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MLB Lineup Analysis 5/23: Happ Leads High-Upside Cubs Lineup

Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.

Marlins (+210) at Mets (-230) — 7:10 PM EST

Mets in: Devin Mesoraco (left elbow contusion)

Devin Mesoraco will return to the starting lineup Wednesday and bat fifth for a Mets team currently implied to score 4.3 runs against the Marlins. Overall, each of the Mets top-seven batters have posted positive ISO splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Asdrubal Cabrera in particular is set up well on DraftKings, where his $3,800 price tag comes with a 94 percent Bargain Rating. Cabrera is the second-highest rated second baseman on DraftKings in the Bales Model. The Mets are set up well against righty Dan Straily, who ranks among the main slate’s bottom-four pitchers in home-run and fly-ball rate allowed over the past calendar year. Straily has continued to struggle to limit big hits recently, ranking among the main slate’s bottom-three pitchers in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard-hit rate allowed over the past 15 days.

Yankees (-173) at Rangers (+159) — 7:05 PM EST

Yankees out: Gary Sanchez (calf cramps)

Yankees in: Austin Romine

The Yankees are taking it easy on Gary Sanchez, so Austin Romine will catch and bat eighth for a lineup presently implied to score a slate-high 5.5 runs. While both offenses will have to deal with estimated wind gusts of nine miles per hour blowing in from center, the Yankees-Rangers’ matchup currently boasts the most hitter-friendly Weather Rating in Wednesday’s main slate. Overall, Aaron Judge, Didi Gregorius, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gleyber Torres form the main slate’s highest-rated four-man stack in combined ISO over the past 12 months. Judge will look to continue to hit the ball hard, as he ranks among the main slate’s top-six outfielders in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard-hit rate over the past 15 days. Rangers righty Doug Fister will have his hands full with a Yankees lineup that has combined to post a slate-high .356 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past calendar year.

Indians (+156) at Cubs (-170) — 8:05 PM EST

Cubs out: Ben Zobrist

Cubs in: Ian Happ

The Cubs will roll with Ian Happ, Kyle Schwarber, and Kris Bryant at the top of the order for their matchup against the Indians. They’re currently implied to score 4.9 runs – tied for the third-highest mark in Wednesday’s main slate. Overall, Happ, Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, and Willson Contreras form the main slate’s highest-ranked four-man stack in combined DraftKings Pro Trends. They’ll face off against righty Adam Plutko, who allowed three solo home runs during his first career start on May, 3. Plutko could have a particularly tough time with the top of the Cubs order, as each of Happ and Schwarber have posted positive ISO and wOBA splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past calendar year. Happ is especially in play on FanDuel, where his $3,200 price tag comes with an 86 percent Bargain Rating and a +1.23 Projected Plus/Minus – the fifth-highest mark among all batters in Wednesday’s main slate.

Pictured above: Ian Happ
Photo credit: David Banks — USA TODAY Sports

Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.

Marlins (+210) at Mets (-230) — 7:10 PM EST

Mets in: Devin Mesoraco (left elbow contusion)

Devin Mesoraco will return to the starting lineup Wednesday and bat fifth for a Mets team currently implied to score 4.3 runs against the Marlins. Overall, each of the Mets top-seven batters have posted positive ISO splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. Asdrubal Cabrera in particular is set up well on DraftKings, where his $3,800 price tag comes with a 94 percent Bargain Rating. Cabrera is the second-highest rated second baseman on DraftKings in the Bales Model. The Mets are set up well against righty Dan Straily, who ranks among the main slate’s bottom-four pitchers in home-run and fly-ball rate allowed over the past calendar year. Straily has continued to struggle to limit big hits recently, ranking among the main slate’s bottom-three pitchers in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard-hit rate allowed over the past 15 days.

Yankees (-173) at Rangers (+159) — 7:05 PM EST

Yankees out: Gary Sanchez (calf cramps)

Yankees in: Austin Romine

The Yankees are taking it easy on Gary Sanchez, so Austin Romine will catch and bat eighth for a lineup presently implied to score a slate-high 5.5 runs. While both offenses will have to deal with estimated wind gusts of nine miles per hour blowing in from center, the Yankees-Rangers’ matchup currently boasts the most hitter-friendly Weather Rating in Wednesday’s main slate. Overall, Aaron Judge, Didi Gregorius, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gleyber Torres form the main slate’s highest-rated four-man stack in combined ISO over the past 12 months. Judge will look to continue to hit the ball hard, as he ranks among the main slate’s top-six outfielders in average batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard-hit rate over the past 15 days. Rangers righty Doug Fister will have his hands full with a Yankees lineup that has combined to post a slate-high .356 wOBA vs. right-handed pitchers over the past calendar year.

Indians (+156) at Cubs (-170) — 8:05 PM EST

Cubs out: Ben Zobrist

Cubs in: Ian Happ

The Cubs will roll with Ian Happ, Kyle Schwarber, and Kris Bryant at the top of the order for their matchup against the Indians. They’re currently implied to score 4.9 runs – tied for the third-highest mark in Wednesday’s main slate. Overall, Happ, Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, and Willson Contreras form the main slate’s highest-ranked four-man stack in combined DraftKings Pro Trends. They’ll face off against righty Adam Plutko, who allowed three solo home runs during his first career start on May, 3. Plutko could have a particularly tough time with the top of the Cubs order, as each of Happ and Schwarber have posted positive ISO and wOBA splits vs. right-handed pitchers over the past calendar year. Happ is especially in play on FanDuel, where his $3,200 price tag comes with an 86 percent Bargain Rating and a +1.23 Projected Plus/Minus – the fifth-highest mark among all batters in Wednesday’s main slate.

Pictured above: Ian Happ
Photo credit: David Banks — USA TODAY Sports