Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.
Nationals (-108) at Pirates (-100) — 7:05 PM EST
Pirates in: Josh Bell, Elias Diaz, Max Moroff
Pirates out: Josh Harrison, Francisco Cervelli
Josh Harrison and Francisco Cervelli will each receive a day off, so the Pirates will roll with Corey Dickerson, Starling Marte, and Gregory Polanco at the top of the order for their matchup against the Nationals. They’re presently implied to score a respectable 4.5 runs and are especially in play on FanDuel, where the Pirates boast the fifth-highest Team Value Rating in Tuesday’s main slate. Colin Moran in particular is set up well, as he’s posted positive wOBA and ISO splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past calendar year. They’ll face off against Jeremy Hellickson, who has averaged 6.7 K/9 and a 1.3 WHIP over the past 12 months. Hellickson has allowed 1.9 home runs per nine innings pitched, including three dingers in his last 8.2 innings. Both pitchers will have to deal with estimated wind gusts of six miles per hour blowing out to center field.
Tigers (+166) at Rays (-181) — 7:10 PM EST
Tigers in: Jeimer Candelario (illness)
Jeimer Candelario missed Monday’s game against the Rays due to an illness, but he’ll lead off Tuesday for a Tigers lineup presently implied to score just three runs. Overall, they’ve combined to post a .289 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past calendar year, which is the fourth-worst mark in Tuesday’s slate. Still, Ryne Stanek hasn’t pitched more than two innings all season as part of the Rays’ innovative pitching rotation and thus isn’t a realistic option in fantasy. Nick Castellanos will look to continue to hit the ball hard, as he ranks among the slate’s top-eight outfielders in both average batted ball distance and hard-hit rate over the past 15 days. Exposure to Castellanos should be focused on FanDuel, where his $3,800 price tag comes with an 86 percent Bargain Rating.
Cardinals (-168) at White Sox (+155) — 8:10 PM EST
Cardinals in: Tommy Pham (left ankle contusion), Yadier Molina (right shoulder)
Tommy Pham and Yadier Molina will play through their respective ankle and shoulder injuries and bat second and fifth for a Cardinals lineup presently implied to score a solid 5.2 runs. They boast the first- and third-best Team Value Rating on FanDuel and DraftKings, respectively. Overall, Matt Carpenter, Pham, Jose Martinez, and Jedd Gyorko form the main slate’s highest-rated four-man stack on FanDuel. Each of the team’s top-eight batters in the order boast a Bargain Rating of at least 70 percent on FanDuel. They’re set up well against righty Dylan Covey, who has allowed 22 runs in his last 15 innings pitched – including six home runs. Unsurprisingly, Covey has surrendered slate-worst marks in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard-hit rate allowed over the past 15 days. While the Cardinals-White Sox matchup presently has the second-most pitcher-friendly Weather Rating in Tuesday’s main slate, current forecasts call for estimated wind gusts of nine miles per hour blowing out to right field.
