed to reach six innings in three consecutive losses, but still presents tournament upside in a favorable matchup while his ownership is projected to be relatively low.

Blue Jays out: Teoscar Hernandez

Blue Jays in: Dwight Smith Jr.

Teoscar Hernandez will rest during Sunday’s series finale vs. the Blue Jays and lefty J.A. Happ. Lourdes Gurriel will return to the lineup after suffering a concussion last week. Randal Grichuk will replace Hernandez in the two-hole, and Dwight Smith Jr. will take over in the outfield for a Blue Jays team presently implied to score 5.4 — the second-highest mark in the main slate. The Blue Jays also lead all teams in Team Value Rating on DraftKings and FanDuel even though none of their hitters are among the highest-rated options in the Bales Model. Nonetheless, the Blue Jays warrant plenty of attention as they possess a five-man stack with the highest cumulative ISO mark on the slate.

Pictured above: J.A. Happ
Photo credit: Brad Mills — USA TODAY Sports

Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.

Orioles (+186) at Blue Jays (-203) — 1:07 PM EST

Orioles out: Adam Jones

Orioles in: Joey Rickard

Adam Jones will receive a day off on Sunday in favor of Joey Rickard, who will man center field and hit second. Chris Davis will also rest after starting the previous three games against a left-handed pitcher. The Orioles are currently projected to score just 3.7 runs against lefty J.A. Happ as they hold the worst record in the entire league. Happ costs just $8,000 on FanDuel and benefits from the second-best moneyline percentage (-201) behind Chris Sale. Without Jones in the lineup, the Orioles have five hitters who have suffered from poor average batted-ball distance differentials over the last 15 days. Happ has failed to reach six innings in three consecutive losses, but still presents tournament upside in a favorable matchup while his ownership is projected to be relatively low.

Blue Jays out: Teoscar Hernandez

Blue Jays in: Dwight Smith Jr.

Teoscar Hernandez will rest during Sunday’s series finale vs. the Blue Jays and lefty J.A. Happ. Lourdes Gurriel will return to the lineup after suffering a concussion last week. Randal Grichuk will replace Hernandez in the two-hole, and Dwight Smith Jr. will take over in the outfield for a Blue Jays team presently implied to score 5.4 — the second-highest mark in the main slate. The Blue Jays also lead all teams in Team Value Rating on DraftKings and FanDuel even though none of their hitters are among the highest-rated options in the Bales Model. Nonetheless, the Blue Jays warrant plenty of attention as they possess a five-man stack with the highest cumulative ISO mark on the slate.

Pictured above: J.A. Happ
Photo credit: Brad Mills — USA TODAY Sports