The FantasyLabs MLB Player Models house numerous data points to help you construct your MLB DFS rosters.
They house our floor, median, and ceiling projections for each player, but that’s just the beginning of what you’ll find inside. You’ll also find our Trends tool, stacking tool, and more.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams for cash games or small-field tournaments.
Let’s dive into some MLB plays that stand out in our Player Models for today’s slate.
Bargain Rating Picks
You might be asking: what is Bargain Rating, and why should I care?
Bargain Rating shows how much of a bargain a player is on one DFS site versus others. If a player is significantly cheaper on one site than the other, they will have a favorable Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more affordable and a poor Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more expensive. It’s a straightforward metric, but targeting players at reduced price tags is almost always a strong strategy in DFS.
Bargain Rating strongly correlates with player value, which you can quickly see with our predictive projected Plus/Minus metric.
Seeing how Plus/Minus helps you project how many points a player is expected to score compared to what their salary implies them to score, this is a good company for Bargain Rating.
MLB DFS DraftKings Bargain Value
Heliot Ramos ($3,000): Outfielder, San Francisco Giants
Bargain options on the main slate are rare to find in today’s projections. Even the top tier fail to reach the 90% Bargain Rating threshold. Heliot Ramos sticks out as an interesting lineup option with recent positive production.
Ramos is batting .286/.355/.440 on the season with three home runs and 16 RBI in 23 games. He has a strong .348 wOBA and 53.8 hard hit %. Over his last 10 games, Ramos has a +1.77 average Plus/Minus and is coming off a 21-point DraftKings result yesterday.
Ramos will face righty Ryne Nelson and the Diamondbacks today. Nelson is 3-4 with a 6.02 ERA. He has an elevated 1.76 WHIP and allows a .395 wOBA.
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MLB DFS Ceiling Projection Picks
Pitcher
Zack Wheeler ($10,700) vs. Milwaukee Brewers
The veteran Zack Wheeler is well on his way to another strong season-long stat line. At 34 years old, Wheeler is off to his best statistical start of his career at 6-3 with a 2.32 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
Wheeler sits in the top 5 of National League pitchers in ERA, WHIP, batting average against, and innings pitched.
Even as his DraftKings salary has skyrocketed throughout the season from $7,600 to $10,700, Wheeler has continued to produce for fantasy owners. He has just two negative Plus/Minus games on the season and has at least 21 DraftKings points in five of his last six starts.
Using PlateIQ, the projected Brewers lineup has a .175 ISO and .357 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Wheeler’s 28.9 K% provides a lot of upside on the main slate.
Hitter
Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5,300) at Los Angeles Angels
Fernando Tatis Jr. lands well above the competition for highest ceiling projection on the main slate. The 25-year-old hitter is batting .261/.342/.432 on the season with 10 home runs and 31 RBI.
The consistency has not been there for Tatis Jr. in 2024, but he is certainly capable of massive fantasy games. He has six 20+ DraftKings point games on the season, with a lot of single-digit performances surrounding them. He has a strong 52.2 hard hit % and .526 xSLG this season.
The Angels trot out veteran left-hander Tyler Anderson today. He has pitched well this season, with a 5-5 record and 2.47 ERA. Tatis Jr. is a boom-or-bust option for fantasy lineups.
More DraftKings MLB DFS Hitters and Pitchers
One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.
A new addition to our MLB projections is THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.
For this example, we created a 50/50 blend with THE BAT X and the FantasyLabs projections to pinpoint some hitters standing out with this blend.
MLB DFS Pitcher
Kevin Gausman ($8,000) vs. Baltimore Orioles
With the sixth-highest DraftKings salary, Kevin Gausman checks in with the third-highest projected ceiling on the slate. He is a strong value option at $8,000 on a slate without a ton of high-end pitching options.
Gausman is 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the season. His .451 xSLG and .343 xwOBA are elevated this season compared to his recent campaigns, but Gausman has four positive Plus/Minus results in his last five starts and showed his upside potential on May 23 with 10 strikeouts and 32.5 DraftKings points.
Gausman has a relatively-high 47.8 hard hit % this season, which could be a risk against and Orioles lineup with an elevated home run projection today. With that said, he is a strong value play for the price tag.
Now in beta testing: our MLB DFS SimLabs Lineup Generator that creates advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
MLB DFS Hitter
TJ Friedl ($5,000) at Colorado Rockies
The Reds get the Colorado bump today with one of the highest implied run totals on the slate. Their lead-off hitter TJ Friedl is back from injury and in a prime spot to produce fantasy results.
In an injury-plagued early season, Friedl has six hits in 36 at-bats in 2024. He is coming off the best season of his career in 2023 with 18 home runs and 27 stolen bases. He seems to be back to full strength after blasting a huge home run to beat the Cubs yesterday.
Cincinnati faces right-hander Ryan Feltner today for the Rockies. Feltner is 1-4 with a 5.46 ERA in 11 starts. He has a 1.62 WHIP in four home starts this season.
Alex Bregman ($4,100) vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Houston’s Alex Bregman had a strong weekend series at home against the Twins, with two home runs and five hits over the three games.
Overall, Bregman’s numbers are a bit disappointing to start his ninth big league season, with a .229/.287/.395 batting line with eight home runs and 28 RBI. In 57 games, he has a .281 xwOBA and 37.0 hard hit %.
The model likes Bregman’s chances tonight as the Astros continue their home stand against the Cardinals and right-hander Kyle Gibson. Gibson is 4-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 11 starts.
